MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 01:30

Atlanta United FC

#14 · 22 pts

2 – 1

Final score

New York Red Bulls

#12 · 27 pts

T. Muyumba (ast. A. Miranchuk) 69'

F. Picault (ast. M. Almiron) 82'

6' (ast. A. Mehmeti) E. Forsberg

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 43% win probability (draw 22%, New York Red Bulls 34%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls. In 1 previous meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for New York Red Bulls.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

2.40

Actual xG

1.89

40%

Possession

60%

3

Corners

7

Match Events

6'

ast. A. Mehmeti · E. Forsberg⚽

T. Jacob

48'

↕ M. Edwards / S. Gregersen

68'

⚽T. Muyumba · ast. A. Miranchuk

69'

71'

J. Ruvalcaba / M. Jimenez ↕

79'

C. Harper / C. Cowell ↕

79'

M. Sofo / E. Forsberg ↕

79'

J. Marshall-Rutty / M. Dos Santos ↕

↕ E. Baez / R. Hernandez

80'

↕ C. Sanchez / S. Alzate

80'

⚽F. Picault · ast. M. Almiron

82'

F. Picault

82'

E. Baez

83'

↕ F. Picault / Sergio Santos

86'

↕ M. Almiron / L. Brennan

86'

86'

E. M. Choupo-Moting / A. Mehmeti ↕

90'+5

M. Sofo

90'+9

C. Harper

Pre-match prediction

43.23%

Atlanta ←

22.58%

X

34.18%

New

we assigned to the actual result (Atlanta United FC) 43.23% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atlanta

1.68

2.40

+0.72

New

1.53

1.89

+0.36

Atlanta United FC dominated by xG (2.40 vs 1.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	24	53
2	Inter Miami	24	44
3	New England Revolution	24	40
4	Chicago Fire	23	39
5	Charlotte	24	39
6	Orlando City SC	24	31
7	FC Cincinnati	23	31
8	Philadelphia Union	24	30
9	New York City FC	24	29
10	Toronto FC	24	29
11	DC United	23	28
12	New York Red Bulls	24	27
13	Columbus Crew	24	23
14	Atlanta United FC	24	22
15	CF Montreal	24	21