Atletico Ascoli - Maceratese
Serie D - Girone F
September 13, 2026 15:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
34.43%
Win
Atletico Ascoli
32.78%
Draw
32.79%
Win
Maceratese
1.48
0.99
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(11.98%)
1X2 Result
1
34%
X
33%
2
33%
Double Chance
1X
67%
X2
66%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
75%
Over 2.5
52%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Ascoli a 34% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 32% for Maceratese. Expected goals are 1.5 for Atletico Ascoli and 1.0 for Maceratese (total 2.5), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.98% probability. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico Ascoli have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Maceratese.
Season Stats
5W
6D
4L
4W
2D
9L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.0
1.1
Conceded
1.5
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
40%
O 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
33%
20%
Clean Sht
13%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Serie D - Girone F. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
30%
O 3.5
40%
BTTS
6W
4D
0L
· at home
1W
2D
7L
· away
1.8
gls/g
0.7
0.7
Conceded
1.6
60%
Win %
10%
100%
Win or Draw
30%
80%
O 1.5
60%
40%
O 2.5
50%
30%
O 3.5
30%
60%
BTTS
20%
40%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
70%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Atletico Ascoli
Maceratese →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.5% | 12.4% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 9.3% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | — |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | — |
| 5 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — |
Playing profile
Atletico Ascoli
Attack
13
Defence
40
Form
24
Maceratese
Attack
14
Defence
32
Form
19
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vigor Senigallia
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Teramo
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Angelana
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Ancona
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Foligno Calcio
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
Santegidiese
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Fossombrone
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
L'Aquila
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Recanatese
|
1 | 1 |
| 10 |
Pietralunga
|
1 | 1 |
| 11 |
Real Giulianova
|
1 | 0 |
| 12 |
Notaresco
|
1 | 0 |
| 13 |
Montecchio Gallo
|
1 | 0 |
| 14 |
Lanciano FC
|
1 | 0 |
| 15 |
Termoli Calcio
|
1 | 0 |
| 16 |
Atletico Ascoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 17 |
Sporting Trestina
|
1 | 0 |
| 18 |
Maceratese
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?
The model gives Atletico Ascoli a 34% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 32% for an Maceratese win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?
Expected goals: Atletico Ascoli 1.5, Maceratese 1.0 (total 2.5). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Ascoli vs Maceratese?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.98%.