Liga 1
· Clausura - 1
July 18, 2026 22:30
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Grau
R. Guarderas
(ast. P. Lavandeira Hernandez)
4'
M. Da Luz
(ast. R. Ruidiaz)
18'
A. Fernandez
(ast. P. de la Cruz)
90'+1
57'
M. Lliuya
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Grau a 50% win probability (draw 30%, UTC Cajamarca 18%). The final result was Atletico Grau 3–1 UTC Cajamarca. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Grau have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for UTC Cajamarca.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
6
Shots on target
5
3
Saves
3
37%
Possession
63%
2
Corners
4
19
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽R. Guarderas
· ast. P. Lavandeira Hernandez
4'
⚽M. Da Luz
· ast. R. Ruidiaz
18'
22'
B. Duarte
29'
D. Caro
/
L. Garro
30'
M. Ganoza
46'
S. Galvez
/
A. Arroyo
G. Ameli
52'
57'
M. Lliuya⚽
59'
J. Huerto
/
J. Cantt
P. Lavandeira Hernandez
/ F. Oncoy
62'
M. Da Luz
/ A. Fernandez
62'
R. Ruidiaz
/ G. E. Alfaro Martinez
72'
L. E. Benites Vargas
/ P. de la Cruz
72'
78'
F. Cavagna
/
M. Ganoza
78'
J. Nunez
/
A. Munoz
84'
⚽A. Fernandez
· ast. P. de la Cruz
90'+1
A. de la Cruz
/ D. Barreto
90'+2
Pre-match prediction
50.95%
Atletico ←
30.91%
X
18.14%
UTC
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Grau)
50.95%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.10
—
—
0.48
—
—
Lineups
1
Patricio Álvarez
G
Patricio Álvarez
G
6
Elsar Rodas
D
Elsar Rodas
D
2
L. Acevedo
D
L. Acevedo
D
27
Rodrigo Tapia
D
Rodrigo Tapia
D
4
Diego Rodriguez
D
Diego Rodriguez
D
15
Pablo Lavandeira
1 👟
62'
M
Pablo Lavandeira
1 👟
62'
M
5
Rafael Guarderas
1 ⚽
M
Rafael Guarderas
1 ⚽
M
66
Adrián De la Cruz
89'
M
Adrián De la Cruz
89'
M
77
Mauro Da Luz
1 ⚽
62'
F
Mauro Da Luz
1 ⚽
62'
F
9
Raúl Ruidíaz
1 👟
72'
F
Raúl Ruidíaz
1 👟
72'
F
96
Luis Benites
72'
F
Luis Benites
72'
F
Bench
33
Aamet Calderón
G
Aamet Calderón
G
99
Adrián Fernández
1 ⚽
28'
F
Adrián Fernández
1 ⚽
28'
F
20
Aldair Vasquez
M
Aldair Vasquez
M
8
Christian Vásquez
D
Christian Vásquez
D
7
Diego Barreto
1'
M
Diego Barreto
1'
M
13
Freddy Oncoy
28'
M
Freddy Oncoy
28'
M
25
Gabriel Alfaro
18'
D
Gabriel Alfaro
18'
D
16
José Ataupillco
D
José Ataupillco
D
10
Paulo de la Cruz
1 👟
18'
M
Paulo de la Cruz
1 👟
18'
M
29
Ignacio Barrios
G
Ignacio Barrios
G
35
Gilmar Paredes
D
Gilmar Paredes
D
2
B. Duarte
D
B. Duarte
D
3
Manuel Ganoza
78'
D
Manuel Ganoza
78'
D
17
Luis Garro
29'
D
Luis Garro
29'
D
16
A. Figuera
M
A. Figuera
M
19
Adolfo Muñoz
78'
M
Adolfo Muñoz
78'
M
10
M. Lliuya
1 ⚽
M
M. Lliuya
1 ⚽
M
15
Joshua Cantt
58'
M
Joshua Cantt
58'
M
11
Abdiel Arroyo
45'
M
Abdiel Arroyo
45'
M
22
David Camacho
F
David Camacho
F
Bench
5
Carlos Junior Huerto
32'
D
Carlos Junior Huerto
32'
D
8
David Dioses
M
David Dioses
M
13
D. Caro
61'
D
D. Caro
61'
D
6
Francesco Cavagna
12'
D
Francesco Cavagna
12'
D
7
Jhosep Nuñez
12'
F
Jhosep Nuñez
12'
F
88
Luis Arce
M
Luis Arce
M
9
Marlon de Jesús
F
Marlon de Jesús
F
21
Ricardo Bettocchi
G
Ricardo Bettocchi
G
18
Santiago Gálvez
45'
F
Santiago Gálvez
45'
F
Best on the pitch
Rafael Guarderas
M · Atletico
7.90
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 34 pass
Adrián Fernández
F · Atletico
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
Rodrigo Tapia
D · Atletico
7.70
· 23 pass
Mauro Da Luz
F · Atletico
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 10 pass
Ignacio Barrios
G · UTC
7.30
· 21 pass
Pablo Lavandeira
M · Atletico
7.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 20 pass
Atletico Grau — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patricio Álvarez | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Elsar Rodas | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 4 | — | — |
| L. Acevedo | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Tapia | D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 23 | 18% | 2 | — | — |
| Diego Rodriguez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 14 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Pablo Lavandeira | M | 62 | 7.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| Rafael Guarderas | M | 90 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 2 | 34 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrián De la Cruz | M | 89 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Mauro Da Luz | F | 62 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Raúl Ruidíaz | F | 72 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 12 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Luis Benites | F | 72 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 20% | 4 | — | — |
| Adrián Fernández | F | 28 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Diego Barreto | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Freddy Oncoy | M | 28 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | 2 | — | — |
| Gabriel Alfaro | D | 18 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Paulo de la Cruz | M | 18 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 3 | 3% | 2 | — | — |
UTC Cajamarca — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ignacio Barrios | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 21 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Gilmar Paredes | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 62 | 53% | 2 | — | — |
| B. Duarte | D | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 63 | 52% | — | 1 | — |
| Manuel Ganoza | D | 78 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 46 | 45% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luis Garro | D | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| A. Figuera | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 68 | 61% | 1 | — | — |
| Adolfo Muñoz | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| M. Lliuya | M | 90 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 56 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Joshua Cantt | M | 58 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| Abdiel Arroyo | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| David Camacho | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 3 | — | — |
| Carlos Junior Huerto | D | 32 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 15 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Caro | D | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Francesco Cavagna | D | 12 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Jhosep Nuñez | F | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Santiago Gálvez | F | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 4% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?
The final score was Atletico Grau 3–1 UTC Cajamarca.
What did the model predict before Atletico Grau vs UTC Cajamarca?
The model assigned 50% probability to a Atletico Grau win, 30% to a draw, and 18% to an UTC Cajamarca win.