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Atletico-MG - Atletico Torque

Copa Sudamericana October 14, 2026 22:00
Atletico-MG
#1 · 10 pts
vs
Atletico Torque
#1 · 13 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
33.83%
Win
Atletico-MG
22.52%
Draw
43.65%
Win
Atletico Torque
1.54
Expected xG
1.87

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.48%)
1X2 Result
1 34%
X 23%
2 44%
Double Chance
1X 56%
X2 66%
12 78%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 65%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico Torque a 43% win probability, against 22% for a draw and 33% for Atletico-MG. Expected goals are 1.5 for Atletico-MG and 1.9 for Atletico Torque (total 3.4), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.48% probability.

Season Stats

Atletico-MG
7W 5D 3L
Atletico Torque
8W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.5
Goals
1.6
1.1
Conceded
0.7
4.1
Shots OT
3.6
3.5
Corners
4.5
52%
Poss.
45%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
64%
47%
O 2.5
45%
53%
BTTS
36%
33%
Clean Sht
55%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
50%
BTTS
Atletico-MG
7W 2D 1L · at home
Atletico Torque
2W 1D 2L · away
1.8
gls/g
1.2
0.9
Conceded
1.2
70%
Win %
40%
90%
Win or Draw
60%
70%
O 1.5
80%
50%
O 2.5
40%
30%
O 3.5
20%
60%
BTTS
40%
30%
Clean Sht
40%
10%
Failed to Score
20%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico-MG Atletico Torque →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 3.3% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 1.7% 0.6%
1 5.1% 9.5% 8.9% 5.5% 2.6% 1.0%
2 3.9% 7.3% 6.9% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7%
3 2.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.2% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.8% 1.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% —

Recent form

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W Santos 4–2
L Santos 2–0
D RB Bragantino 2–2
W RB Bragantino 0–1
W Puerto Cabello 1–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
W Cienciano 3–0
L Cienciano 2–0
W Tigre 2–1
W Tigre 0–1
D Gremio 2–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 28%

Playing profile

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
45
Defence
66
Form
53
Atletico Torque Atletico Torque
Attack
65
Defence
70
Form
78
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?
The model gives Atletico-MG a 33% win probability, 22% for a draw, and 43% for an Atletico Torque win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?
Expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.5, Atletico Torque 1.9 (total 3.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico-MG vs Atletico Torque?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.48%.