The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Toluca a 36% win probability (draw 30%, Atlante FC 32%). The final result was Atlante FC 0–0 Toluca. In 1 previous meetings, Atlante FC have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Toluca.
Match statistics
5
Shots on target
2
0.88
Actual xG
0.86
43%
Possession
57%
8
Corners
7
Match Events
A. Quiros
13'
E. Jimenez
/ W. Clar
29'
O. Vazquez
/ Martin Sarrafiore
53'
60'
Helinho
/
J. Angulo
60'
P. Perez
/
D. Barbosa
74'
F. Arce
/
E. Gutierrez
75'
H. Gonzalez
/
L. Garcia
L. Puente
/ J. Moxica
80'
82'
V. Guzman
/
J. Diaz Price
J. N. Carrera
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
32.7%
Atlante
30.42%
X ←
36.88%
Toluca
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
30.42%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.64
0.88
-0.76
0.96
0.86
-0.1
xG dominance was balanced (0.88 – 0.86).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlante FC vs Toluca?
The final score was Atlante FC 0–0 Toluca.
What did the model predict before Atlante FC vs Toluca?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Atlante FC win, 30% to a draw, and 36% to an Toluca win.