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Liga MX · Apertura - 3 August 02, 2026 03:05 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara
Atlas
#4 · 24 pts
0 – 2
Final score
Monterrey
#7 · 20 pts
28' D. Rossi
(pen.) 90'+7 L. Ocampos
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Monterrey a 34% win probability (draw 32%, Atlas 32%). The final result was Atlas 0–2 Monterrey. In 3 previous meetings, Atlas have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Monterrey.

Match statistics
6
Total shots
10
1
Shots on target
4
0.43
Actual xG
1.83
3
Saves
1
47%
Possession
53%
6
Corners
2
20
Tackles
14
5
🟨 Yellow cards
2
2
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
V. H. Rios De Alba
18'
J. Sanchez
19'
28'
D. Rossi⚽
L. Esteves
40'
↕ L. Esteves / S. Hernandez
45'+3
↕ J. Sanchez / Gustavo Ferrareis
45'+3
M. Capasso
47'
E. Zaldivar
49'
57'
A. Aceves
64'
R. Chavez / L. Orellano ↕
64'
G. Arteaga / A. Aceves ↕
Duk
71'
75'
F. Ambriz / J. Corona ↕
75'
J. Rodriguez / O. Pineda ↕
↕ A. Gonzalez / P. Ramirez
77'
↕ E. Zaldivar / J. Lozano
84'
↕ R. Mmaee / J. Martin
84'
86'
I. Fimbres / O. Torres ↕
88'
C. Salcedo
M. Valenzuela
90'+5
90'+5
C. Salcedo
90'+7
(pen.) L. Ocampos⚽
Pre-match prediction
32.58%
Atlas
32.5%
X
34.92%
Monterrey ←
we assigned to the actual result (Monterrey) 34.92% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atlas
0.81
0.43
-0.38
Monterrey
1.37
1.83
+0.46
Monterrey dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.43). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Club America Club America 13 27
2 Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 14 26
3 Guadalajara Chivas Guadalajara Chivas 14 26
4 Atlas Atlas 14 24
5 Toluca Toluca 14 23
6 Leon Leon 14 22
7 Monterrey Monterrey 13 20
8 Club Tijuana Club Tijuana 13 20
9 Club Queretaro Club Queretaro 13 20
10 Santos Laguna Santos Laguna 14 19
11 Atletico San Luis Atletico San Luis 14 19
12 U.N.A.M. - Pumas U.N.A.M. - Pumas 14 17
13 CF Pachuca CF Pachuca 14 16
14 Puebla Puebla 14 16
15 Tigres UANL Tigres UANL 14 15
16 Atlante FC Atlante FC 14 14
17 Necaxa Necaxa 14 10
18 FC Juarez FC Juarez 14 5
Lineups
Atlas Atlas 4-2-2-2
12 C. Vargas C. Vargas G 7.00
16 M. Valenzuela M. Valenzuela D 6.20
21 R. Schlegel R. Schlegel D 6.30
28 M. Capasso M. Capasso D 6.30
3 J. Sánchez J. Sánchez 44' D 6.20
27 V. Ríos V. Ríos M 6.70
6 É. Zaldívar É. Zaldívar 84' M 6.90
10 Luís Esteves Luís Esteves 44' M 6.50
58 A. González A. González 77' M 6.90
8 R. Mmaee R. Mmaee 84' F 6.70
11 Duk Duk 71' F 6.30
Bench
22 A. Sánchez A. Sánchez G
13 G. Aguirre G. Aguirre D
2 Gustavo Ferrareis Gustavo Ferrareis 46' F 6.90
208 Jesús Guillén Jesús Guillén M
17 J. Lozano J. Lozano 17' D 6.30
203 J. Martín J. Martín 17' F 6.30
44 J. Purata J. Purata M
15 Paulo Ramírez Paulo Ramírez 13' D 6.30
23 S. Hernández S. Hernández 46' M 6.60
Monterrey Monterrey 3-4-2-1
