Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 15
May 10, 2026 21:00
M. Cassierra
23'
90'
Arthur Cabral
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 52% win probability (draw 22%, Botafogo 25%). The final result was Atletico-MG 1–1 Botafogo.
Match statistics
12
Total shots
16
7
Shots on target
5
0.83
Actual xG
1.68
4
Saves
6
43%
Possession
57%
6
Corners
4
7
Tackles
11
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
⚽M. Cassierra
23'
27'
Alex Telles
Bernard
/ Alexsander
49'
64'
K. Barria
/
Edenilson
I. Roman
/ Vitor Hugo
68'
A. Minda
/ M. Cisse
69'
75'
Marcal
/
Alex Telles
75'
A. Montoro
/
Newton
80'
J. Barrera
/
Matheus Martins
Cuello
/ Reinier
88'
90'+3
M. Ponte
90'
Arthur Cabral⚽
Pre-match prediction
52.08%
Atletico-MG
22.68%
X ←
25.25%
Botafogo
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
22.68%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.12
0.83
-1.29
1.23
1.68
+0.45
Botafogo dominated by xG (1.68 vs 0.83).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Everson
G
Everson
G
16
Renan Lodi
D
Renan Lodi
D
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
3
I. Román
68'
D
I. Román
68'
D
2
Natanael
D
Natanael
D
25
Tomás Pérez
M
Tomás Pérez
M
8
Maycon
M
Maycon
M
11
Bernard
49'
M
Bernard
49'
M
27
A. Minda
69'
M
A. Minda
69'
M
28
T. Cuello
88'
M
T. Cuello
88'
M
9
Mateo Cassierra
1 ⚽
F
Mateo Cassierra
1 ⚽
F
Bench
5
Alexsander
41'
M
Alexsander
41'
M
23
A. Preciado
D
A. Preciado
D
29
Cauã Campos Soares
F
Cauã Campos Soares
F
92
Dudu
F
Dudu
F
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
Gabriel Delfim
G
17
Igor Gomes
M
Igor Gomes
M
36
Kauã Pascini
D
Kauã Pascini
D
39
Mamady Cissé
21'
M
Mamady Cissé
21'
M
48
Mateus Jose Iseppe
M
Mateus Jose Iseppe
M
19
Reinier
2'
M
Reinier
2'
M
4
Ruan Tressoldi
D
Ruan Tressoldi
D
14
Vitor Hugo
22'
D
Vitor Hugo
22'
D
22
Neto
G
Neto
G
20
A. Barboza
D
A. Barboza
D
28
Newton
75'
D
Newton
75'
D
5
Nahuel Ferraresi
D
13
Alex Telles
75'
M
Alex Telles
75'
M
6
C. Medina
M
C. Medina
M
8
Danilo Santos
M
4
Mateo Ponte
M
Mateo Ponte
M
11
Matheus Martins
80'
F
Matheus Martins
80'
F
19
Arthur Cabral
1 ⚽
F
Arthur Cabral
1 ⚽
F
88
Edenilson
64'
F
Edenilson
64'
F
Bench
10
Álvaro Montoro
15'
M
Álvaro Montoro
15'
M
27
Caio Roque
D
Caio Roque
D
34
Gabriel Justino
D
Gabriel Justino
D
75
Huguinho
M
Huguinho
M
30
J. Correa
F
J. Correa
F
14
Jordan Barrera
10'
M
Jordan Barrera
10'
M
37
Kadir Barría
26'
F
42
Kadu Santos
D
Kadu Santos
D
77
Lucas Villalba
F
Lucas Villalba
F
21
Marçal
15'
D
Marçal
15'
D
1
Raul
G
Raul
G
3
Ythallo
D
Ythallo
D
Best on the pitch
A. Barboza
D · Botafogo
7.60
4 shots
· 84 pass
Neto
G · Botafogo
7.60
· 24 pass
Everson
G · Atletico-MG
7.30
· 38 pass
Arthur Cabral
F · Botafogo
7.30
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 10 pass
Mateo Cassierra
F · Atletico-MG
7.30
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 19 pass
Nahuel Ferraresi
D · Botafogo
7.20
· 50 pass
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everson | G | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 38 | 13% | — | — | — |
| Renan Lodi | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| J. Alonso | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| I. Román | D | 68 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Natanael | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| Maycon | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 34 | 32% | — | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 49 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| A. Minda | M | 69 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 18 | 14% | — | — | — |
| T. Cuello | M | 88 | 7.20 | — | — | 3 | 32 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Cassierra | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 3 | 19 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| Alexsander | M | 41 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Mamady Cissé | M | 21 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| Reinier | M | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | 22 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | — | — | — |
Botafogo — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto | G | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | — | 24 | 21% | — | — | — |
| A. Barboza | D | 90 | 7.60 | — | — | 4 | 84 | 65% | 2 | — | — |
| Newton | D | 75 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 39 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 50 | 41% | 2 | — | — |
| Alex Telles | M | 75 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | — | 1 | — |
| C. Medina | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 39 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 31 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Mateo Ponte | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 17% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Matheus Martins | F | 80 | 6.70 | — | — | 1 | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 90 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 2 | 10 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Edenilson | F | 64 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 15 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | 10 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Kadir Barría | F | 26 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 15 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 11 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Botafogo?
The final score was Atletico-MG 1–1 Botafogo.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Botafogo?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 22% to a draw, and 25% to an Botafogo win.