Pablo Barrios Rivas
(ast. Alejandro Baena Rodríguez)
1'
Ademola Lookman
79'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Madrid a 44% win probability (draw 31%, Manchester United 24%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 2–0 Manchester United. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Manchester United.
Match statistics
11
Total shots
9
4
Shots on target
4
1.50
Actual xG
1.04
4
Saves
3
58%
Possession
42%
2
Corners
4
5
Tackles
21
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
⚽Pablo Barrios Rivas
· ast. Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
1'
Diego Pablo Simeone
37'
45'
52'
Marcus Rashford
Pablo Barrios Rivas
/ Marc Pubill
60'
Lee Kang-In
/ Jonathan David
61'
66'
Joshua Zirkzee
/
Youri Tielemans
66'
Mason Mount
/
Carlos Baleba
66'
Amad Diallo
/
Marcus Rashford
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
/ Ademola Lookman
71'
Julián Álvarez
/ Morten Hjulmand
71'
72'
74'
Leny Yoro
⚽Ademola Lookman
79'
80'
Harry Maguire
/
Ayden Heaven
80'
Matheus Cunha
/
Bruno Fernandes
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
/ Robin Le Normand
88'
Robin Le Normand
88'
Pre-match prediction
44.84%
Atletico ←
31.05%
X
24.1%
Manchester
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid)
44.84%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.07
1.50
+0.43
0.65
1.04
+0.39
Atletico Madrid dominated by xG (1.50 vs 1.04).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates were accurate.
Lineups
13
J. Oblak
G
J. Oblak
G
22
Álex Grimaldo
D
Álex Grimaldo
D
17
D. Hancko
D
D. Hancko
D
21
C. Romero
D
C. Romero
D
14
Marcos Llorente
D
Marcos Llorente
D
10
Álex Baena
1 👟
71'
M
Álex Baena
1 👟
71'
M
5
J. Cardoso
M
J. Cardoso
M
8
Pablo Barrios
1 ⚽
60'
M
Pablo Barrios
1 ⚽
60'
M
20
G. Simeone
88'
M
G. Simeone
88'
M
19
J. Álvarez
71'
F
J. Álvarez
71'
F
7
Lee Kang-In
61'
F
Lee Kang-In
61'
F
Bench
11
A. Lookman
1 ⚽
19'
F
A. Lookman
1 ⚽
19'
F
16
Arnau Ortiz
F
Arnau Ortiz
F
9
A. Sørloth
F
A. Sørloth
F
30
Dani MartÃnez
D
Dani MartÃnez
D
46
J. Castillo
M
J. Castillo
M
15
J. David
29'
F
J. David
29'
F
27
J. Dominguez
D
J. Dominguez
D
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
18
Marc Pubill
30'
D
Marc Pubill
30'
D
23
M. Hjulmand
19'
M
M. Hjulmand
19'
M
24
Robin Le Normand
2'
D
Robin Le Normand
2'
D
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
1
S. Lammens
G
S. Lammens
G
26
A. Heaven
80'
D
A. Heaven
80'
D
6
Lisandro Martínez
D
Lisandro Martínez
D
15
L. Yoro
74'
D
L. Yoro
74'
D
2
Diogo Dalot
D
Diogo Dalot
D
20
C. Baleba
66'
M
C. Baleba
66'
M
17
Andrey Santos
M
Andrey Santos
M
9
M. Rashford
66'
M
M. Rashford
66'
M
18
Y. Tielemans
66'
M
Y. Tielemans
66'
M
8
Bruno Fernandes
80'
M
Bruno Fernandes
80'
M
19
B. Mbeumo
F
B. Mbeumo
F
Bench
16
A. Diallo
24'
F
A. Diallo
24'
F
57
Daniel Armer
D
Daniel Armer
D
45
Dermot William Mee
G
Dermot William Mee
G
41
H. Amass
D
H. Amass
D
5
H. Maguire
10'
D
H. Maguire
10'
D
11
J. Zirkzee
24'
F
J. Zirkzee
24'
F
12
K. Darlow
G
K. Darlow
G
10
Matheus Cunha
10'
F
Matheus Cunha
10'
F
4
M. de Ligt
D
M. de Ligt
D
7
M. Mount
24'
M
M. Mount
24'
M
31
S. Lacey
F
S. Lacey
F
39
T. Fletcher
M
T. Fletcher
M
Best on the pitch
Pablo Barrios
M · Atletico
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 52 pass
Marcos Llorente
D · Atletico
7.78
· 68 pass
Álex Baena
M · Atletico
7.70
1 👟
3 shots
· 45 pass
Álex Grimaldo
D · Atletico
7.64
3 shots
· 64 pass
D. Hancko
D · Atletico
7.60
· 82 pass
C. Romero
D · Atletico
7.52
· 86 pass
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 7.02 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 90 | 7.64 | — | — | 3 | 64 | 58% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 0 | 82 | 76% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 90 | 7.52 | — | — | 0 | 86 | 81% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | D | 90 | 7.78 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 71 | 7.70 | — | 1 | 3 | 45 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 90 | 6.81 | — | — | 0 | 65 | 59% | 0 | — | — |
| Pablo Barrios | M | 60 | 8.20 | 1 | — | 1 | 52 | 49% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 88 | 6.53 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 31% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 71 | 6.42 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 22% | 0 | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | F | 61 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 32% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 19 | 7.36 | 1 | — | 1 | 7 | 6% | 0 | — | — |
| J. David | F | 29 | 6.17 | — | — | 1 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 30 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 19 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 2 | 6.64 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | 1 | — |
Manchester United — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lammens | G | 90 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 15% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Heaven | D | 80 | 6.65 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 29% | 4 | — | — |
| Lisandro Martínez | D | 90 | 6.75 | — | — | 0 | 60 | 57% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Yoro | D | 74 | 5.55 | — | — | 0 | 51 | 45% | 2 | — | 1 |
| Diogo Dalot | D | 90 | 6.23 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 47% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Baleba | M | 66 | 6.14 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 16% | 2 | — | — |
| Andrey Santos | M | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 62 | 55% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Rashford | M | 66 | 5.50 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 66 | 6.72 | — | — | 0 | 30 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Bruno Fernandes | M | 80 | 6.43 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Mbeumo | F | 90 | 6.40 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Diallo | F | 24 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| H. Maguire | D | 10 | 6.10 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Zirkzee | F | 24 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Matheus Cunha | F | 10 | 6.55 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Mount | M | 24 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 4 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 2–0 Manchester United.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Manchester United?
The model assigned 44% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 31% to a draw, and 24% to an Manchester United win.