Liga MX · Apertura - 4 August 16, 2026 05:10 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Atlas

#6 · 13 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Tigres UANL

#15 · 6 pts

M. Capasso (ast. A. Gonzalez) 2'

L. Esteves (ast. E. Zaldivar) 81'

21' (ast. R. Aguirre) J. Brunetta

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Atlas 31%). The final result was Atlas 2–1 Tigres UANL. In 2 previous meetings, Atlas have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Tigres UANL.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

7

0.66

Actual xG

2.70

45%

Possession

55%

2

Corners

16

Match Events

⚽M. Capasso · ast. A. Gonzalez

2'

21'

ast. R. Aguirre · J. Brunetta⚽

V. H. Rios De Alba

22'

30'

H. Elizondo

M. Capasso

35'

↕ V. H. Rios De Alba / P. Ramirez

46'

56'

J. Garza

↕ A. Gonzalez / L. Esteves

65'

↕ J. Martin / J. Rodriguez

65'

J. Sanchez

70'

↕ Duk / G. Aguirre

71'

80'

V. Lorona / F. Reyes ↕

80'

J. Vigon / A. Franco ↕

⚽L. Esteves · ast. E. Zaldivar

81'

85'

(missed pen.) J. Brunetta⚽

88'

D. Ramirez / Joaquim ↕

90'

I. Galvan / D. Lainez ↕

Pre-match prediction

31.1%

Atlas ←

32.24%

X

36.66%

Tigres

we assigned to the actual result (Atlas) 31.1% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atlas

0.88

0.66

-0.22

Tigres

1.47

2.70

+1.23

Tigres UANL dominated by xG (2.70 vs 0.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	6	16
2	Guadalajara Chivas	7	14
3	Toluca	6	13
4	Club Queretaro	7	13
5	Club Tijuana	7	13
6	Atlas	7	13
7	Puebla	7	13
8	Cruz Azul	7	12
9	CF Pachuca	8	11
10	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	7	11
11	Leon	7	10
12	Monterrey	6	9
13	Necaxa	8	8
14	Atlante FC	8	7
15	Tigres UANL	7	6
16	Atletico San Luis	7	6
17	Santos Laguna	7	1
18	FC Juarez	7	0