Atlético Madrid II - Villarreal II
Primera RFEF - Group 2
September 25, 2026 19:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
37.82%
Win
Atlético Madrid II
29.88%
Draw
32.29%
Win
Villarreal II
2.32
1.82
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–1
(12.13%)
1X2 Result
1
38%
X
30%
2
32%
Double Chance
1X
68%
X2
62%
12
70%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
74%
Over 2.5
53%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atlético Madrid II a 37% win probability, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Villarreal II. Expected goals are 2.3 for Atlético Madrid II and 1.8 for Villarreal II (total 4.1), with a 74% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.13% probability. In 4 previous meetings, Atlético Madrid II have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 1 wins for Villarreal II.
Season Stats
9W
3D
3L
9W
6D
0L
Averages per game
2.3
Goals
1.9
1.4
Conceded
0.9
Percentages
87%
O 1.5
73%
73%
O 2.5
53%
67%
BTTS
53%
33%
Clean Sht
47%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Primera RFEF - Group 2. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
50%
O 3.5
60%
BTTS
7W
2D
1L
· at home
7W
2D
1L
· away
2.7
gls/g
1.9
1.5
Conceded
0.9
70%
Win %
70%
90%
Win or Draw
90%
90%
O 1.5
60%
80%
O 2.5
50%
70%
O 3.5
30%
70%
BTTS
50%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
10%
Failed to Score
10%
last 10
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Atlético Madrid II
Villarreal II →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 4.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 5 | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Recent form
Playing profile
Atlético Madrid II
Attack
39
Defence
49
Form
46
Villarreal II
Attack
38
Defence
58
Form
50
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Head-to-Head
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Villarreal II
|
4 | 10 |
| 2 |
Real Jaén
|
4 | 10 |
| 3 |
Real Murcia
|
4 | 9 |
| 4 |
Zaragoza
|
4 | 9 |
| 5 |
Atlético Madrid II
|
4 | 8 |
| 6 |
Gimnastic
|
4 | 7 |
| 7 |
Alcorcon
|
4 | 6 |
| 8 |
Ibiza
|
4 | 6 |
| 9 |
Hércules
|
4 | 6 |
| 10 |
FC Cartagena
|
4 | 5 |
| 11 |
Real Madrid II
|
4 | 5 |
| 12 |
Antequera
|
4 | 5 |
| 13 |
Águilas
|
4 | 5 |
| 14 |
Huesca
|
4 | 5 |
| 15 |
Rayo Majadahonda
|
4 | 4 |
| 16 |
Sant Andreu
|
4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Juventud Torremolinos
|
4 | 1 |
| 18 |
Algeciras
|
4 | 1 |
| 19 |
Europa Fc
|
4 | 1 |
| 20 |
Teruel
|
4 | 1 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?
The model gives Atlético Madrid II a 37% win probability, 29% for a draw, and 32% for an Villarreal II win.
How many goals are expected in Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?
Expected goals: Atlético Madrid II 2.3, Villarreal II 1.8 (total 4.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 74%.
What is the most likely score in Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.13%.