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Atlante FC - Monterrey

Liga MX September 26, 2026 03:00 Estadio Azul, Mexico City
Atlante FC
#14 · 8 pts
vs
Monterrey
#10 · 13 pts
Weather at kick-off 🌦️ Light drizzle 15.5°C 💨 9 km/h · Mexico City
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.03%
Win
Atlante FC
28.79%
Draw
41.18%
Win
Monterrey
1.24
Expected xG
1.83

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.34%)
1X2 Result
1 30%
X 29%
2 41%
Double Chance
1X 59%
X2 70%
12 71%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 78%
Over 2.5 54%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Monterrey a 41% win probability, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Atlante FC. Expected goals are 1.2 for Atlante FC and 1.8 for Monterrey (total 3.1), with a 78% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.34% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Atlante FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Monterrey.

Season Stats

Atlante FC
1W 5D 3L
Monterrey
5W 3D 7L
Averages per game
0.9
Goals
1.5
1.4
Conceded
1.6
4.3
Shots OT
5.9
4.6
Corners
5.8
42%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
89%
O 1.5
80%
33%
O 2.5
67%
67%
BTTS
60%
11%
Clean Sht
27%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Liga MX. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
Atlante FC
0W 3D 1L · at home
Monterrey
2W 2D 6L · away
0.5
gls/g
1.0
1.2
Conceded
1.4
0%
Win %
20%
75%
Win or Draw
40%
75%
O 1.5
70%
25%
O 2.5
40%
0%
O 3.5
20%
50%
BTTS
30%
25%
Clean Sht
20%
50%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atlante FC Monterrey →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.6% 8.5% 7.8% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8%
1 5.8% 10.5% 9.6% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.6% 6.5% 6.0% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.5% 0.8% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% —

Recent form

Atlante FC Atlante FC
D Puebla 1–1
L CF Pachuca 0–3
D Atlas 1–1
D Leon 1–1
L Tigres UANL 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Monterrey Monterrey
W Cruz Azul 1–0
D Tigres UANL 0–0
L Atletico San Luis 1–3
L Leon 2–0
W FC Juarez 6–1
Away clean sheet (120 days) 19%

Playing profile

Atlante FC Atlante FC
Attack
33
Defence
55
Form
35
Monterrey Monterrey
Attack
47
Defence
65
Form
49
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Atlante FC
1
Draw
0
Monterrey
4 Jul 2026 Friendlies Clubs 1–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Toluca Toluca 9 19
2 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 9 18
3 Club America Club America 8 17
4 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 9 15
5 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 8 14
6 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 8 14
7 Leon Leon 9 14
8 Puebla Puebla 9 14
9 Atlas Atlas 9 14
10 Monterrey Monterrey 8 13
11 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 9 12
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 9 12
13 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 9 9
14 Atlante FC Atlante FC 9 8
15 Necaxa Necaxa 9 8
16 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 9 7
17 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 9 7
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 9 3
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atlante FC vs Monterrey?
The model gives Atlante FC a 30% win probability, 28% for a draw, and 41% for an Monterrey win.
How many goals are expected in Atlante FC vs Monterrey?
Expected goals: Atlante FC 1.2, Monterrey 1.8 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 78%.
What is the most likely score in Atlante FC vs Monterrey?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.34%.