← Primera Nacional

Atlanta - Atletico DE Rafaela

Primera Nacional May 16, 2026 18:00
Atlanta
#3 · 20 pts
vs
Atletico DE Rafaela
#6 · 19 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
42.7%
Win
Atlanta
33.58%
Draw
23.72%
Win
Atletico DE Rafaela
1.33
Expected xG
0.85

The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atlanta a 42% win probability, against 33% for a draw and 23% for Atletico DE Rafaela. Expected goals are 1.3 for Atlanta and 0.9 for Atletico DE Rafaela (total 2.2), with a 63% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 15.0% probability.

Score Matrix
↕ Atlanta Atletico DE Rafaela →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 11.3% 9.6% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% —
1 15.0% 12.8% 5.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 8.5% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% —
3 4.4% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% —
4 1.5% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% — —
5 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% — — —
Recent form
Atlanta Atlanta
D Agropecuario 0–0
W Tristan Suarez 3–1
W Club Atlético Güemes 0–2
W Chacarita Juniors 1–0
W San Martin S.J. 1–2
Clean sheet in casa (120gg) 36%
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
W Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0
L San Martin Tucuman 2–1
D Gimnasia Jujuy 0–0
W Agropecuario 4–1
D Tristan Suarez 0–0
Clean sheet in trasferta (120gg) 30%
Playing profile
Atlanta Atlanta
Attack
32
Defence
80
Form
59
Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack
28
Defence
81
Form
53
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
# Team G Pts
1 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 12 22
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 12 23
2 Colon Santa Fe Colon Santa Fe 12 22
2 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 12 21
3 Atlanta Atlanta 12 20
3 Deportivo Madryn Deportivo Madryn 12 19
4 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 12 19
4 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 12 20
5 Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 12 19
5 Midland Midland 12 19
6 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 12 19
6 Los Andes Los Andes 12 18
7 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 12 17
7 Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 12 18
8 Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 12 18
8 Temperley Temperley 12 16
9 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 12 15
9 Defensores De Belgrano Defensores De Belgrano 12 15
10 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 12 15
10 Racing Cordoba Racing Cordoba 12 15
11 San Miguel San Miguel 12 15
11 Agropecuario Agropecuario 12 15
12 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 12 14
12 CA Estudiantes CA Estudiantes 12 15
13 Patronato Patronato 12 14
13 San Telmo San Telmo 12 14
14 Atletico Mitre Atletico Mitre 12 13
14 Quilmes Quilmes 12 13
15 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 12 13
15 All Boys All Boys 12 11
16 Acassuso Acassuso 12 11
16 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 12 12
17 Central Norte Central Norte 12 10
17 Colegiales Colegiales 12 12
18 Chaco For Ever Chaco For Ever 12 7
18 Almagro Almagro 12 12
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atlanta vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
The model gives Atlanta a 42% win probability, 33% for a draw, and 23% for an Atletico DE Rafaela win.
How many goals are expected in Atlanta vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
Expected goals: Atlanta 1.3, Atletico DE Rafaela 0.9 (total 2.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 63%.
What is the most likely score in Atlanta vs Atletico DE Rafaela?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 15.0%.