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La Liga · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 19:00
Atletico Madrid
#2 · 0 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Girona
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Madrid
A. Lookman (ast. A. Griezmann) 21'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Girona 16%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Girona.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
10
1.75
Actual xG
1.94
11
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
9
Corners
7
27
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Lookman · ast. A. Griezmann
21'
R. Le Normand
23'
↕ G. Simeone / T. Almada
46'
56'
C. Stuani / B. Gil ↕
56'
F. Beltran / A. Witsel ↕
↕ A. Baena / A. Sorloth
61'
↕ O. Vargas / J. Morcillo
61'
63'
C. Echeverri / J. Roca ↕
↕ A. Lookman / C. Lenglet
63'
77'
D. Lopez / A. Martinez ↕
J. Morcillo
85'
Pre-match prediction
61.78%
Atletico ←
21.61%
X
16.61%
Girona
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid) 61.78% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
1.86
1.75
-0.11
Girona
0.76
1.94
+1.18
xG dominance was balanced (1.75 – 1.94). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Athletic Club Athletic Club 0 0
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 0 0
3 Osasuna Osasuna 0 0
4 Alaves Alaves 0 0
5 Elche Elche 0 0
6 Barcelona Barcelona 0 0
7 Getafe Getafe 0 0
8 Levante Levante 0 0
9 Malaga Malaga 0 0
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 0 0
11 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 0 0
12 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0 0
13 Espanyol Espanyol 0 0
14 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 0 0
15 Real Betis Real Betis 0 0
16 Real Madrid Real Madrid 0 0
17 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 0 0
18 Sevilla Sevilla 0 0
19 Valencia Valencia 0 0
20 Villarreal Villarreal 0 0
Lineups
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
13 Jan Oblak Jan Oblak G 8.90
3 Matteo Ruggeri Matteo Ruggeri D 7.30
17 D. Hancko D. Hancko D 7.30
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand D 7.60
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill D 6.60
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena 61' M 7.20
6 Koke Koke M 6.90
21 Obed Vargas Obed Vargas 61' M 7.50
20 G. Simeone G. Simeone 45' M 7.30
22 A. Lookman A. Lookman 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.30
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 👟 F 7.60
Bench
40 Aleksa Purić Aleksa Purić D
9 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 30' F 7.20
15
Clément Lenglet 28' D 6.60
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D
47 Javi Morcillo Javi Morcillo 30' M 6.60
1 J. Musso J. Musso G
34 Julio Díaz Julio Díaz M
61 Miguel Cubo Miguel Cubo F
29 Rayane Belaid Rayane Belaid F
31 Salvi Esquivel Salvi Esquivel G
11 T. Almada T. Almada 46' M 7.20
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13 Paulo Gazzaniga Paulo Gazzaniga G 6.60
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno D 6.90
12 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 7.30
16 Alejandro Francés Alejandro Francés 84' D 7.50
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 77' D 6.90
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín M 6.90
20 Axel Witsel Axel Witsel 56' M 6.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca 63' M 7.60
18 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi M 7.90
21 Bryan Gil Bryan Gil 56' M 5.70
15 Viktor Tsygankov Viktor Tsygankov F 6.30
Bench
14 Claudio Echeverri Claudio Echeverri 28' M 6.30
7 Cristhian Stuani Cristhian Stuani 35' F 6.30
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind D
5 David López David López 14' D 6.30
6 Donny van de Beek Donny van de Beek M
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán 35' M 6.60
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón D
36 Ricard Artero Ricard Artero M
1 Rubén Blanco Rubén Blanco G
11 Thomas Lemar Thomas Lemar M
25
V. Krapyvtsov G
Best on the pitch
Jan Oblak
Jan Oblak
G · Atletico
8.90
· 35 pass
A. Ounahi
A. Ounahi
M · Girona
7.90
3 shots · 46 pass
Robin Le Normand
Robin Le Normand
D · Atletico
7.60
· 52 pass
Joel Roca
Joel Roca
M · Girona
7.60
· 14 pass
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
F · Atletico
7.60
1 👟
4 shots · 29 pass
Alejandro Francés
Alejandro Francés
D · Girona
7.50
· 58 pass
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Jan Oblak G 91 8.90 — — — 35 27% — — —
Matteo Ruggeri D 91 7.30 — — — 33 28% 1 — —
D. Hancko D 91 7.30 — — 1 47 44% — — —
Robin Le Normand D 91 7.60 — — — 52 44% 7 1 —
Marc Pubill D 91 6.60 — — 1 33 27% 3 — —
Álex Baena M 61 7.20 — — 2 29 22% 2 — —
Koke M 91 6.90 — — 2 59 56% 1 — —
Obed Vargas M 61 7.50 — — 1 28 23% 3 — —
G. Simeone M 45 7.30 — — — 18 13% 4 — —
A. Lookman F 63 7.30 1 — 2 18 16% — — —
A. Griezmann F 91 7.60 — 1 4 29 23% 1 — —
A. Sørloth F 30 7.20 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
Clément Lenglet D 28 6.60 — — — 10 10% — — —
Javi Morcillo M 30 6.60 — — — 10 9% 2 1 —
T. Almada M 46 7.20 — — — 15 14% 2 — —
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Paulo Gazzaniga G 91 6.60 — — — 22 15% — — —
Álex Moreno D 91 6.90 — — 1 41 40% 2 — —
Vitor Nunes D 91 7.30 — — 2 55 50% 1 — —
Alejandro Francés D 84 7.50 — — — 58 54% 1 — —
Arnau Martínez D 77 6.90 — — 1 43 39% 2 — —
Iván Martín M 91 6.90 — — 1 51 49% 2 — —
Axel Witsel M 56 6.90 — — — 33 32% 3 — —
Joel Roca M 63 7.60 — — — 14 10% — — —
A. Ounahi M 91 7.90 — — 3 46 39% 1 — —
Bryan Gil M 56 5.70 — — 2 20 16% — — —
Viktor Tsygankov F 91 6.30 — — 4 37 29% 1 — —
Claudio Echeverri M 28 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — — —
Cristhian Stuani F 35 6.30 — — 1 3 3% — — —
David López D 14 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Fran Beltrán M 35 6.60 — — — 21 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Girona win.