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La Liga · Regular Season - 37 May 17, 2026 19:00
Atletico Madrid
#8 · 7 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Girona
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Madrid
A. Lookman (ast. A. Griezmann) 21'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 61% win probability (draw 21%, Girona 16%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Girona.

Match statistics
13
Total shots
16
4
Shots on target
10
1.75
Actual xG
1.94
11
Saves
3
48%
Possession
52%
9
Corners
7
27
Tackles
13
2
🟨 Yellow cards
0
Match Events
⚽A. Lookman · ast. A. Griezmann
21'
R. Le Normand
23'
↕ G. Simeone / T. Almada
46'
56'
C. Stuani / B. Gil ↕
56'
F. Beltran / A. Witsel ↕
↕ A. Baena / A. Sorloth
61'
↕ O. Vargas / J. Morcillo
61'
63'
C. Echeverri / J. Roca ↕
↕ A. Lookman / C. Lenglet
63'
77'
D. Lopez / A. Martinez ↕
J. Morcillo
85'
Pre-match prediction
61.78%
Atletico ←
21.61%
X
16.61%
Girona
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid) 61.78% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico
1.86
1.75
-0.11
Girona
0.76
1.94
+1.18
xG dominance was balanced (1.75 – 1.94). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Barcelona Barcelona 4 12
2 Real Madrid Real Madrid 5 12
3 Alaves Alaves 5 10
4 Sevilla Sevilla 5 10
5 Real Betis Real Betis 4 9
6 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 4 8
7 Espanyol Espanyol 5 7
8 Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4 7
9 Athletic Club Athletic Club 5 7
10 Racing Santander Racing Santander 5 7
11 Real Sociedad Real Sociedad 5 7
12 Osasuna Osasuna 5 7
13 Levante Levante 4 5
14 Getafe Getafe 4 4
15 Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano 5 4
16 Celta Vigo Celta Vigo 5 3
17 Villarreal Villarreal 4 2
18 Malaga Malaga 4 2
19 Elche Elche 5 2
20 Valencia Valencia 5 1
Lineups
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid 4-4-2
13 J. Oblak J. Oblak G 8.90
3 M. Ruggeri M. Ruggeri D 7.30
17 D. Hancko D. Hancko D 7.30
24 Robin Le Normand Robin Le Normand D 7.60
18 Marc Pubill Marc Pubill D 6.60
10 Álex Baena Álex Baena 61' M 7.20
6 Koke Koke M 6.90
21 O. Vargas O. Vargas 61' M 7.50
20 G. Simeone G. Simeone 45' M 7.30
22 A. Lookman A. Lookman 1 ⚽ 63' F 7.30
7 A. Griezmann A. Griezmann 1 👟 F 7.60
Bench
40 Aleksa Purić Aleksa Purić D
9 A. Sørloth A. Sørloth 30' F 7.20
15 C. Lenglet C. Lenglet 28' D 6.60
37 Iker Luque Iker Luque F
32 Javier Boñar Javier Boñar D
47 J. Morcillo J. Morcillo 30' M 6.60
1 J. Musso J. Musso G
34 Julio Díaz del Romo Julio Díaz del Romo M
61 Miguel Cubo Miguel Cubo F
29 Rayane Belid Rayane Belid F
31 Salvi Esquivel Salvi Esquivel G
11 T. Almada T. Almada 46' M 7.20
Girona Girona 4-2-3-1
13 Paulo Gazzaniga Paulo Gazzaniga G 6.60
24 Álex Moreno Álex Moreno D 6.90
12 Vitor Nunes Vitor Nunes D 7.30
16 Alejandro Francés Alejandro Francés 84' D 7.50
4 Arnau Martínez Arnau Martínez 77' D 6.90
23 Iván Martín Iván Martín M 6.90
20 A. Witsel A. Witsel 56' M 6.90
3 Joel Roca Joel Roca 63' M 7.60
18 A. Ounahi A. Ounahi M 7.90
21 Bryan Gil Bryan Gil 56' M 5.70
15 V. Tsygankov V. Tsygankov F 6.30
Bench
14 C. Echeverri C. Echeverri 28' M 6.30
7 C. Stuani C. Stuani 35' F 6.30
17 Daley Blind Daley Blind D
5 David López David López 14' D 6.30
6 Donny van de Beek Donny van de Beek M
8 Fran Beltrán Fran Beltrán 35' M 6.60
2 Hugo Rincón Hugo Rincón D
36 Ricard Artero Ricard Artero M
1 Rubén Blanco Rubén Blanco G
11 T. Lemar T. Lemar M
25
V. Krapyvtsov G
Best on the pitch
J. Oblak
J. Oblak
G · Atletico
8.90
· 35 pass
A. Ounahi
A. Ounahi
M · Girona
7.90
3 shots · 46 pass
Robin Le Normand
Robin Le Normand
D · Atletico
7.60
· 52 pass
Joel Roca
Joel Roca
M · Girona
7.60
· 14 pass
A. Griezmann
A. Griezmann
F · Atletico
7.60
1 👟
4 shots · 29 pass
Alejandro Francés
Alejandro Francés
D · Girona
7.50
· 58 pass
Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
J. Oblak G 91 8.90 — — — 35 27% — — —
M. Ruggeri D 91 7.30 — — — 33 28% 1 — —
D. Hancko D 91 7.30 — — 1 47 44% — — —
Robin Le Normand D 91 7.60 — — — 52 44% 7 1 —
Marc Pubill D 91 6.60 — — 1 33 27% 3 — —
Álex Baena M 61 7.20 — — 2 29 22% 2 — —
Koke M 91 6.90 — — 2 59 56% 1 — —
O. Vargas M 61 7.50 — — 1 28 23% 3 — —
G. Simeone M 45 7.30 — — — 18 13% 4 — —
A. Lookman F 63 7.30 1 — 2 18 16% — — —
A. Griezmann F 91 7.60 — 1 4 29 23% 1 — —
A. Sørloth F 30 7.20 — — — 7 3% 1 — —
C. Lenglet D 28 6.60 — — — 10 10% — — —
J. Morcillo M 30 6.60 — — — 10 9% 2 1 —
T. Almada M 46 7.20 — — — 15 14% 2 — —
Girona Girona — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Paulo Gazzaniga G 91 6.60 — — — 22 15% — — —
Álex Moreno D 91 6.90 — — 1 41 40% 2 — —
Vitor Nunes D 91 7.30 — — 2 55 50% 1 — —
Alejandro Francés D 84 7.50 — — — 58 54% 1 — —
Arnau Martínez D 77 6.90 — — 1 43 39% 2 — —
Iván Martín M 91 6.90 — — 1 51 49% 2 — —
A. Witsel M 56 6.90 — — — 33 32% 3 — —
Joel Roca M 63 7.60 — — — 14 10% — — —
A. Ounahi M 91 7.90 — — 3 46 39% 1 — —
Bryan Gil M 56 5.70 — — 2 20 16% — — —
V. Tsygankov F 91 6.30 — — 4 37 29% 1 — —
C. Echeverri M 28 6.30 — — 1 8 8% — — —
C. Stuani F 35 6.30 — — 1 3 3% — — —
David López D 14 6.30 — — — 1 1% — — —
Fran Beltrán M 35 6.60 — — — 21 21% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 1–0 Girona.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Girona?
The model assigned 61% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Girona win.