✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Madrid
Julián Álvarez
(ast. Alejandro Grimaldo)
48'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 57% win probability (draw 21%, Deportivo La Coruna 20%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Deportivo La Coruna.
Match statistics
20
Total shots
15
4
Shots on target
5
1.44
Actual xG
2.02
5
Saves
3
56%
Possession
44%
3
Corners
4
16
Tackles
11
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Marc Pubill
26'
Pablo Barrios Rivas
/ Giuliano Simeone Baldini
45'
Ademola Lookman
/ Robin Le Normand
45'
⚽Julián Álvarez
· ast. Alejandro Grimaldo
48'
58'
Adama Traoré
/
David Mella
58'
Luismi Cruz
/
Diego Villares
Lee Kang-In
/ Alexander Sørloth
67'
75'
Yeremay Hernández
79'
Giacomo Quagliata
80'
Kevin Sánchez Rey
/
Bil Nsongo
80'
Jonathan Asp Jensen
/
Giacomo Quagliata
Morten Hjulmand
/ Rodrigo Mendoza
80'
84'
Riki Rodríguez
/
Lorenzo Amatucci
Alexander Sørloth
85'
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
86'
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
87'
Pre-match prediction
57.97%
Atletico ←
21.23%
X
20.8%
Deportivo
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid)
57.97%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
3.16
1.44
-1.73
1.39
2.02
+0.63
Deportivo La Coruna dominated by xG (2.02 vs 1.44).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
J. Oblak
G
J. Oblak
G
22
Álex Grimaldo
1 👟
D
Álex Grimaldo
1 👟
D
17
D. Hancko
D
D. Hancko
D
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
14
Marcos Llorente
D
Marcos Llorente
D
10
Álex Baena
M
Álex Baena
M
23
M. Hjulmand
80'
M
M. Hjulmand
80'
M
8
Pablo Barrios
45'
M
Pablo Barrios
45'
M
11
A. Lookman
45'
F
A. Lookman
45'
F
19
J. Álvarez
1 ⚽
F
J. Álvarez
1 ⚽
F
7
Lee Kang-In
67'
F
Lee Kang-In
67'
F
Bench
16
Arnau Ortiz
F
Arnau Ortiz
F
9
A. Sørloth
23'
F
A. Sørloth
23'
F
30
Dani MartÃnez
D
Dani MartÃnez
D
20
G. Simeone
45'
F
G. Simeone
45'
F
46
J. Castillo
M
J. Castillo
M
15
J. David
F
J. David
F
27
J. Dominguez
D
J. Dominguez
D
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
3
O. Vargas
M
O. Vargas
M
24
Robin Le Normand
45'
D
Robin Le Normand
45'
D
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
10'
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
10'
M
25
Salvador Esquivel
G
Salvador Esquivel
G
13
Leo Román
G
Leo Román
G
12
G. Quagliata
80'
D
G. Quagliata
80'
D
15
Miguel Loureiro
D
Miguel Loureiro
D
20
J. Giménez
D
J. Giménez
D
2
Adrià Alti
D
Adrià Alti
D
11
David Mella
58'
D
David Mella
58'
D
8
Diego Villares
58'
M
Diego Villares
58'
M
16
L. Amatucci
84'
M
L. Amatucci
84'
M
21
Mario Soriano
M
Mario Soriano
M
10
Peke
F
Peke
F
32
B. Nsongo
80'
F
B. Nsongo
80'
F
Bench
24
Adama Traoré
32'
F
Adama Traoré
32'
F
25
Álvaro Fernández
G
Álvaro Fernández
G
17
Angeliño
D
Angeliño
D
3
Arnau Comas
D
Arnau Comas
D
5
Dani Barcia
D
Dani Barcia
D
18
Jonathan Asp Jensen
10'
M
Jonathan Asp Jensen
10'
M
33
Kevin Sánchez
10'
F
Kevin Sánchez
10'
F
4
L. Noubi
D
L. Noubi
D
19
Luismi Cruz
32'
F
Luismi Cruz
32'
F
14
Riki Rodríguez
6'
M
Riki Rodríguez
6'
M
23
Ximo Navarro
D
Ximo Navarro
D
Best on the pitch
J. Álvarez
F · Atletico
8.20
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 40 pass
Álex Grimaldo
D · Atletico
8.03
1 👟
1 shots
· 43 pass
J. Oblak
G · Atletico
7.82
· 25 pass
D. Hancko
D · Atletico
7.67
1 shots
· 70 pass
Robin Le Normand
D · Atletico
7.51
· 35 pass
Marcos Llorente
D · Atletico
7.35
· 49 pass
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 7.82 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 90 | 8.03 | — | 1 | 1 | 43 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 7.67 | — | — | 1 | 70 | 68% | 3 | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 90 | 7.29 | — | — | 1 | 72 | 69% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 90 | 7.35 | — | — | 0 | 49 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 90 | 7.04 | — | — | 2 | 50 | 39% | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 80 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 59 | 54% | 0 | — | — |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 45 | 7.04 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 45 | 6.44 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 90 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 4 | 40 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | F | 67 | 6.24 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Sørloth | F | 23 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 0 | 1 | — |
| G. Simeone | F | 45 | 6.87 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 19% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 45 | 7.51 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 34% | 0 | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 10 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Deportivo La Coruna — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leo Román | G | 90 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| G. Quagliata | D | 80 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 22 | 17% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Miguel Loureiro | D | 90 | 6.77 | — | — | 1 | 52 | 44% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Giménez | D | 90 | 7.23 | — | — | 0 | 38 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| Adrià Alti | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 36% | 2 | — | — |
| David Mella | D | 58 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| Diego Villares | M | 58 | 6.94 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 17% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Amatucci | M | 84 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 45 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| Mario Soriano | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 83 | 77% | 0 | — | — |
| Peke | F | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 28% | 1 | 1 | — |
| B. Nsongo | F | 80 | 6.09 | — | — | 4 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Adama Traoré | F | 32 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Jonathan Asp Jensen | M | 10 | 6.48 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Kevin Sánchez | F | 10 | 6.34 | — | — | 2 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Luismi Cruz | F | 32 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Riki Rodríguez | M | 6 | 6.34 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 1–0 Deportivo La Coruna.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 21% to a draw, and 20% to an Deportivo La Coruna win.