MLS
· Regular Season - 21
August 24, 2026 01:00
T. Jacob
(ast. M. Almiron)
13'
F. Picault
(ast. E. Baez)
24'
70'
S. Afrifa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlanta United FC a 59% win probability (draw 23%, Sporting Kansas City 17%). The final result was Atlanta United FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
1
1.89
Actual xG
0.68
0
Saves
1
49%
Possession
51%
2
Corners
6
14
Tackles
12
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽T. Jacob
· ast. M. Almiron
13'
22'
E. Karic
⚽F. Picault
· ast. E. Baez
24'
45'+2
J. Reynolds
/
J. Davis
62'
J. Reid
/
E. Karic
62'
S. Afrifa
/
T. Calheira
F. Picault
/ W. Reilly
62'
A. Gill
/ L. Brennan
62'
70'
S. Afrifa⚽
L. Brennan
72'
P. Diaz
/ S. Gregersen
73'
E. Baez
76'
C. Sanchez
/ S. Alzate
77'
L. Brennan
/ M. Edwards
78'
87'
J. Bartlett
/
Capita
Pre-match prediction
59.18%
Atlanta ←
23.6%
X
17.22%
Sporting
we assigned to the actual result (Atlanta United FC)
59.18%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.61
1.89
+0.28
0.69
0.68
-0.01
Atlanta United FC dominated by xG (1.89 vs 0.68).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
L. Hoyos
G
L. Hoyos
G
3
E. Báez
1 👟
D
E. Báez
1 👟
D
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
27
P. Díaz
73'
D
P. Díaz
73'
D
55
T. Jacob
1 ⚽
D
T. Jacob
1 ⚽
D
8
T. Muyumba
M
T. Muyumba
M
16
Adrian Gill
62'
M
Adrian Gill
62'
M
48
C. Sanchez
77'
M
C. Sanchez
77'
M
10
M. Almirón
1 👟
F
M. Almirón
1 👟
F
22
F. Picault
1 ⚽
62'
F
F. Picault
1 ⚽
62'
F
59
A. Miranchuk
F
A. Miranchuk
F
Bench
4
E. Mihaj
D
E. Mihaj
D
42
Jayden Hibbert
G
Jayden Hibbert
G
20
L. Brennan
16'
M
L. Brennan
16'
M
47
Matthew Edwards
12'
D
Matthew Edwards
12'
D
2
R. Hernández
D
R. Hernández
D
7
S. Alzate
13'
M
S. Alzate
13'
M
19
Sergio Santos
F
Sergio Santos
F
5
S. Gregersen
17'
D
S. Gregersen
17'
D
28
William Reilly
28'
M
William Reilly
28'
M
30
S. Cleveland
G
S. Cleveland
G
18
E. Karić
62'
D
E. Karić
62'
D
28
Wyatt Meyer
D
Wyatt Meyer
D
3
M. Mosquera
D
M. Mosquera
D
8
J. Davis
44'
D
J. Davis
44'
D
11
C. Harris
M
C. Harris
M
22
Z. Bassong
M
Z. Bassong
M
4
L. Johnsen
M
L. Johnsen
M
7
Capita
87'
M
Capita
87'
M
19
T. Calheira
62'
F
T. Calheira
62'
F
93
M. Suleymanov
F
M. Suleymanov
F
Bench
57
Diego Borges
D
Diego Borges
D
2
I. James
D
I. James
D
15
Jansen Miller
D
Jansen Miller
D
16
J. Bartlett
9'
D
J. Bartlett
9'
D
1
J. Pulskamp
G
J. Pulskamp
G
99
J. Reid
28'
D
J. Reid
28'
D
13
J. Reynolds
46'
D
J. Reynolds
46'
D
20
K. Agyabeng
M
K. Agyabeng
M
17
S. Afrifa
1 ⚽
28'
F
S. Afrifa
1 ⚽
28'
F
Best on the pitch
M. Almirón
F · Atlanta
7.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 34 pass
F. Picault
F · Atlanta
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 27 pass
P. Díaz
D · Atlanta
7.30
· 64 pass
J. Alonso
D · Atlanta
7.20
· 76 pass
T. Jacob
D · Atlanta
7.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 36 pass
C. Sanchez
M · Atlanta
7.00
· 40 pass
Atlanta United FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hoyos | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 32% | — | — | — |
| E. Báez | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | 1 | 2 | 51 | 44% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 76 | 74% | 2 | — | — |
| P. Díaz | D | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 64 | 58% | — | — | — |
| T. Jacob | D | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 36 | 28% | 3 | — | — |
| T. Muyumba | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 48% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrian Gill | M | 62 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 30% | — | — | — |
| C. Sanchez | M | 77 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 40 | 37% | — | — | — |
| M. Almirón | F | 90 | 7.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 34 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Picault | F | 62 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Miranchuk | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 22% | — | — | — |
| L. Brennan | M | 16 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matthew Edwards | D | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Alzate | M | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| S. Gregersen | D | 17 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | — | — | — |
| William Reilly | M | 28 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Sporting Kansas City — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Cleveland | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 19% | — | — | — |
| E. Karić | D | 62 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 43% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Wyatt Meyer | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 61 | 56% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Davis | D | 44 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Harris | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Z. Bassong | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 53 | 46% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Johnsen | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 87 | 84% | 1 | — | — |
| Capita | M | 87 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Calheira | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 7% | — | — | — |
| M. Suleymanov | F | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bartlett | D | 9 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 3 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Reid | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Reynolds | D | 46 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 37 | 34% | — | — | — |
| S. Afrifa | F | 28 | 6.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The final score was Atlanta United FC 2–1 Sporting Kansas City.
What did the model predict before Atlanta United FC vs Sporting Kansas City?
The model assigned 59% probability to a Atlanta United FC win, 23% to a draw, and 17% to an Sporting Kansas City win.