Liga MX · Apertura - 4 August 16, 2026 05:10 Estadio Jalisco, Guadalajara

Atlas

#4 · 24 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Tigres UANL

#15 · 15 pts

M. Capasso (ast. A. Gonzalez) 2'

L. Esteves (ast. E. Zaldivar) 81'

21' (ast. R. Aguirre) J. Brunetta

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Tigres UANL a 36% win probability (draw 32%, Atlas 31%). The final result was Atlas 2–1 Tigres UANL. In 2 previous meetings, Atlas have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Tigres UANL.

Match statistics

3

Shots on target

7

0.66

Actual xG

2.70

45%

Possession

55%

2

Corners

16

Match Events

⚽M. Capasso · ast. A. Gonzalez

2'

21'

ast. R. Aguirre · J. Brunetta⚽

V. H. Rios De Alba

22'

30'

H. Elizondo

M. Capasso

35'

↕ V. H. Rios De Alba / P. Ramirez

46'

56'

J. Garza

↕ A. Gonzalez / L. Esteves

65'

↕ J. Martin / J. Rodriguez

65'

J. Sanchez

70'

↕ Duk / G. Aguirre

71'

80'

V. Lorona / F. Reyes ↕

80'

J. Vigon / A. Franco ↕

⚽L. Esteves · ast. E. Zaldivar

81'

85'

(missed pen.) J. Brunetta⚽

88'

D. Ramirez / Joaquim ↕

90'

I. Galvan / D. Lainez ↕

Pre-match prediction

31.1%

Atlas ←

32.24%

X

36.66%

Tigres

we assigned to the actual result (Atlas) 31.1% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atlas

0.88

0.66

-0.22

Tigres

1.47

2.70

+1.23

Tigres UANL dominated by xG (2.70 vs 0.66). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Club America	13	27
2	Cruz Azul	14	26
3	Guadalajara Chivas	14	26
4	Atlas	14	24
5	Toluca	14	23
6	Leon	14	22
7	Monterrey	13	20
8	Club Tijuana	13	20
9	Club Queretaro	13	20
10	Santos Laguna	14	19
11	Atletico San Luis	14	19
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	14	17
13	CF Pachuca	14	16
14	Puebla	14	16
15	Tigres UANL	14	15
16	Atlante FC	14	14
17	Necaxa	14	10
18	FC Juarez	14	5