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La Liga · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 19:00
Atletico Madrid
#2 · 28 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Girona
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Madrid
A. Lookman (ast. A. Griezmann) 21'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Girona 16%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Girona.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
10
1.75
Actual xG
1.94
11
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
9
Corners
7
27
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Lookman · ast. A. Griezmann
21'
R. Le Normand
23'
↕ G. Simeone / T. Almada
46'
56'
C. Stuani / B. Gil ↕
56'
F. Beltran / A. Witsel ↕
↕ A. Baena / A. Sorloth
61'
↕ O. Vargas / J. Morcillo
61'
63'
C. Echeverri / J. Roca ↕
↕ A. Lookman / C. Lenglet
63'
77'
D. Lopez / A. Martinez ↕
J. Morcillo
85'
Pre-match prediction
61.78%
Atletico ←
21.61%
X
16.61%
Girona
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid) 61.78% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
1.86
1.75
-0.11
Girona
0.76
1.94
+1.18
xG dominance was balanced (1.75 – 1.94). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 11 30
2 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 11 28
3 Real Madrid Real Madrid 11 27
4 Real Betis Real Betis 11 23
5 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 11 19
6 Sevilla Sevilla 12 18
7 Athletic Club Athletic Club 10 15
8 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 11 14
9 Alaves Alaves 12 13
10 Villarreal Villarreal 11 12
11 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 11 12
12 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 10 12
13 Getafe Getafe 11 12
14 Espanyol Espanyol 11 11
15 Osasuna Osasuna 11 11
16 Racing Santander Racing Santander 11 11
17 Elche Elche 11 10
18 Levante Levante 11 10
19 Valencia Valencia 11 9
20 Malaga Malaga 11 5
Lineups
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
13 J. Oblak J. Oblak G 8.90
3 M. Ruggeri M. Ruggeri D 7.30
17 D. Hancko D. Hancko D 7.30
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand D 7.60
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill D 6.60
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena 61' M 7.20
6 Koke Koke M 6.90
21 O. Vargas O. Vargas 61' M 7.50
20 G. Simeone G. Simeone 45' M 7.30
22 A. Lookman A. Lookman 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.30
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 👟 F 7.60
Bench
40 Aleksa Purić Aleksa Purić D
9 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 30' F 7.20
15 C. Lenglet C. Lenglet 28' D 6.60
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D
47 J. Morcillo J. Morcillo 30' M 6.60
1 J. Musso J. Musso G
34 Julio Díaz del Romo Julio Díaz del Romo M
61 Miguel Cubo Miguel Cubo F
29 Rayane Belid Rayane Belid F
31 Salvador Esquivel Salvador Esquivel G
11 T. Almada T. Almada 46' M 7.20
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13 Paulo Gazzaniga Paulo Gazzaniga G 6.60
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno D 6.90
12 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 7.30
16 Alejandro Francés Alejandro Francés 84' D 7.50
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 77' D 6.90
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín M 6.90
20 A. Witsel A. Witsel 56' M 6.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca 63' M 7.60
18 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi M 7.90
21 Bryan Gil Bryan Gil 56' M 5.70
15 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov F 6.30
Bench
14 C. Echeverri C. Echeverri 28' M 6.30
7 C. Stuani C. Stuani 35' F 6.30
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind D
5 David López David López 14' D 6.30
6 Donny van de Beek Donny van de Beek M
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán 35' M 6.60
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón D
36 Ricard Artero Ricard Artero M
1 Rubén Blanco Rubén Blanco G
11 T. Lemar T. Lemar M
25
V. Krapyvtsov G
Best on the pitch
J. Oblak
J. Oblak
G · Atletico
8.90
· 35 pass
A. Ounahi
A. Ounahi
M · Girona
7.90
3 shots · 46 pass
Robin Le Normand
Robin Le Normand
D · Atletico
7.60
· 52 pass
Joel Roca
Joel Roca
M · Girona
7.60
· 14 pass
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
F · Atletico
7.60
1 👟
4 shots · 29 pass
Alejandro Francés
Alejandro Francés
D · Girona
7.50
· 58 pass
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Oblak G 91 8.90 — — — 35 27% — — —
M. Ruggeri D 91 7.30 — — — 33 28% 1 — —
D. Hancko D 91 7.30 — — 1 47 44% — — —
Robin Le Normand D 91 7.60 — — — 52 44% 7 1 —
Marc Pubill D 91 6.60 — — 1 33 27% 3 — —
Álex Baena M 61 7.20 — — 2 29 22% 2 — —
Koke M 91 6.90 — — 2 59 56% 1 — —
O. Vargas M 61 7.50 — — 1 28 23% 3 — —
G. Simeone M 45 7.30 — — — 18 13% 4 — —
A. Lookman F 63 7.30 1 — 2 18 16% — — —
A. Griezmann F 91 7.60 — 1 4 29 23% 1 — —
A. Sørloth F 30 7.20 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
C. Lenglet D 28 6.60 — — — 10 10% — — —
J. Morcillo M 30 6.60 — — — 10 9% 2 1 —
T. Almada M 46 7.20 — — — 15 14% 2 — —
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Paulo Gazzaniga G 91 6.60 — — — 22 15% — — —
Álex Moreno D 91 6.90 — — 1 41 40% 2 — —
Vitor Nunes D 91 7.30 — — 2 55 50% 1 — —
Alejandro Francés D 84 7.50 — — — 58 54% 1 — —
Arnau Martínez D 77 6.90 — — 1 43 39% 2 — —
Iván Martín M 91 6.90 — — 1 51 49% 2 — —
A. Witsel M 56 6.90 — — — 33 32% 3 — —
Joel Roca M 63 7.60 — — — 14 10% — — —
A. Ounahi M 91 7.90 — — 3 46 39% 1 — —
Bryan Gil M 56 5.70 — — 2 20 16% — — —
V. Tsygankov F 91 6.30 — — 4 37 29% 1 — —
C. Echeverri M 28 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — — —
C. Stuani F 35 6.30 — — 1 3 3% — — —
David López D 14 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Fran Beltrán M 35 6.60 — — — 21 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Girona win.