The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 38% win probability (draw 36%, Atlas 25%). The final result was Atlas 0–0 Tigres UANL. In 2 previous meetings, Atlas have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Tigres UANL.
Match statistics
2
Total shots
11
0
Shots on target
3
0.10
Actual xG
0.93
3
Saves
0
42%
Possession
58%
5
Corners
4
17
Tackles
9
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
17'
J. Brunetta
/
Joaquim
35'
F. Gorriaran
37'
46'
R. Guerrero
/
F. Gorriaran
60'
M. Flores
/
O. Herrera
60'
A. Gignac
/
R. Aguirre
P. Ramirez
/ M. E. Garcia
63'
A. Rocha
70'
E. Aguirre
/ A. Rodriguez
72'
S. Hernandez
/ E. Zaldivar
73'
D. Gonzalez
/ L. Gamboa
73'
79'
F. Reyes
/
J. Angulo
79'
J. Garza
J. Rodriguez
/ G. Aguirre
85'
L. Gamboa
90'+3
Gustavo Ferrareis
90'+12
Pre-match prediction
25.68%
Atlas
36.24%
X ←
38.08%
Tigres
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
36.24%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.61
0.10
-0.51
0.87
0.93
+0.06
Tigres UANL dominated by xG (0.93 vs 0.10).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
12
G
25
J. Rodríguez
85'
D
J. Rodríguez
85'
D
21
R. Schlegel
D
R. Schlegel
D
28
M. Capasso
D
M. Capasso
D
3
Gustavo Ferrareis
D
Gustavo Ferrareis
D
26
A. Rocha
M
A. Rocha
M
199
S. Hernández
73'
M
S. Hernández
73'
M
15
Paulo Ramírez
63'
M
Paulo Ramírez
63'
M
27
V. RÃos
M
V. RÃos
M
11
D. González
73'
M
D. González
73'
M
19
E. Aguirre
72'
F
E. Aguirre
72'
F
Bench
6
É. Zaldívar
17'
M
É. Zaldívar
17'
M
13
G. Aguirre
19'
D
G. Aguirre
19'
D
251
L. Gamboa
17'
F
L. Gamboa
17'
F
1
G
27
Jesús Angulo
79'
D
Jesús Angulo
79'
D
28
Joaquim
17'
D
Joaquim
17'
D
23
Rômulo
D
Rômulo
D
14
D
8
F. Gorriarán
45'
M
F. Gorriarán
45'
M
5
C. Araújo
M
C. Araújo
M
77
O. Herrera
60'
M
O. Herrera
60'
M
7
Á. Correa
M
Á. Correa
M
16
D. Lainez
M
D. Lainez
M
17
R. Aguirre
60'
F
R. Aguirre
60'
F
Bench
10
André-Pierre Gignac
30'
F
André-Pierre Gignac
30'
F
30
D. Sánchez
F
D. Sánchez
F
2
Francisco Reyes
11'
D
Francisco Reyes
11'
D
11
J. Brunetta
73'
M
J. Brunetta
73'
M
20
Marcelo Flores
30'
M
Marcelo Flores
30'
M
33
R. Guerrero
45'
D
R. Guerrero
45'
D
204
Simeone
M
Simeone
M
Best on the pitch
G · Atlas
8.00
· 31 pass
C. Araújo
M · Tigres
7.50
· 49 pass
J. Brunetta
M · Tigres
7.30
2 shots
· 44 pass
D · Tigres
7.30
· 40 pass
J. Rodríguez
D · Atlas
7.20
· 29 pass
G · Tigres
7.20
· 39 pass
Atlas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 31 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| J. Rodríguez | D | 85 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Schlegel | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Capasso | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 44 | 34% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Ferrareis | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 3 | — | 1 |
| A. Rocha | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 23% | 3 | 1 | — |
| S. Hernández | M | 73 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 12 | 5% | 3 | — | — |
| Paulo Ramírez | M | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 12 | 9% | — | — | — |
| V. RÃos | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 37 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| D. González | M | 73 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Aguirre | F | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 7% | — | — | — |
| É. Zaldívar | M | 17 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| G. Aguirre | D | 19 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| L. Gamboa | F | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Tigres UANL — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 39 | 29% | — | — | — | |
| Jesús Angulo | D | 79 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 38 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquim | D | 17 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
| Rômulo | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 2 | 53 | 46% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — | |
| F. Gorriarán | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 36 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Araújo | M | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 3 | — | — |
| O. Herrera | M | 60 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Á. Correa | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 28 | 27% | — | — | — |
| D. Lainez | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Aguirre | F | 60 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| André-Pierre Gignac | F | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Francisco Reyes | D | 11 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 3% | — | — | — |
| J. Brunetta | M | 73 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 44 | 38% | — | — | — |
| Marcelo Flores | M | 30 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 12 | 10% | — | — | — |
| R. Guerrero | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 24% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlas vs Tigres UANL?
The final score was Atlas 0–0 Tigres UANL.
What did the model predict before Atlas vs Tigres UANL?
The model assigned 25% probability to a Atlas win, 36% to a draw, and 38% to an Tigres UANL win.