La Liga
· Regular Season - 32
April 25, 2026 21:00
A. Griezmann
49'
A. Sorloth
(ast. A. Baena)
54'
A. Sorloth
(ast. N. Molina)
90'+3
23'
(ast. I. Ruiz de Galarreta)
A. Paredes
90'+7
(ast. A. Rego)
G. Guruzeta
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 51% win probability (draw 24%, Athletic Club 24%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 3–2 Athletic Club. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Athletic Club.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
3
1.91
Actual xG
0.47
2
Saves
1
54%
Possession
46%
3
Corners
4
23
Tackles
18
Match Events
23'
ast. I. Ruiz de Galarreta ·
A. Paredes⚽
⚽A. Griezmann
49'
⚽A. Sorloth
· ast. A. Baena
54'
P. Barrios
/ J. Cardoso
58'
M. Llorente
/ N. Molina
63'
A. Griezmann
/ N. Gonzalez
63'
64'
A. Boiro
/
Y. Berchiche
64'
O. Sancet
/
U. Gomez
70'
R. Navarro
/
N. Williams
70'
M. Vesga
/
I. Ruiz de Galarreta
70'
A. Berenguer
/
I. Williams
Koke
/ O. Vargas
72'
G. Simeone
/ R. Le Normand
72'
⚽A. Sorloth
· ast. N. Molina
90'+3
90'+7
ast. A. Rego ·
G. Guruzeta⚽
Pre-match prediction
51.91%
Atletico ←
24.08%
X
24.01%
Athletic
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid)
51.91%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.71
1.91
+0.2
1.12
0.47
-0.65
Atletico Madrid dominated by xG (1.91 vs 0.47).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
G
3
Matteo Ruggeri
D
Matteo Ruggeri
D
15
Clément Lenglet
D
Clément Lenglet
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
14
Marcos Llorente
63'
D
Marcos Llorente
63'
D
10
Álex Baena
1 👟
M
Álex Baena
1 👟
M
6
Koke
72'
M
Koke
72'
M
8
P. Barrios
58'
M
20
Giuliano Simeone
72'
M
Giuliano Simeone
72'
M
9
Alexander Sørloth
2 ⚽
F
Alexander Sørloth
2 ⚽
F
7
A. Griezmann
1 ⚽
63'
F
A. Griezmann
1 ⚽
63'
F
Bench
19
J. Álvarez
F
J. Álvarez
F
32
Javier Boñar
D
Javier Boñar
D
5
J. Cardoso
39'
M
1
Juan Musso
G
Juan Musso
G
34
Julio Díaz
M
Julio Díaz
M
23
Nicolás González
34'
F
Nicolás González
34'
F
16
N. Molina
1 👟
34'
D
N. Molina
1 👟
34'
D
21
Obed Vargas
25'
M
Obed Vargas
25'
M
24
Robin Le Normand
25'
D
Robin Le Normand
25'
D
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
1
G
17
Yuri Berchiche
63'
D
Yuri Berchiche
63'
D
4
Aitor Paredes
1 ⚽
D
Aitor Paredes
1 ⚽
D
3
Dani Vivian
D
Dani Vivian
D
2
Andoni Gorosabel
D
Andoni Gorosabel
D
30
Alejandro Rego Mora
1 👟
M
Alejandro Rego Mora
1 👟
M
16
Ruíz de Galarreta
1 👟
70'
M
Ruíz de Galarreta
1 👟
70'
M
10
Nico Williams
70'
M
Nico Williams
70'
M
20
Unai Gómez
63'
M
Unai Gómez
63'
M
9
Iñaki Williams
70'
M
Iñaki Williams
70'
M
11
Gorka Guruzeta
1 ⚽
F
Gorka Guruzeta
1 ⚽
F
Bench
19
Adama Boiro
34'
D
Adama Boiro
34'
D
7
Álex Berenguer
27'
F
Álex Berenguer
27'
F
14
Aymeric Laporte
D
Aymeric Laporte
D
6
Mikel Vesga
27'
M
Mikel Vesga
27'
M
22
Nico Serrano
F
Nico Serrano
F
8
Oihan Sancet
34'
M
Oihan Sancet
34'
M
23
Robert Navarro
27'
M
Robert Navarro
27'
M
5
Yeray Álvarez
D
Yeray Álvarez
D
Best on the pitch
Alexander Sørloth
F · Atletico
9.30
2 ⚽
5 shots
· 16 pass
Clément Lenglet
D · Atletico
7.30
· 74 pass
Álex Baena
M · Atletico
7.30
1 👟
· 38 pass
Koke
M · Atletico
7.30
· 63 pass
Aitor Paredes
D · Athletic
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 71 pass
Marc Pubill
D · Atletico
7.20
· 82 pass
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — | |
| Matteo Ruggeri | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 43 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| Clément Lenglet | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 74 | 68% | 1 | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 97 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 82 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 97 | 7.30 | — | 1 | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Koke | M | 72 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 63 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| P. Barrios | M | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 43 | 36% | — | — | — |
| Giuliano Simeone | M | 72 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 41 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Alexander Sørloth | F | 97 | 9.30 | 2 | — | 5 | 16 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Griezmann | F | 63 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 27 | 19% | — | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 39 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 13 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás González | F | 34 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 34 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 15 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
| Obed Vargas | M | 25 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 3 | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 25 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 2 | — | — |
Athletic Club — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 40 | 23% | — | — | — | |
| Yuri Berchiche | D | 63 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 31 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Aitor Paredes | D | 97 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 71 | 67% | — | — | — |
| Dani Vivian | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 56 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Andoni Gorosabel | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| Alejandro Rego Mora | M | 97 | 6.50 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 40% | 2 | — | — |
| Ruíz de Galarreta | M | 70 | 7.00 | — | 1 | — | 33 | 27% | 3 | — | — |
| Nico Williams | M | 70 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Unai Gómez | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Iñaki Williams | M | 70 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Gorka Guruzeta | F | 97 | 6.00 | 1 | — | 3 | 22 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Adama Boiro | D | 34 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 25 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| Álex Berenguer | F | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Mikel Vesga | M | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Oihan Sancet | M | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Robert Navarro | M | 27 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 3–2 Athletic Club.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Club?
The model assigned 51% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 24% to a draw, and 24% to an Athletic Club win.