La Liga
· Regular Season - 1
August 19, 2026 21:00
Lee Kang-In
(ast. D. Hancko)
70'
A. Baena
85'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 40% win probability (draw 30%, Malaga 28%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 2–0 Malaga.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
3
6
Shots on target
1
0.82
Actual xG
0.15
1
Saves
4
53%
Possession
47%
6
Corners
1
20
Tackles
20
2
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
D. Hancko
15'
J. Dominguez
37'
45'+4
C. Puga
J. Dominguez
/ M. Llorente
46'
A. Ortiz
/ A. Baena
57'
C. Martin
/ Lee Kang-In
57'
R. Mendoza
/ G. Simeone
57'
67'
R. Rodriguez
/
C. Dotor
67'
J. Cruz
/
J. Munoz
⚽Lee Kang-In
· ast. D. Hancko
70'
72'
J. Salinas
/
C. Puga
Koke
/ M. Hjulmand
78'
80'
J. Cruz
80'
R. Enriquez
/
E. Galilea
80'
E. Jauregi
/
D. Lorenzo
⚽A. Baena
85'
88'
R. Enriquez
Pre-match prediction
40.96%
Atletico ←
30.28%
X
28.77%
Malaga
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid)
40.96%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
0.81
0.82
+0.01
1.99
0.15
-1.84
Atletico Madrid dominated by xG (0.82 vs 0.15).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
13
J. Oblak
G
J. Oblak
G
30
Dani MartÃnez
D
Dani MartÃnez
D
17
D. Hancko
1 👟
D
D. Hancko
1 👟
D
24
Robin Le Normand
D
Robin Le Normand
D
27
Jorge Domínguez
45'
D
Jorge Domínguez
45'
D
6
Koke
78'
M
Koke
78'
M
16
Arnau Ortiz
57'
M
Arnau Ortiz
57'
M
8
Pablo Barrios
M
Pablo Barrios
M
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
57'
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
57'
M
12
Carlos Martín
57'
M
Carlos Martín
57'
M
11
A. Lookman
F
A. Lookman
F
Bench
10
Álex Baena
1 ⚽
33'
M
Álex Baena
1 ⚽
33'
M
22
Álex Grimaldo
D
Álex Grimaldo
D
20
G. Simeone
33'
F
G. Simeone
33'
F
5
J. Cardoso
M
J. Cardoso
M
46
J. Castillo
M
J. Castillo
M
2
J. Giménez
D
J. Giménez
D
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
7
Lee Kang-In
1 ⚽
33'
M
Lee Kang-In
1 ⚽
33'
M
14
Marcos Llorente
45'
M
Marcos Llorente
45'
M
18
Marc Pubill
D
Marc Pubill
D
23
M. Hjulmand
12'
M
M. Hjulmand
12'
M
29
Miguel Cubo
F
Miguel Cubo
F
1
Alfonso Herrero
G
Alfonso Herrero
G
31
Rafita
D
Rafita
D
4
Einar Galilea
80'
D
Einar Galilea
80'
D
15
Ángel Recio
D
Ángel Recio
D
3
Puga
72'
D
Puga
72'
D
23
Izan Merino
M
Izan Merino
M
11
Joaquín Muñoz
67'
M
Joaquín Muñoz
67'
M
22
Dani Lorenzo
80'
M
Dani Lorenzo
80'
M
8
Carlos Dotor
67'
M
Carlos Dotor
67'
M
10
David Larrubia
M
David Larrubia
M
9
Chupe
F
Chupe
F
Bench
5
Álex Pastor
D
Álex Pastor
D
13
Carlos López
G
Carlos López
G
17
Eneko Jauregi
10'
F
Eneko Jauregi
10'
F
7
Haitam Abaida
F
Haitam Abaida
F
28
Joseph Otunenche
M
Joseph Otunenche
M
12
José Salinas
18'
D
José Salinas
18'
D
19
Juan Cruz
23'
M
Juan Cruz
23'
M
32
Juan Fernandéz
F
Juan Fernandéz
F
24
Julen Lobete
F
Julen Lobete
F
14
Rafa Rodríguez
23'
M
Rafa Rodríguez
23'
M
6
Ramón Enríquez
10'
M
Ramón Enríquez
10'
M
Best on the pitch
D. Hancko
D · Atletico
8.90
1 👟
2 shots
· 95 pass
Lee Kang-In
M · Atletico
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 14 pass
Pablo Barrios
M · Atletico
7.90
· 57 pass
Alfonso Herrero
G · Malaga
7.90
· 47 pass
Álex Baena
M · Atletico
7.60
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Koke
M · Atletico
7.50
· 67 pass
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Dani MartÃnez | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 55 | 47% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 8.90 | — | 1 | 2 | 95 | 91% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | 2 | — | — |
| Jorge Domínguez | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 13% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Koke | M | 78 | 7.50 | — | — | — | 67 | 59% | 2 | — | — |
| Arnau Ortiz | M | 57 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 57 | 51% | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Mendoza | M | 57 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Martín | M | 57 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 20 | 15% | — | — | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 33 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | — | — | — |
| G. Simeone | F | 33 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | M | 33 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 14 | 13% | 3 | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 12 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Malaga — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfonso Herrero | G | 90 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 47 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Rafita | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 38 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Einar Galilea | D | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 4 | — | — |
| Ángel Recio | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 57 | 50% | 1 | — | — |
| Puga | D | 72 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | — | 1 | — |
| Izan Merino | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 49 | 45% | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquín Muñoz | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Dani Lorenzo | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 50 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| Carlos Dotor | M | 67 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 23% | 4 | — | — |
| David Larrubia | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 21% | 4 | — | — |
| Chupe | F | 90 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 21 | 14% | 1 | — | — |
| Eneko Jauregi | F | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| José Salinas | D | 18 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Juan Cruz | M | 23 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 9 | 9% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rafa Rodríguez | M | 23 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Ramón Enríquez | M | 10 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 18% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Malaga?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 2–0 Malaga.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Malaga?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 30% to a draw, and 28% to an Malaga win.