Florián Monzón
(ast. Jorge Rodríguez)
1'
Kevin Zenon
(ast. Luís André Leite Esteves)
63'
José Martín
(ast. Kevin Zenon)
68'
José Martín
(ast. Luís André Leite Esteves)
79'
20'
L. Hernández
(og)
60'
Jorge Sánchez
84'
(ast. Alejandro Organista)
Omar Moreno
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlas a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Puebla 20%). The final result was Atlas 4–3 Puebla. In 3 previous meetings, Atlas have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Puebla.
Match statistics
16
Total shots
12
6
Shots on target
4
1.38
Actual xG
1.10
2
Saves
2
52%
Possession
48%
7
Corners
3
23
Tackles
19
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Florián Monzón
· ast. Jorge Rodríguez
1'
20'
L. Hernández⚽
22'
Alejandro Organista
Elías Montiel
/ Edgar Zaldívar
42'
Ryan Mmaee
/ Sergio Hernández
45'
60'
(og)
Jorge Sánchez⚽
⚽Kevin Zenon
· ast. Luís André Leite Esteves
63'
Paulo Ramirez
/ José Martín
67'
Jorge Rodríguez
/ Milton Valenzuela
67'
67'
Eduardo Mustre
/
L. Hernández
⚽José Martín
· ast. Kevin Zenon
68'
72'
Alonso Ramirez
Florián Monzón
/ Juan Sánchez
75'
78'
Alonso Ramirez
⚽José Martín
· ast. Luís André Leite Esteves
79'
83'
Oscar Villa
/
Fernando Monarrez
83'
José Pachuca
/
Iker Moreno
83'
Kevin Velasco
/
Brayan Garnica
84'
ast. Alejandro Organista ·
Omar Moreno⚽
88'
Mathías Adrián Tomás Borges
/
Alejandro Organista
Pre-match prediction
56.3%
Atlas ←
23.42%
X
20.28%
Puebla
we assigned to the actual result (Atlas)
56.3%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.06
1.38
-0.68
1.07
1.10
+0.03
xG dominance was balanced (1.38 – 1.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
C. Vargas
G
C. Vargas
G
5
J. Rodríguez
1 👟
67'
D
J. Rodríguez
1 👟
67'
D
19
A. Frías
D
A. Frías
D
28
M. Capasso
D
M. Capasso
D
3
J. Sánchez
1 ⚽
D
J. Sánchez
1 ⚽
D
18
E. Montiel
42'
M
E. Montiel
42'
M
15
Paulo Ramírez
67'
M
Paulo Ramírez
67'
M
10
Luís Esteves
2 👟
M
Luís Esteves
2 👟
M
20
K. Zenón
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
K. Zenón
1 ⚽
1 👟
M
8
R. Mmaee
45'
F
R. Mmaee
45'
F
9
F. Monzón
1 ⚽
75'
F
F. Monzón
1 ⚽
75'
F
Bench
58
A. González
F
A. González
F
26
A. Rocha
M
A. Rocha
M
22
A. Sánchez
G
A. Sánchez
G
6
É. Zaldívar
48'
M
É. Zaldívar
48'
M
13
G. Aguirre
D
G. Aguirre
D
203
J. Martín
2 ⚽
23'
F
J. Martín
2 ⚽
23'
F
44
J. Purata
15'
D
J. Purata
15'
D
16
M. Valenzuela
23'
D
M. Valenzuela
23'
D
23
S. Hernández
45'
M
S. Hernández
45'
M
27
V. RÃos
M
V. RÃos
M
28
R. Gutiérrez
G
R. Gutiérrez
G
7
F. Monárrez
83'
D
F. Monárrez
83'
D
4
J. Vargas
D
J. Vargas
D
5
F. Almada
D
F. Almada
D
12
I. Moreno
83'
D
I. Moreno
83'
D
16
A. Ramírez
78'
M
A. Ramírez
78'
M
8
O. Moreno
1 ⚽
M
O. Moreno
1 ⚽
M
14
E. Armenta
M
E. Armenta
M
24
A. Organista
1 👟
88'
M
A. Organista
1 👟
88'
M
27
B. Garnica
83'
M
B. Garnica
83'
M
9
L. Hernández
1 ⚽
67'
F
L. Hernández
1 ⚽
67'
F
Bench
3
A. Herrera
M
A. Herrera
M
29
E. Mustre
23'
F
E. Mustre
23'
F
19
I. Maestro Puch
F
I. Maestro Puch
F
6
J. Díaz
D
J. Díaz
D
20
J. Pachuca
7'
D
J. Pachuca
7'
D
33
J. Rodríguez
G
J. Rodríguez
G
26
K. Velasco
7'
F
K. Velasco
7'
F
34
Lucas Camilo
M
Lucas Camilo
M
10
M. Tomás
2'
M
M. Tomás
2'
M
15
Ó. Villa
7'
D
Ó. Villa
7'
D
Best on the pitch
K. Zenón
M · Atlas
8.82
1 ⚽ 1 👟
6 shots
· 34 pass
J. Martín
F · Atlas
8.65
2 ⚽
2 shots
· 5 pass
L. Hernández
F · Puebla
8.08
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
Luís Esteves
M · Atlas
7.96
2 👟
2 shots
· 41 pass
F. Monzón
F · Atlas
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
J. Rodríguez
D · Atlas
6.85
1 👟
· 24 pass
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Vargas | G | 90 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 67 | 6.85 | — | 1 | 0 | 24 | 22% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Frías | D | 90 | 6.57 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 58% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Capasso | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Sánchez | D | 90 | 5.66 | 1 | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 6 | — | — |
| E. Montiel | M | 42 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Paulo Ramírez | M | 67 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 26% | 0 | — | — |
| Luís Esteves | M | 90 | 7.96 | — | 2 | 2 | 41 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Zenón | M | 90 | 8.82 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 34 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Mmaee | F | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 8 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Monzón | F | 75 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| É. Zaldívar | M | 48 | 6.03 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 26% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Martín | F | 23 | 8.65 | 2 | — | 2 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Purata | D | 15 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Valenzuela | D | 23 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Hernández | M | 45 | 5.97 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 8% | 3 | — | — |
Puebla — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Gutiérrez | G | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 23% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Monárrez | D | 83 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Vargas | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Almada | D | 90 | 6.33 | — | — | 0 | 54 | 47% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Moreno | D | 83 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ramírez | M | 78 | 5.39 | — | — | 1 | 44 | 39% | 1 | — | 1 |
| O. Moreno | M | 90 | 6.75 | 1 | — | 2 | 21 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| E. Armenta | M | 90 | 6.13 | — | — | 2 | 30 | 25% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Organista | M | 88 | 6.66 | — | 1 | 1 | 39 | 35% | 2 | 1 | — |
| B. Garnica | M | 83 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 16% | 5 | — | — |
| L. Hernández | F | 67 | 8.08 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Mustre | F | 23 | 6.22 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 8% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Pachuca | D | 7 | 5.69 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Velasco | F | 7 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Tomás | M | 2 | 5.90 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Ó. Villa | D | 7 | 5.70 | — | — | 0 | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlas vs Puebla?
The final score was Atlas 4–3 Puebla.
What did the model predict before Atlas vs Puebla?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Atlas win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Puebla win.