Liga 1
· Clausura - 13
October 23, 2026 22:15
✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico Grau, result Draw
Patricio Álvarez
26'
(pen.)
61'
(ast. Aldair Rodríguez)
Horacio Benincasa
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Grau a 62% win probability (draw 20%, ADT 17%). The final result was Atletico Grau 1–1 ADT. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Grau have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for ADT.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
21
3
Shots on target
8
1.84
Actual xG
1.48
7
Saves
2
25%
Possession
75%
3
Corners
4
10
Tackles
13
3
🟨 Yellow cards
5
1
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Christian Vasquez
6'
22'
23'
Alejandro Ramos
⚽Patricio Álvarez
(pen.)
26'
Christian Vasquez
27'
Gabriel Alfaro
45'+2
Aldair Vásquez
/ D. Rodríguez
45'
Ignacio Tapia
58'
61'
ast. Aldair Rodríguez ·
Horacio Benincasa⚽
Adrián Fernández
/ Mauro Da Luz
68'
Diego Barreto
/ Paulo De La Cruz
69'
69'
Juan Valencia
73'
Aldair Rodríguez
76'
Jonathan Bauman
/
Said Peralta
77'
Said Peralta
Freddy Oncoy
/ Eslyn Imanol Correa Vilela
82'
Gabriel Alfaro
/ Pablo Lavandeira
82'
88'
88'
Jonathan Bauman
89'
Joao Rojas
89'
J. Alvino
/
Angel Ojeda
89'
Aylton Mazzo
/
Aldair Rodríguez
D. Rodríguez
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
62.02%
Atletico
20.06%
X ←
17.93%
ADT
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
20.06%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.21
1.84
-0.37
1.02
1.48
+0.46
Atletico Grau dominated by xG (1.84 vs 1.48).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
1
P. Álvarez
1 ⚽
G
P. Álvarez
1 ⚽
G
25
G. Alfaro
82'
D
G. Alfaro
82'
D
3
I. Tapia
D
I. Tapia
D
2
L. Acevedo
D
L. Acevedo
D
27
R. Tapia
D
R. Tapia
D
8
C. Vásquez
27'
D
C. Vásquez
27'
D
20
A. Vásquez
45'
M
A. Vásquez
45'
M
5
R. Guarderas
M
R. Guarderas
M
13
F. Oncoy
82'
M
F. Oncoy
82'
M
7
D. Barreto
69'
M
D. Barreto
69'
M
99
A. Fernández
68'
F
A. Fernández
68'
F
Bench
4
D. Rodríguez
45'
D
D. Rodríguez
45'
D
21
E. Correa
8'
M
E. Correa
8'
M
16
J. Ataupillco
D
J. Ataupillco
D
33
J. Calderón
G
J. Calderón
G
96
L. Benítes
M
L. Benítes
M
77
M. da Luz
22'
F
M. da Luz
22'
F
10
P. de la Cruz
21'
M
P. de la Cruz
21'
M
15
P. Lavandeira
8'
M
P. Lavandeira
8'
M
24
Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich
F
Yamir Ruidíaz Misitich
F
30
J. Valencia
G
J. Valencia
G
44
H. Benincasa
1 ⚽
D
H. Benincasa
1 ⚽
D
28
J. Soto
D
J. Soto
D
99
J. Pereyra
D
J. Pereyra
D
98
A. Ramos
D
A. Ramos
D
16
L. Pérez
M
L. Pérez
M
6
Á. Ojeda
89'
M
Á. Ojeda
89'
M
22
A. Rodríguez
1 👟
89'
M
A. Rodríguez
1 👟
89'
M
7
J. Rojas
M
J. Rojas
M
77
Juan David Lucumí Cuero
M
Juan David Lucumí Cuero
M
24
S. Peralta
76'
F
S. Peralta
76'
F
Bench
27
A. Hidalgo
M
A. Hidalgo
M
18
Aylton Mazzo
1'
F
Aylton Mazzo
1'
F
33
C. Solís
G
C. Solís
G
32
J. Bauman
12'
F
J. Bauman
12'
F
31
J. Navarro
D
J. Navarro
D
15
Josué Alvino
1'
M
Josué Alvino
1'
M
3
L. Rugel
D
L. Rugel
D
25
S. García
M
S. García
M
Best on the pitch
P. Álvarez
G · Atletico
8.80
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 26 pass
A. Rodríguez
M · ADT
7.64
1 👟
· 44 pass
L. Pérez
M · ADT
7.49
2 shots
· 70 pass
H. Benincasa
D · ADT
7.35
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 48 pass
Á. Ojeda
M · ADT
7.20
1 shots
· 41 pass
J. Pereyra
D · ADT
7.12
1 shots
· 43 pass
Atletico Grau — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Álvarez | G | 90 | 8.80 | 1 | — | 1 | 26 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Alfaro | D | 82 | 6.18 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Tapia | D | 90 | 6.05 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 17% | 3 | 1 | — |
| L. Acevedo | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Tapia | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Vásquez | D | 27 | 5.55 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | 1 |
| A. Vásquez | M | 45 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Guarderas | M | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Oncoy | M | 82 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 8 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Barreto | M | 69 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Fernández | F | 68 | 6.62 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Rodríguez | D | 45 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Correa | M | 8 | 6.50 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| M. da Luz | F | 22 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| P. de la Cruz | M | 21 | 6.40 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
| P. Lavandeira | M | 8 | 6.52 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
ADT — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Valencia | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| H. Benincasa | D | 90 | 7.35 | 1 | — | 2 | 48 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Soto | D | 90 | 7.06 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| J. Pereyra | D | 90 | 7.12 | — | — | 1 | 43 | 39% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Ramos | D | 90 | 6.32 | — | — | 0 | 70 | 62% | 0 | 1 | — |
| L. Pérez | M | 90 | 7.49 | — | — | 2 | 70 | 62% | 1 | — | — |
| Á. Ojeda | M | 89 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 41 | 38% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Rodríguez | M | 89 | 7.64 | — | 1 | 0 | 44 | 40% | 0 | 1 | — |
| J. Rojas | M | 90 | 6.85 | — | — | 8 | 44 | 39% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Juan David Lucumí Cuero | M | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 4 | 43 | 35% | 0 | — | — |
| S. Peralta | F | 76 | 6.31 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Aylton Mazzo | F | 1 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Bauman | F | 12 | 5.68 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | 1 |
| Josué Alvino | M | 1 | 6.24 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs ADT?
The final score was Atletico Grau 1–1 ADT.
What did the model predict before Atletico Grau vs ADT?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Atletico Grau win, 20% to a draw, and 17% to an ADT win.