Atletico Madrid - Fenerbahçe
Champions League
January 27, 2027 21:00
⚡ Pre-match analysis
30.72%
Win
Atletico Madrid
32.71%
Draw
36.57%
Win
Fenerbahçe
0.72
1.01
Expected xG
Market probabilities
Most likely result
1–0
(12.9%)
1X2 Result
1
31%
X
33%
2
37%
Double Chance
1X
63%
X2
69%
12
67%
Over / Under
Over 1.5
76%
Over 2.5
55%
The ForzaPitch prediction gives Fenerbahçe a 36% win probability, against 32% for a draw and 30% for Atletico Madrid. Expected goals are 0.7 for Atletico Madrid and 1.0 for Fenerbahçe (total 1.7), with a 76% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–0 at 12.9% probability.
Season Stats
6W
3D
6L
5W
4D
2L
Averages per game
1.9
Goals
1.4
1.7
Conceded
0.8
5.0
Shots OT
5.2
5.3
Corners
4.7
50%
Poss.
54%
Percentages
93%
O 1.5
64%
73%
O 2.5
27%
80%
BTTS
55%
7%
Clean Sht
36%
ℹ
Based on the last 15 matches in Champions League. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).
Venue Form
Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
80%
BTTS
5W
1D
2L
· at home
2W
1D
2L
· away
2.8
gls/g
1.0
1.4
Conceded
1.0
63%
Win %
40%
75%
Win or Draw
60%
100%
O 1.5
60%
88%
O 2.5
40%
50%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
60%
0%
Clean Sht
20%
0%
Failed to Score
20%
last 8
ℹ
Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.
Score Matrix
↕ Atletico Madrid
Fenerbahçe →
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17.9% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.8% | 12.9% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | — |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | — | — |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | — | — | — |
| 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Playing profile
Atletico Madrid
Attack
43
Defence
57
Form
50
Fenerbahçe
Attack
56
Defence
68
Form
54
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
League Table
| # | Team | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
1 | 3 |
| 2 |
Bayern München
|
1 | 3 |
| 3 |
Barcelona
|
1 | 3 |
| 4 |
Manchester United
|
1 | 3 |
| 5 |
Como
|
1 | 3 |
| 6 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
1 | 3 |
| 7 |
Sporting CP
|
1 | 3 |
| 8 |
Manchester City
|
1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Aston Villa
|
1 | 3 |
| 10 |
Lens
|
1 | 3 |
| 11 |
Real Betis
|
1 | 3 |
| 12 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
1 | 3 |
| 13 |
Liverpool
|
1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Real Madrid
|
1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Arsenal
|
1 | 3 |
| 16 |
AEK Athens FC
|
1 | 3 |
| 17 |
AS Roma
|
1 | 1 |
| 18 |
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1 | 1 |
| 19 |
PSV Eindhoven
|
1 | 1 |
| 20 |
Fenerbahçe
|
1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Villarreal
|
1 | 0 |
| 22 |
Lille
|
1 | 0 |
| 23 |
Slavia Praha
|
1 | 0 |
| 24 |
Club Brugge KV
|
1 | 0 |
| 25 |
Inter
|
1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atletico Madrid
|
1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Napoli
|
1 | 0 |
| 28 |
Lask Linz
|
1 | 0 |
| 29 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 |
| 30 |
Galatasaray
|
1 | 0 |
| 31 |
FC Porto
|
1 | 0 |
| 32 |
RB Leipzig
|
1 | 0 |
| 33 |
Feyenoord
|
1 | 0 |
| 34 |
Sabah FA
|
1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Slovan Bratislava
|
1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
1 | 0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico Madrid vs Fenerbahçe?
The model gives Atletico Madrid a 30% win probability, 32% for a draw, and 36% for an Fenerbahçe win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Madrid vs Fenerbahçe?
Expected goals: Atletico Madrid 0.7, Fenerbahçe 1.0 (total 1.7). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 76%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Madrid vs Fenerbahçe?
1–0 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.9%.