La Liga
· Regular Season - 30
April 04, 2026 21:00
G. Simeone
(ast. C. Lenglet)
39'
42'
(ast. D. Olmo)
M. Rashford
87'
R. Lewandowski
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Barcelona a 47% win probability (draw 20%, Atletico Madrid 32%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona. In 5 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 3 wins for Barcelona.
Match statistics
6
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
8
0.92
Actual xG
2.22
6
Saves
1
33%
Possession
67%
1
Corners
9
30
Tackles
10
6
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Nicolás González
22'
⚽G. Simeone
· ast. C. Lenglet
39'
40'
M. Bernal
/
R. Araujo
42'
ast. D. Olmo ·
M. Rashford⚽
45'+6
Nicolás González
45'+7
Nahuel Molina
45'
Koke
45'
45'
Fermín López
Koke
/ M. Ruggeri
46'
46'
F. Torres
/
Fermín
49'
Juan Musso
50'
50'
Gerard Martín
Clément Lenglet
53'
G. Simeone
/ A. Sorloth
61'
A. Baena
/ J. M. Gimenez
61'
A. Griezmann
/ J. Morcillo
61'
62'
J. Kounde
/
C. Lenglet
/ T. Seidu
68'
78'
Gavi
/
E. Garcia
79'
R. Lewandowski
/
M. Rashford
87'
R. Lewandowski⚽
Taufik Seidu
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
32.12%
Atletico
20.54%
X
47.34%
Barcelona ←
we assigned to the actual result (Barcelona)
47.34%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.63
0.92
-0.71
2.22
2.22
+0.0
Barcelona dominated by xG (2.22 vs 0.92).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
23
N. González
52'
D
N. González
52'
D
15
C. Lenglet
1 👟
68'
D
C. Lenglet
1 👟
68'
D
24
Robin Le Normand
D
Robin Le Normand
D
16
N. Molina
D
N. Molina
D
11
T. Almada
M
T. Almada
M
21
O. Vargas
M
O. Vargas
M
6
Koke
45'
M
Koke
45'
M
20
G. Simeone
1 ⚽
61'
M
G. Simeone
1 ⚽
61'
M
10
Álex Baena
61'
F
Álex Baena
61'
F
7
A. Griezmann
61'
F
A. Griezmann
61'
F
Bench
22
A. Lookman
F
A. Lookman
F
9
A. Sørloth
29'
F
A. Sørloth
29'
F
17
D. Hancko
D
D. Hancko
D
19
J. Álvarez
F
J. Álvarez
F
32
Javier Boñar
D
Javier Boñar
D
2
J. Giménez
29'
D
J. Giménez
29'
D
47
J. Morcillo
29'
M
J. Morcillo
29'
M
34
Julio Díaz del Romo
M
Julio Díaz del Romo
M
3
M. Ruggeri
45'
D
M. Ruggeri
45'
D
28
Taufik Seidu
22'
M
13
G
2
João Cancelo
D
João Cancelo
D
18
Gerard Martín
D
Gerard Martín
D
5
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D
4
R. Araújo
40'
D
R. Araújo
40'
D
8
Pedri
M
Pedri
M
24
Eric García
78'
M
Eric García
78'
M
14
M. Rashford
1 ⚽
79'
M
M. Rashford
1 ⚽
79'
M
16
Fermín
45'
M
Fermín
45'
M
10
Lamine Yamal
M
Lamine Yamal
M
20
Dani Olmo
1 👟
F
Dani Olmo
1 👟
F
Bench
3
Alejandro Balde
D
Alejandro Balde
D
7
Ferran Torres
45'
F
Ferran Torres
45'
F
6
Gavi
12'
M
Gavi
12'
M
23
J. Koundé
28'
D
J. Koundé
28'
D
17
Marc Casadó
M
Marc Casadó
M
19
R. Bardghji
F
R. Bardghji
F
9
R. Lewandowski
1 ⚽
11'
F
R. Lewandowski
1 ⚽
11'
F
Best on the pitch
G. Simeone
M · Atletico
7.70
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 18 pass
M. Rashford
M · Barcelona
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 33 pass
Pedri
M · Barcelona
7.20
1 shots
· 91 pass
J. Musso
G · Atletico
7.00
· 29 pass
N. Molina
D · Atletico
7.00
1 shots
· 39 pass
Pau Cubarsí Paredes
D · Barcelona
7.00
· 84 pass
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Musso | G | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 29 | 17% | — | 1 | — |
| N. González | D | 52 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 16 | 13% | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| C. Lenglet | D | 68 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 45 | 40% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 32 | 30% | 4 | — | — |
| N. Molina | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 33% | 6 | 1 | — |
| T. Almada | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 4 | — | — |
| O. Vargas | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | 3 | — | — |
| Koke | M | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 61 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 1 | 18 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | F | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Griezmann | F | 61 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| J. Giménez | D | 29 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — | — |
| J. Morcillo | M | 29 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Ruggeri | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Taufik Seidu | M | 22 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | 1 | — |
Barcelona — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 33 | 32% | — | — | — | |
| João Cancelo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 48 | 43% | 2 | — | — |
| Gerard Martín | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 72 | 67% | — | 1 | — |
| Pau Cubarsí Paredes | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 84 | 79% | — | — | — |
| R. Araújo | D | 40 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 1 | — | — |
| Pedri | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 91 | 84% | 2 | — | — |
| Eric García | M | 78 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 42 | 42% | 2 | — | — |
| M. Rashford | M | 79 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 33 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Fermín | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | 2 | 16 | 15% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Lamine Yamal | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 4 | 69 | 54% | — | — | — |
| Dani Olmo | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | 1 | — | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Ferran Torres | F | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 3 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Gavi | M | 12 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| J. Koundé | D | 28 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 35 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| R. Lewandowski | F | 11 | 6.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 1–2 Barcelona.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Barcelona?
The model assigned 32% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 20% to a draw, and 47% to an Barcelona win.