22 L. Cárdenas L. Cárdenas G 7.20
19 A. Aceves A. Aceves 64' D 6.90
13 C. Salcedo C. Salcedo D 6.70
4 V. Guzmán V. Guzmán D 7.50
17 J. Corona J. Corona 75' M 7.30
8 Óliver Torres Óliver Torres 86' M 7.50
25 O. Pineda O. Pineda 75' M 6.70
10 L. Orellano L. Orellano 64' M 6.30
9 D. Rossi D. Rossi 1 ⚽ F 7.00
7 L. Ocampos L. Ocampos 1 ⚽ F 8.60
99 H. Cuypers H. Cuypers F 6.20
Bench
18 Cesar Garza Cantu Cesar Garza Cantu M
31 C. Ramos C. Ramos G
5 F. Ambríz F. Ambríz 15' M 6.70
3 G. Arteaga G. Arteaga 26' D 6.90
11 Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa 15' M 7.20
30 J. Rodríguez J. Rodríguez 15' M 6.90
21 L. Reyes L. Reyes D
2 R. Chávez R. Chávez 26' D 6.70
27 R. de la Rosa R. de la Rosa F
32 U. Đurđević U. Đurđević F
Best on the pitch
L. Ocampos
L. Ocampos
F · Monterrey
8.60
1 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
Óliver Torres
Óliver Torres
M · Monterrey
7.50
· 48 pass
V. Guzmán
V. Guzmán
D · Monterrey
7.50
1 shots · 48 pass
J. Corona
J. Corona
M · Monterrey
7.30
· 27 pass
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa
M · Monterrey
7.20
· 5 pass
L. Cárdenas
L. Cárdenas
G · Monterrey
7.20
· 33 pass
Atlas Atlas — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
C. Vargas G 90 7.00 — — — 36 33% — — —
M. Valenzuela D 90 6.20 — — — 21 12% 6 — 1
R. Schlegel D 90 6.30 — — — 66 63% 2 — —
M. Capasso D 90 6.30 — — — 67 55% — 1 —
J. Sánchez D 44 6.20 — — — 18 14% 1 1 —
V. Ríos M 90 6.70 — — — 38 33% 2 1 —
É. Zaldívar M 84 6.90 — — — 34 28% 1 1 —
Luís Esteves M 44 6.50 — — — 19 12% 1 1 —
A. González M 77 6.90 — — — 23 20% — — —
R. Mmaee F 84 6.70 — — 2 17 13% 2 — —
Duk F 71 6.30 — — 2 15 10% 3 — 1
Gustavo Ferrareis F 46 6.90 — — — 18 17% 1 — —
J. Lozano D 17 6.30 — — — 3 2% — — —
J. Martín F 17 6.30 — — — 4 4% — — —
Paulo Ramírez D 13 6.30 — — 1 3 3% — — —
S. Hernández M 46 6.60 — — 1 14 8% 1 — —
Monterrey Monterrey — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
L. Cárdenas G 90 7.20 — — — 33 31% — — —
A. Aceves D 64 6.90 — — — 38 35% 1 1 —
C. Salcedo D 90 6.70 — — — 62 56% 1 1 1
V. Guzmán D 90 7.50 — — 1 48 42% — — —
J. Corona M 75 7.30 — — — 27 21% — — —
Óliver Torres M 86 7.50 — — — 48 39% 4 — —
O. Pineda M 75 6.70 — — 1 24 20% 1 — —
L. Orellano M 64 6.30 — — 1 17 15% 1 — —
D. Rossi F 90 7.00 1 — 4 26 22% 1 — —
L. Ocampos F 90 8.60 1 — 3 31 23% 3 — —
H. Cuypers F 90 6.20 — — — 21 16% — — —
F. Ambríz M 15 6.70 — — — 19 16% — — —
G. Arteaga D 26 6.90 — — — 18 18% — — —
Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa M 15 7.20 — — — 5 4% 1 — —
J. Rodríguez M 15 6.90 — — — 22 19% 1 — —
R. Chávez D 26 6.70 — — — 17 15% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlas vs Monterrey?
The final score was Atlas 0–2 Monterrey.
What did the model predict before Atlas vs Monterrey?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Atlas win, 32% to a draw, and 34% to an Monterrey win.