Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 17
July 12, 2026 23:00
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Goianiense
Klebert
42'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Goianiense a 55% win probability (draw 20%, Fortaleza EC 24%). The final result was Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Fortaleza EC.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
2
Shots on target
3
0.49
Actual xG
1.49
3
Saves
1
37%
Possession
63%
1
Corners
11
16
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Bruno Jose
20'
Gustavo Coutinho
33'
Bruno Jose
/ Tito
36'
Geovany Soares
/ Cristiano
36'
41'
Mauricio Junior
⚽Klebert
42'
46'
Mailton
/
Mauricio Junior
46'
Welliton
/
Pierre
46'
Pedro Henrique
/
Vitinho
49'
Lucas Gazal
62'
Rodriguinho
Klebert
/ Matheus Indio
77'
79'
Lucas Crispim
/
Rodriguinho
80'
Lucca Prior
/
Lucas Gazal
84'
G. Fuentes
Marrony
/ Leo Jaco
87'
90'+1
Mailton
Pre-match prediction
55.21%
Atletico ←
20.33%
X
24.45%
Fortaleza
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Goianiense)
55.21%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.04
0.49
-1.56
1.25
1.49
+0.24
Fortaleza EC dominated by xG (1.49 vs 0.49).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Paulo Vítor
G
Paulo Vítor
G
6
Guilherme Lopes
D
Guilherme Lopes
D
3
Adriano Martins
D
Adriano Martins
D
4
J. Barreto
D
J. Barreto
D
2
Ewerthon
D
Ewerthon
D
10
Marrony
87'
M
Marrony
87'
M
5
Leandro Vilela
M
Leandro Vilela
M
8
K. Pereira
1 ⚽
77'
M
K. Pereira
1 ⚽
77'
M
11
Soares Geovany
36'
F
Soares Geovany
36'
F
9
Gustavo Coutinho
33'
F
Gustavo Coutinho
33'
F
7
Bruno José
36'
F
Bruno José
36'
F
Bench
22
Brenno Das Chagas Gomes
F
Brenno Das Chagas Gomes
F
18
Cristiano
59'
M
Cristiano
59'
M
15
Gebson
59'
D
Gebson
59'
D
19
Guilherme Marques
M
Guilherme Marques
M
16
Gustavo Daniel
D
Gustavo Daniel
D
20
Léo Jacó
8'
F
Léo Jacó
8'
F
21
Léo Tocantins
F
Léo Tocantins
F
17
Matheus Índio
18'
M
Matheus Índio
18'
M
14
Natã
D
Natã
D
12
Paulo Henrique
G
Paulo Henrique
G
1
João Ricardo
G
João Ricardo
G
18
G. Fuentes
D
G. Fuentes
D
3
Lucas Gazal
80'
D
Lucas Gazal
80'
D
4
Luan
D
Luan
D
13
Mauricio Junior
45'
D
Mauricio Junior
45'
D
5
Pierre
45'
M
Pierre
45'
M
32
Luiz Fernando
M
Luiz Fernando
M
29
Rodrigo
M
Rodrigo
M
75
Rodriguinho
79'
M
Rodriguinho
79'
M
11
Vitinho
45'
M
Vitinho
45'
M
9
J. Miritello
F
J. Miritello
F
Bench
33
Kauã Rocha
D
Kauã Rocha
D
10
Lucas Crispim
16'
M
Lucas Crispim
16'
M
88
Lucas Sasha
M
Lucas Sasha
M
38
Lucca
15'
M
Lucca
15'
M
22
Maílton
50'
D
Maílton
50'
D
23
Neris
D
Neris
D
77
Paulo Baya
F
Paulo Baya
F
16
Pedro Henrique
50'
F
Pedro Henrique
50'
F
8
Ronald
M
Ronald
M
37
Ryan Gustavo
M
Ryan Gustavo
M
25
Vinícius Silvestre
G
Vinícius Silvestre
G
31
Welliton
50'
F
Welliton
50'
F
Best on the pitch
K. Pereira
M · Atletico
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 13 pass
Marrony
M · Atletico
7.50
1 shots
· 22 pass
Adriano Martins
D · Atletico
7.30
· 31 pass
Lucas Gazal
D · Fortaleza
7.30
2 shots
· 49 pass
Paulo Vítor
G · Atletico
7.20
· 28 pass
Guilherme Lopes
D · Atletico
7.20
· 37 pass
Atletico Goianiense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Vítor | G | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 28 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Lopes | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 37 | 32% | 3 | — | — |
| Adriano Martins | D | 95 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Barreto | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Ewerthon | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 26 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Marrony | M | 87 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Leandro Vilela | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Pereira | M | 77 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 13 | 12% | 3 | — | — |
| Soares Geovany | F | 36 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Coutinho | F | 33 | 5.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 2% | — | — | 1 |
| Bruno José | F | 36 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | 1 | — |
| Cristiano | M | 59 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| Gebson | D | 59 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Léo Jacó | F | 8 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Índio | M | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Fortaleza EC — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Ricardo | G | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 18 | 16% | — | — | — |
| G. Fuentes | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 47 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lucas Gazal | D | 80 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 49 | 47% | — | 1 | — |
| Luan | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 58 | 57% | — | — | — |
| Mauricio Junior | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 36 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pierre | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 31% | 2 | — | — |
| Luiz Fernando | M | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo | M | 95 | 7.00 | — | — | 3 | 55 | 54% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodriguinho | M | 79 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 41% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | M | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 17% | — | — | — |
| J. Miritello | F | 95 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 17 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Lucas Crispim | M | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Lucca | M | 15 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | 2 | — | — |
| Maílton | D | 50 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 31% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Pedro Henrique | F | 50 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Welliton | F | 50 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC?
The final score was Atletico Goianiense 1–0 Fortaleza EC.
What did the model predict before Atletico Goianiense vs Fortaleza EC?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Atletico Goianiense win, 20% to a draw, and 24% to an Fortaleza EC win.