Alejandro Grimaldo
53'
(pen.)
Jonathan David
(ast. Giuliano Simeone Baldini)
59'
89'
(ast. Bernardo Silva)
Antonio Rüdiger
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Real Madrid a 39% win probability (draw 26%, Atletico Madrid 34%). The final result was Atletico Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid. In 3 previous meetings, Atletico Madrid have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Real Madrid.
Match statistics
18
Total shots
8
9
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
61%
Possession
39%
3
Corners
1
15
Tackles
21
2
🟨 Yellow cards
2
0
🟥 Red cards
1
Match Events
Diego Pablo Simeone
6'
Marc Pubill
35'
38'
Cristian Romero
38'
Marc Pubill
/ Koke
45'
49'
Denzel Dumfries
51'
52'
Dean Huijsen
⚽Alejandro Grimaldo
(pen.)
53'
54'
Antonio Rüdiger
/
Arda Güler
54'
Yan Diomande
/
Vinícius
⚽Jonathan David
· ast. Giuliano Simeone Baldini
59'
Jonathan David
/ Julián Álvarez
62'
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
/ Ademola Lookman
67'
71'
Eduardo Camavinga
/
Aurelien Tchouameni
78'
Jude Bellingham
82'
Bernardo Silva
/
Jude Bellingham
Cristian Romero
/ Robin Le Normand
89'
Lee Kang-In
/ Morten Hjulmand
89'
89'
ast. Bernardo Silva ·
Antonio Rüdiger⚽
Pre-match prediction
34.17%
Atletico ←
26.69%
X
39.14%
Real
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Madrid)
34.17%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.69
—
—
2.97
—
—
Lineups
13
J. Oblak
G
J. Oblak
G
22
Álex Grimaldo
1 ⚽
D
Álex Grimaldo
1 ⚽
D
17
D. Hancko
D
D. Hancko
D
21
C. Romero
89'
D
C. Romero
89'
D
18
Marc Pubill
45'
D
Marc Pubill
45'
D
10
Álex Baena
67'
M
Álex Baena
67'
M
5
J. Cardoso
M
J. Cardoso
M
14
Marcos Llorente
M
Marcos Llorente
M
20
G. Simeone
1 👟
M
G. Simeone
1 👟
M
15
J. David
1 ⚽
62'
F
J. David
1 ⚽
62'
F
7
Lee Kang-In
89'
F
Lee Kang-In
89'
F
Bench
11
A. Lookman
23'
F
A. Lookman
23'
F
16
Arnau Ortiz
F
Arnau Ortiz
F
30
Dani MartÃnez
D
Dani MartÃnez
D
19
J. Álvarez
28'
F
J. Álvarez
28'
F
46
J. Castillo
M
J. Castillo
M
27
J. Dominguez
D
J. Dominguez
D
1
J. Musso
G
J. Musso
G
6
Koke
45'
M
Koke
45'
M
23
M. Hjulmand
1'
M
M. Hjulmand
1'
M
3
O. Vargas
M
O. Vargas
M
24
Robin Le Normand
1'
D
Robin Le Normand
1'
D
4
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
Rodrigo Mendoza
M
1
T. Courtois
G
T. Courtois
G
17
Marc Cucurella
D
Marc Cucurella
D
4
D. Huijsen
52'
D
D. Huijsen
52'
D
16
I. Konaté
D
I. Konaté
D
24
D. Dumfries
D
D. Dumfries
D
14
A. Tchouaméni
71'
M
A. Tchouaméni
71'
M
8
F. Valverde
M
F. Valverde
M
7
Vinícius Júnior
54'
M
Vinícius Júnior
54'
M
5
J. Bellingham
82'
M
J. Bellingham
82'
M
15
A. Güler
54'
M
A. Güler
54'
M
10
Kylian Mbappé
F
Kylian Mbappé
F
Bench
13
A. Lunin
G
A. Lunin
G
18
Álvaro Fernández
D
Álvaro Fernández
D
22
A. Rüdiger
1 ⚽
36'
D
A. Rüdiger
1 ⚽
36'
D
20
Bernardo Silva
1 👟
8'
M
Bernardo Silva
1 👟
8'
M
21
Brahim Díaz
M
Brahim Díaz
M
19
Carlos Espí
F
Carlos Espí
F
6
E. Camavinga
19'
M
E. Camavinga
19'
M
9
Endrick
F
Endrick
F
2
Raúl Asencio
D
Raúl Asencio
D
12
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
T. Alexander-Arnold
D
27
Thiago Pitarch
M
Thiago Pitarch
M
25
Y. Diomande
36'
F
Best on the pitch
J. David
F · Atletico
7.85
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 11 pass
D. Hancko
D · Atletico
7.45
4 shots
· 67 pass
A. Rüdiger
D · Real
7.28
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 23 pass
Koke
M · Atletico
7.20
1 shots
· 64 pass
Marcos Llorente
M · Atletico
7.20
· 81 pass
G. Simeone
M · Atletico
6.97
1 👟
1 shots
· 41 pass
Atletico Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Oblak | G | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Álex Grimaldo | D | 90 | 6.96 | 1 | — | 2 | 47 | 42% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Hancko | D | 90 | 7.45 | — | — | 4 | 67 | 59% | 3 | — | — |
| C. Romero | D | 89 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 56 | 54% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Marc Pubill | D | 45 | 6.20 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 22% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Álex Baena | M | 67 | 6.50 | — | — | 1 | 37 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Cardoso | M | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 67 | 63% | 0 | — | — |
| Marcos Llorente | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | 0 | 81 | 77% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Simeone | M | 90 | 6.97 | — | 1 | 1 | 41 | 31% | 4 | — | — |
| J. David | F | 62 | 7.85 | 1 | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| Lee Kang-In | F | 89 | 6.00 | — | — | 2 | 58 | 49% | 2 | — | — |
| A. Lookman | F | 23 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Álvarez | F | 28 | 6.81 | — | — | 3 | 18 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Koke | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | 1 | 64 | 62% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Hjulmand | M | 1 | 6.35 | — | — | 0 | 3 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| Robin Le Normand | D | 1 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Real Madrid — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Courtois | G | 90 | 6.73 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Marc Cucurella | D | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 0 | 48 | 42% | 5 | — | — |
| D. Huijsen | D | 52 | 5.75 | — | — | 0 | 36 | 36% | 3 | — | 1 |
| I. Konaté | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 47 | 41% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Dumfries | D | 90 | 5.29 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 16% | 2 | 1 | — |
| A. Tchouaméni | M | 71 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 32 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Valverde | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Vinícius Júnior | M | 54 | 6.15 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 82 | 6.63 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 24% | 4 | 1 | — |
| A. Güler | M | 54 | 6.15 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| Kylian Mbappé | F | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Rüdiger | D | 36 | 7.28 | 1 | — | 1 | 23 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Bernardo Silva | M | 8 | 6.69 | — | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Camavinga | M | 19 | 6.28 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 15% | 4 | — | — |
| Y. Diomande | F | 36 | 6.56 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
The final score was Atletico Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid.
What did the model predict before Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid?
The model assigned 34% probability to a Atletico Madrid win, 26% to a draw, and 39% to an Real Madrid win.