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Atletico DE Rafaela - Chacarita Juniors

Primera Nacional August 08, 2026 21:00
Atletico DE Rafaela
#8 · 31 pts
vs
Chacarita Juniors
#15 · 26 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
35.17%
Win
Atletico DE Rafaela
39.56%
Draw
25.27%
Win
Chacarita Juniors
0.68
Expected xG
0.56

Market probabilities

Most likely result 0–0 (28.59%)
1X2 Result
1 35%
X 40%
2 25%
Double Chance
1X 75%
X2 65%
12 60%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 56%
Over 2.5 29%
✓ 40.0% hit rate (10 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico DE Rafaela a 35% win probability, against 39% for a draw and 25% for Chacarita Juniors. Expected goals are 0.7 for Atletico DE Rafaela and 0.6 for Chacarita Juniors (total 1.2), with a 55% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 0–0 at 28.59% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico DE Rafaela have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chacarita Juniors.

Season Stats

Atletico DE Rafaela
5W 4D 6L
Chacarita Juniors
6W 3D 6L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
0.8
0.9
Conceded
0.8
Percentages
47%
O 1.5
47%
20%
O 2.5
13%
27%
BTTS
20%
47%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Primera Nacional. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
15%
O 3.5
30%
BTTS
Atletico DE Rafaela
7W 1D 2L · at home
Chacarita Juniors
1W 3D 6L · away
1.2
gls/g
0.5
0.6
Conceded
1.3
70%
Win %
10%
80%
Win or Draw
40%
30%
O 1.5
60%
30%
O 2.5
10%
20%
O 3.5
10%
30%
BTTS
30%
70%
Clean Sht
20%
10%
Failed to Score
60%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico DE Rafaela Chacarita Juniors →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 29.1% 16.2% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1% —
1 19.8% 11.0% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% —
2 6.7% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% — —
3 1.5% 0.8% 0.2% — — —
4 0.3% 0.1% — — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
D San Martin S.J. 1–1
W Nueva Chicago 1–0
L Temperley 2–0
L Deportivo Maipu 1–3
L Almagro 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 51%
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
W Agropecuario 2–1
L Tristan Suarez 1–0
D Gimnasia Jujuy 1–1
W San Martin S.J. 0–1
D Tristan Suarez 0–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 26%

Playing profile

Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela
Attack
13
Defence
77
Form
48
Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors
Attack
19
Defence
73
Form
44
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
Draw
0
Chacarita Juniors
22 Mar 2026 Primera Nacional 1–0

Group 2

# Team G Pts
1 Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 23 41
2 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 22 39
3 Temperley Temperley 23 37
4 Atlanta Atlanta 22 36
5 Midland Midland 22 34
6 Gimnasia Y Tiro Gimnasia Y Tiro 23 34
7 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 23 32
8 Atletico DE Rafaela Atletico DE Rafaela 23 31
9 San Martin Tucuman San Martin Tucuman 23 30
10 Colegiales Colegiales 22 29
11 Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 22 29
12 Almagro Almagro 23 29
13 Quilmes Quilmes 23 28
14 San Martin S.J. San Martin S.J. 21 27
15 Chacarita Juniors Chacarita Juniors 22 26
16 Patronato Patronato 22 23
17 Agropecuario Agropecuario 23 23
18 Club Atlético Güemes Club Atlético Güemes 22 19

What's at stake · Group 2

Top 2 advance to the next round

Atletico DE Rafaela Chacarita Juniors
Current #8 #15
→ Atletico DE Rafaela #7 #15
→ Draw #8 #15
→ Chacarita Juniors #8 #12

Projected ranking after this match only. Goal difference tiebreakers not applied.

Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico DE Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors?
The model gives Atletico DE Rafaela a 35% win probability, 39% for a draw, and 25% for an Chacarita Juniors win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors?
Expected goals: Atletico DE Rafaela 0.7, Chacarita Juniors 0.6 (total 1.2). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 55%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico DE Rafaela vs Chacarita Juniors?
0–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 28.59%.