MLS · Regular Season - 19 August 16, 2026 01:30

Atlanta United FC

#14 · 30 pts

2 – 1

Final score

New York Red Bulls

#9 · 39 pts

T. Muyumba (ast. A. Miranchuk) 69'

F. Picault (ast. M. Almiron) 82'

6' (ast. A. Mehmeti) E. Forsberg

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 43% win probability (draw 22%, New York Red Bulls 34%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 2–1 New York Red Bulls. In 1 previous meetings, Atlanta United FC have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for New York Red Bulls.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

3

2.40

Actual xG

1.89

40%

Possession

60%

3

Corners

7

Match Events

6'

ast. A. Mehmeti · E. Forsberg⚽

T. Jacob

48'

↕ M. Edwards / S. Gregersen

68'

⚽T. Muyumba · ast. A. Miranchuk

69'

71'

J. Ruvalcaba / M. Jimenez ↕

79'

C. Harper / C. Cowell ↕

79'

M. Sofo / E. Forsberg ↕

79'

J. Marshall-Rutty / M. Dos Santos ↕

↕ E. Baez / R. Hernandez

80'

↕ C. Sanchez / S. Alzate

80'

⚽F. Picault · ast. M. Almiron

82'

F. Picault

82'

E. Baez

83'

↕ F. Picault / Sergio Santos

86'

↕ M. Almiron / L. Brennan

86'

86'

E. M. Choupo-Moting / A. Mehmeti ↕

90'+5

M. Sofo

90'+9

C. Harper

Pre-match prediction

43.23%

Atlanta ←

22.58%

X

34.18%

New

we assigned to the actual result (Atlanta United FC) 43.23% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atlanta

1.68

2.40

+0.72

New

1.53

1.89

+0.36

Atlanta United FC dominated by xG (2.40 vs 1.89). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Nashville SC	31	70
2	New England Revolution	31	55
3	Inter Miami	31	55
4	Chicago Fire	31	51
5	Charlotte	31	47
6	Philadelphia Union	31	46
7	Orlando City SC	31	42
8	FC Cincinnati	31	42
9	New York Red Bulls	31	39
10	Columbus Crew	31	38
11	Toronto FC	31	36
12	New York City FC	31	35
13	DC United	31	33
14	Atlanta United FC	31	30
15	CF Montreal	31	25