Brasileirão Série B
· Regular Season - 22
August 15, 2026 21:00
✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico Goianiense, result Vila Nova wins
45'+4
(ast. Marquinhos Gabriel)
Joao Vieira
73'
Dudu
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Goianiense a 57% win probability (draw 24%, Vila Nova 18%). The final result was Atletico Goianiense 0–2 Vila Nova. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Goianiense have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vila Nova.
Match statistics
9
Total shots
6
3
Shots on target
3
0.80
Actual xG
0.30
1
Saves
3
65%
Possession
35%
13
Corners
3
11
Tackles
10
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Ewerthon
/ Warley
17'
Geovany Soares
39'
45'+4
ast. Marquinhos Gabriel ·
Joao Vieira⚽
Bruno Jose
/ Leo Tocantins
46'
46'
Hayner
/
Nathan Camargo
51'
Tiago Pagnussat
Guilherme
56'
Henrique Freitas
/ Guilherme
61'
Peixoto
62'
Cristiano
/ Igor Henrique
70'
Peixoto
/ Netinho
70'
70'
Everton Galdino
/
Andre Luis
Igor Henrique
71'
73'
Dudu⚽
77'
Willian Maranhao
/
Dudu
87'
Emerson Urso
/
Janderson
87'
Higor Meritao
/
Marquinhos Gabriel
90'+1
Emerson Urso
Pre-match prediction
57.45%
Atletico
24.2%
X
18.35%
Vila ←
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Vila Nova)
18.35%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
0.80
-0.83
0.70
0.30
-0.4
Atletico Goianiense dominated by xG (0.80 vs 0.30).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
Paulo Vítor
G
Paulo Vítor
G
6
Guilherme Lopes
D
Guilherme Lopes
D
4
Adriano Martins
D
Adriano Martins
D
3
J. Barreto
D
J. Barreto
D
2
Ewerthon
17'
D
Ewerthon
17'
D
5
Cristiano
70'
M
Cristiano
70'
M
8
Peixoto
70'
M
Peixoto
70'
M
11
Soares Geovany
M
Soares Geovany
M
10
Henrique Freitas Alves
61'
M
Henrique Freitas Alves
61'
M
7
Bruno José
45'
M
Bruno José
45'
M
9
Gustavo Coutinho
F
Gustavo Coutinho
F
Bench
14
Gebson
D
Gebson
D
20
Guilherme Marques
34'
M
Guilherme Marques
34'
M
22
Gustavo Maia
F
Gustavo Maia
F
17
Igor Henrique
25'
M
Igor Henrique
25'
M
18
João Pedro
F
João Pedro
F
16
Leandro Vilela
M
Leandro Vilela
M
23
Léo Tocantins
50'
F
Léo Tocantins
50'
F
21
Matheusinho
M
Matheusinho
M
19
Netinho
25'
M
Netinho
25'
M
12
Paulo Henrique
G
Paulo Henrique
G
13
Warley
78'
D
Warley
78'
D
15
Yuri
D
Yuri
D
1
Helton Leite
G
Helton Leite
G
6
Higor
D
Higor
D
23
Breno
D
Breno
D
3
Tiago Pagnussat
D
Tiago Pagnussat
D
20
Nathan Camargo
45'
D
Nathan Camargo
45'
D
15
Dudu
1 ⚽
77'
M
Dudu
1 ⚽
77'
M
5
João Vieira
1 ⚽
M
João Vieira
1 ⚽
M
99
Janderson
87'
M
Janderson
87'
M
10
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
87'
M
Marquinhos Gabriel
1 👟
87'
M
7
André Luís
70'
M
André Luís
70'
M
49
Dellatorre
F
Dellatorre
F
Bench
33
Bruno Xavier
M
Bruno Xavier
M
31
Dodô
M
Dodô
M
70
Emerson Urso
8'
F
Emerson Urso
8'
F
18
Enzo
M
Enzo
M
17
Everton Galdino
25'
F
Everton Galdino
25'
F
30
Gabriel Atila
G
Gabriel Atila
G
22
Hayner
50'
D
Hayner
50'
D
21
Higor Meritão
8'
M
Higor Meritão
8'
M
16
Igor Cariús
D
Igor Cariús
D
9
Puskas Gustavo
F
Puskas Gustavo
F
13
Willian Formiga
D
Willian Formiga
D
8
Willian Maranhão
18'
M
Willian Maranhão
18'
M
Best on the pitch
João Vieira
M · Vila
8.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
Dudu
M · Vila
7.50
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 15 pass
Helton Leite
G · Vila
7.50
· 25 pass
Breno
D · Vila
7.50
· 18 pass
Cristiano
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots
· 34 pass
Tiago Pagnussat
D · Vila
7.20
· 19 pass
Atletico Goianiense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paulo Vítor | G | 95 | 5.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Guilherme Lopes | D | 95 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 48 | 41% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Adriano Martins | D | 95 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Barreto | D | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 75 | 61% | — | — | — |
| Ewerthon | D | 17 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Cristiano | M | 70 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Peixoto | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Soares Geovany | M | 95 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | — | 1 | — |
| Henrique Freitas Alves | M | 61 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno José | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Coutinho | F | 95 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Guilherme Marques | M | 34 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 7 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Igor Henrique | M | 25 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Léo Tocantins | F | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Netinho | M | 25 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 21 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Warley | D | 78 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
Vila Nova — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helton Leite | G | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 25 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Higor | D | 95 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 31 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Breno | D | 95 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 18 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| Tiago Pagnussat | D | 95 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 19 | 12% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Nathan Camargo | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Dudu | M | 77 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 2 | 15 | 12% | — | — | — |
| João Vieira | M | 95 | 8.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Janderson | M | 87 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Marquinhos Gabriel | M | 87 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 16 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| André Luís | M | 70 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 18 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| Dellatorre | F | 95 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Emerson Urso | F | 8 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Everton Galdino | F | 25 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Hayner | D | 50 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 6 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Higor Meritão | M | 8 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Willian Maranhão | M | 18 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova?
The final score was Atletico Goianiense 0–2 Vila Nova.
What did the model predict before Atletico Goianiense vs Vila Nova?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Atletico Goianiense win, 24% to a draw, and 18% to an Vila Nova win.