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Atlético CP - Casa Pia

Taça de Portugal November 21, 2026 16:00
Atlético CP
vs
Casa Pia
⚡ Pre-match analysis
57.41%
Win
Atlético CP
26.52%
Draw
16.08%
Win
Casa Pia
1.52
Expected xG
0.37
Most likely outcome
Atlético CP
57.41%
Probability

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–0 (19.5%)
1X2 Result
1 57%
X 27%
2 16%
Double Chance
1X 84%
X2 43%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 66%
Over 2.5 35%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atlético CP a 57% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Casa Pia. Expected goals are 1.5 for Atlético CP and 0.4 for Casa Pia (total 1.9), with a 65% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 19.5% probability.

Season Stats

Atlético CP
5W 0D 1L
Casa Pia
3W 0D 1L
Averages per game
2.0
Goals
2.0
0.5
Conceded
0.5
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
75%
33%
O 2.5
75%
17%
BTTS
25%
67%
Clean Sht
75%
ℹ Based on the last 6 matches in Taça de Portugal. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
10%
O 3.5
10%
BTTS
Atlético CP
4W 0D 1L · at home
Casa Pia
3W 0D 0L · away
1.6
gls/g
2.3
0.6
Conceded
0.0
80%
Win %
100%
80%
Win or Draw
100%
60%
O 1.5
67%
20%
O 2.5
67%
20%
O 3.5
0%
20%
BTTS
0%
60%
Clean Sht
100%
20%
Failed to Score
0%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atlético CP Casa Pia →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 15.1% 5.6% 1.0% 0.1% — —
1 23.0% 8.5% 1.6% 0.2% — —
2 17.5% 6.4% 1.2% 0.1% — —
3 8.8% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% — —
4 3.4% 1.2% 0.2% — — —
5 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% — — —

Recent form

Atlético CP Atlético CP
W Vizela 1–0
W Lagoa 4–1
W Olímpico do Montijo 0–4
L Benfica 0–2
W Felgueiras 1932 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 22%
Casa Pia Casa Pia
W Alpendorada 0–1
L Torreense 1–2
W Alpendorada 0–3
W Ançã 0–3
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Atlético CP Atlético CP
Attack
64
Defence
80
Form
76
Casa Pia Casa Pia
Attack
25
Defence
65
Form
55
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atlético CP vs Casa Pia?
The model gives Atlético CP a 57% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 16% for an Casa Pia win.
How many goals are expected in Atlético CP vs Casa Pia?
Expected goals: Atlético CP 1.5, Casa Pia 0.4 (total 1.9). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 65%.
What is the most likely score in Atlético CP vs Casa Pia?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 19.5%.