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Copa Sudamericana · Semi-finals October 15, 2026 00:00 MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Atletico-MG
#1 · 10 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Atletico Torque
#1 · 13 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico-MG
Reinier Jesus Carvalho (ast. Victor Hugo Gomes Silva) 37'
Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte (ast. Reinier Jesus Carvalho) 42'
Thiago Borbas (ast. Renan Lodi) 80'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 60% win probability (draw 20%, Atletico Torque 18%). The final result was Atletico-MG 3–0 Atletico Torque. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Atletico Torque.

Match statistics
16
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
1
2.16
Actual xG
0.31
1
Saves
4
65%
Possession
35%
6
Corners
4
7
Tackles
13
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽Reinier Jesus Carvalho · ast. Victor Hugo Gomes Silva
37'
⚽Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte · ast. Reinier Jesus Carvalho
42'
46'
Pablo Siles
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
57'
↕ Reinier Jesus Carvalho / Thiago Borbas
63'
↕ Victor Hugo Gomes Silva / Igor Gomes
63'
↕ Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte / Mamady Cisse
77'
80'
Ezequiel Busquets / Franco Pizzichillo ↕
80'
Diogo Guzmán / Pablo Siles ↕
⚽Thiago Borbas · ast. Renan Lodi
80'
81'
Luka Andrade / E. Obregón ↕
↕ Tomás Cuello / Alan Minda
85'
↕ Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira / Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
85'
88'
Alexander Nahuel da Silva Rivero / Salomón Rodríguez ↕
90'+2
Luka Andrade
Pre-match prediction
60.99%
Atletico-MG ←
20.67%
X
18.35%
Atletico
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 60.99% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
2.04
2.16
+0.12
Atletico
1.08
0.31
-0.77
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (2.16 vs 0.31). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
1 Gabriel Delfim Gabriel Delfim G 6.66
6 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi 1 👟 D 8.13
13 Lyanco Lyanco D 8.00
40 Vitão Vitão 85' D 7.36
21 A. Franco A. Franco D 7.38
15 K. Castaño K. Castaño M 7.20
8 Maycon Maycon M 7.08
11 Bernard Bernard 1 ⚽ 77' M 8.20
30 Victor Hugo Victor Hugo 1 👟 63' M 7.70
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 85' M 6.67
19 Reinier Reinier 1 ⚽ 1 👟 63' F 8.59
Bench
5 Alexsander Alexsander M 0.00
27 A. Minda A. Minda 5' F 6.48
23 A. Preciado A. Preciado D 0.00
92 Dudu Dudu F 0.00
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes 27' M 6.89
36 K. Pascini K. Pascini D 0.00
3 Léo Duarte Léo Duarte D 0.00
39 Mamady Cisse Mamady Cisse 13' M 6.79
2 Natanael Natanael D 0.00
31 Robert Alves Robert Alves G 0.00
18 T. Borbas T. Borbas 1 ⚽ 27' F 7.76
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo 5' D 7.01
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque 5-4-1
1
F. Torgnascioli G 5.87
26
F. Silvera D 6.34
2
B. Gutierrez D 6.64
3
K. Silva D 5.74
24
G. Kagelmacher D 5.99
17
E. Agüero D 6.15
10 E. Obregón E. Obregón 81' M 5.58
20 G. Montes G. Montes M 6.26
8 P. Siles P. Siles 80' M 5.41
5 F. Pizzichillo F. Pizzichillo 80' M 5.82
9 S. Rodríguez S. Rodríguez 88' F 6.10
Bench
19 D. Guzmán D. Guzmán 10' M 5.85
15
E. Busquets 10' D 5.92
13
G. Rodríguez G 0.00
30
J. Quintana F 0.00
27
J. Tarán M 0.00
23
L. Duré M 0.00
7
Luka Andrade 9' F 6.21
11
N. da Silva 2' F 6.43
21 N. Perez N. Perez D 0.00
18
R. Lecchini F 0.00
32
S. Cáceres M 0.00
Best on the pitch
Reinier
Reinier
F · Atletico-MG
8.59
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots · 36 pass
Bernard
Bernard
M · Atletico-MG
8.20
1 ⚽
1 shots · 48 pass
Renan Lodi
Renan Lodi
D · Atletico-MG
8.13
1 👟
2 shots · 58 pass
Lyanco
Lyanco
D · Atletico-MG
8.00
1 shots · 70 pass
T. Borbas
T. Borbas
F · Atletico-MG
7.76
1 ⚽
2 shots · 3 pass
Victor Hugo
Victor Hugo
M · Atletico-MG
7.70
1 👟
1 shots · 36 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Delfim G 90 6.66 — — 0 20 16% 0 — —
Renan Lodi D 90 8.13 — 1 2 58 54% 0 — —
Lyanco D 90 8.00 — — 1 70 65% 0 — —
Vitão D 85 7.36 — — 1 68 61% 1 1 —
A. Franco D 90 7.38 — — 0 58 51% 0 — —
K. Castaño M 90 7.20 — — 1 99 95% 1 — —
Maycon M 90 7.08 — — 0 118 110% 0 — —
Bernard M 77 8.20 1 — 1 48 43% 0 — —
Victor Hugo M 63 7.70 — 1 1 36 36% 2 — —
T. Cuello M 85 6.67 — — 3 20 15% 1 — —
Reinier F 63 8.59 1 1 2 36 34% 0 — —
A. Minda F 5 6.48 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
Igor Gomes M 27 6.89 — — 2 16 13% 1 — —
Mamady Cisse M 13 6.79 — — 0 7 7% 0 — —
T. Borbas F 27 7.76 1 — 2 3 3% 1 — —
Vitor Hugo D 5 7.01 — — 0 5 5% 0 — —
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
F. Torgnascioli G 90 5.87 — — 0 29 16% 0 — —
F. Silvera D 90 6.34 — — 0 29 22% 1 — —
B. Gutierrez D 90 6.64 — — 0 41 31% 2 — —
K. Silva D 90 5.74 — — 0 38 28% 2 — —
G. Kagelmacher D 90 5.99 — — 0 37 31% 1 — —
E. Agüero D 90 6.15 — — 1 22 20% 1 — —
E. Obregón M 81 5.58 — — 1 7 6% 2 — —
G. Montes M 90 6.26 — — 0 54 45% 2 — —
P. Siles M 80 5.41 — — 0 40 33% 0 1 —
F. Pizzichillo M 80 5.82 — — 1 13 8% 1 — —
S. Rodríguez F 88 6.10 — — 1 17 11% 1 — —
D. Guzmán M 10 5.85 — — 1 8 8% 0 — —
E. Busquets D 10 5.92 — — 0 4 3% 0 — —
Luka Andrade F 9 6.21 — — 1 3 3% 0 1 —
N. da Silva F 2 6.43 — — 0 1 0% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?
The final score was Atletico-MG 3–0 Atletico Torque.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?
The model assigned 60% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 20% to a draw, and 18% to an Atletico Torque win.