Martin Sarrafiore
(ast. J. Charcopa)
90'+1
(pen.)
81'
A. Alvarado
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlante FC a 37% win probability (draw 30%, Leon 31%). The final result was Atlante FC 1–1 Leon.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
5
1.05
Actual xG
1.43
48%
Possession
52%
3
Corners
3
Match Events
46'
A. Alvarado
/
D. Cambindo
46'
D. Arcila
/
I. Diaz
46'
J. Cortizo
/
F. Beltran Cruz
71'
S. Vegas
73'
B. Colula
/
S. Vegas
L. Puente
74'
81'
(pen.)
A. Alvarado⚽
D. Gonzalez
/ J. Moxica
87'
A. Escobar
/ J. Charcopa
87'
E. Pizzuto
89'
⚽Martin Sarrafiore
· ast. J. Charcopa
90'+1
Martin Sarrafiore
/ O. Vazquez
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
37.85%
Atlante
30.37%
X ←
31.78%
Leon
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.37%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.81
1.05
-0.76
1.35
1.43
+0.08
Leon dominated by xG (1.43 vs 1.05).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Ó. Jiménez
G
Ó. Jiménez
G
27
A. Escobar
D
A. Escobar
D
44
A. Quiroz
D
A. Quiroz
D
4
E. Tercero
D
E. Tercero
D
14
C. Alfaro
D
C. Alfaro
D
29
Walter Portales
D
Walter Portales
D
16
José González
M
José González
M
30
M. Sarrafiore
1 ⚽
M
M. Sarrafiore
1 ⚽
M
8
E. Pizzuto
M
E. Pizzuto
M
7
J. Julio
F
J. Julio
F
9
L. Puente
F
L. Puente
F
Bench
32
D. Bagüí
D
D. Bagüí
D
20
G. Adame
M
G. Adame
M
3
G. Sánchez
D
G. Sánchez
D
15
Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas
1 👟
F
Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas
1 👟
F
6
J. N. Carrera
D
J. N. Carrera
D
11
Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa
F
Joaquin Alejandro Moxica Chapa
F
33
Jordan García
G
Jordan García
G
25
M. Fernández
M
M. Fernández
M
10
O. Vazquez
M
O. Vazquez
M
37
W. Clar
D
W. Clar
D
23
Ó. García
G
Ó. García
G
5
S. Vegas
D
S. Vegas
D
25
P. Bellón
D
P. Bellón
D
3
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
Juan José Guevara Possu
D
7
I. Moreno
D
I. Moreno
D
203
J. Lara
M
J. Lara
M
11
I. Díaz
M
I. Díaz
M
6
F. Beltrán
M
F. Beltrán
M
20
R. Echeverría
M
R. Echeverría
M
8
J. Domínguez
M
J. Domínguez
M
27
D. Cambindo
F
D. Cambindo
F
Bench
4
B. Colula
D
B. Colula
D
185
Christopher Mora
D
Christopher Mora
D
13
D. Arcila
M
D. Arcila
M
181
I. Martinez
G
I. Martinez
G
19
J. Alvarado
1 ⚽
F
J. Alvarado
1 ⚽
F
16
J. Cortizo
M
J. Cortizo
M
29
J. Rodríguez
M
J. Rodríguez
M
15
S. Fierro
M
S. Fierro
M
26
S. Reyes
M
S. Reyes
M
22
S. Santos
M
S. Santos
M
Atlante FC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ó. Jiménez | G | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Escobar | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Quiroz | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Tercero | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Alfaro | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walter Portales | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José González | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Sarrafiore | M | 0 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Pizzuto | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Julio | F | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Puente | F | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leon — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ó. García | G | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Vegas | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Bellón | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan José Guevara Possu | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lara | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Díaz | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Beltrán | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Echeverría | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Domínguez | M | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Cambindo | F | 0 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlante FC vs Leon?
The final score was Atlante FC 1–1 Leon.
What did the model predict before Atlante FC vs Leon?
The model assigned 37% probability to a Atlante FC win, 30% to a draw, and 31% to an Leon win.