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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 28 September 19, 2026 21:00 Arena MRV, Bello Harisanta
Atletico-MG
#7 · 50 pts
1 – 1
Final score
Chapecoense-sc
#20 · 21 pts
✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico-MG, result Draw
Mateo Cassierra 69'
44' (ast. Luis Eduardo Marques dos Santos) Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Chapecoense-sc 16%). The final result was Atletico-MG 1–1 Chapecoense-sc. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Chapecoense-sc.

Match statistics
26
Total shots
5
11
Shots on target
1
0
Saves
8
66%
Possession
34%
11
Corners
2
13
Tackles
23
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
44'
ast. Luis Eduardo Marques dos Santos · Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira⚽
Vitor Hugo Franchescoli de Souza
48'
↕ Kaua Pascini / Mateo Cassierra
58'
↕ Alexsander Cristhian Gomes da Costa / Renan Lodi
58'
↕ Alan Minda / Eduardo Pereira Rodrigues
58'
⚽Mateo Cassierra
69'
71'
Yannick Bolasie / Tulio Eduardo Silva De Oliveira ↕
71'
Bruno Matias / Luis Eduardo Marques dos Santos ↕
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira
81'
↕ Maycon de Andrade Barberan / Kevin Castaño
81'
82'
Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior / Bruno Pacheco ↕
82'
Miguel Carvalho Vianna / Giovanni Augusto ↕
88'
David Antunes da Silva / Yago Felipe ↕
90'
Fernando Augusto Pereira Bueno Júnior
Pre-match prediction
62.49%
Atletico-MG
21.47%
X ←
16.04%
Chapecoense-sc
✗ Wrong prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Draw) 21.47% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
1.83
—
—
Chapecoense-sc
0.85
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 33 73
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 33 70
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 33 57
4 Fluminense Fluminense 33 54
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 33 54
6 Bahia Bahia 33 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 33 50
8 Santos Santos 33 47
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 33 44
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 33 43
11 Botafogo Botafogo 33 39
12 Coritiba Coritiba 32 39
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 32 38
14 Vitoria Vitoria 32 38
15 Gremio Gremio 33 37
16 Mirassol Mirassol 32 37
17 Internacional Internacional 33 35
18 Corinthians Corinthians 32 33
19 Remo Remo 33 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 32 21
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
1 Gabriel Delfim Gabriel Delfim G 6.43
36 Kauã Pascini Kauã Pascini 58' D 6.78
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo D 6.57
40 Vitão Vitão D 6.48
2 Natanael Natanael D 7.39
5 Alexsander Alexsander 58' M 6.28
8 Maycon Maycon 81' M 6.85
11 Bernard Bernard M 7.07
7 Fred Fred M 7.20
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello M 7.20
27 Alan Minda Alan Minda 58' F 6.48
Bench
21 Alan Franco Alan Franco M 0.00
23 Ángelo Preciado Ángelo Preciado D 0.00
92 Dudu Dudu 32' F 6.68
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes M 0.00
15 Kevin Castaño Kevin Castaño 9' M 6.93
3 Léo Duarte Léo Duarte D 0.00
13 Lyanco Lyanco D 0.00
39 Mamady Cissé Mamady Cissé M 0.00
9 M. Cassierra M. Cassierra 1 ⚽ 32' F 8.20
6 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi 32' D 7.03
31 Robert Alves Robert Alves G 0.00
25 Tomás Pérez Tomás Pérez M 0.00
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 4-2-3-1
98 Anderson Anderson G 8.23
91 Bruno Pacheco Bruno Pacheco 82' D 6.30
3 Doma Doma D 6.91
21 Kauan Faria Gomes Kauan Faria Gomes D 6.82
23 Dudu Dudu 1 👟 71' D 7.50
88 Yago Felipe Yago Felipe 88' M 6.54
27 Camilo Camilo M 6.42
31 Garcez Garcez M 6.07
10 Giovanni Augusto Giovanni Augusto 82' M 6.61
7 Marcinho Marcinho M 7.04
9
F 0.00
Bench
16 Bruno Matias Bruno Matias 19' M 6.25
19 David Antunes David Antunes 2' M 6.25
77 D. Borrero D. Borrero F 0.00
12 Fernando Fernando 8' D 5.87
30 Matheus Aurélio Matheus Aurélio G 0.00
80 Miguel Carvalho Miguel Carvalho 8' M 6.40
15 Rafael Thyere Rafael Thyere D 0.00
70 Rubens Rubens M 0.00
11 Y. Bolasie Y. Bolasie 19' F 6.56
Best on the pitch
Anderson
Anderson
G · Chapecoense-sc
8.23
· 42 pass
M. Cassierra
M. Cassierra
F · Atletico-MG
8.20
1 ⚽
2 shots · 9 pass
Dudu
Dudu
D · Chapecoense-sc
7.50
1 👟
1 shots · 24 pass
Natanael
Natanael
D · Atletico-MG
7.39
5 shots · 50 pass
Fred
Fred
M · Atletico-MG
7.20
2 shots · 93 pass
T. Cuello
T. Cuello
M · Atletico-MG
7.20
7 shots · 38 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Delfim G 90 6.43 — — 0 20 18% 0 — —
Kauã Pascini D 58 6.78 — — 1 38 35% 1 — —
Vitor Hugo D 90 6.57 — — 0 64 61% 1 1 —
Vitão D 90 6.48 — — 0 56 50% 2 1 —
Natanael D 90 7.39 — — 5 50 49% 3 — —
Alexsander M 58 6.28 — — 1 44 34% 1 — —
Maycon M 81 6.85 — — 1 79 72% 1 — —
Bernard M 90 7.07 — — 3 78 61% 2 — —
Fred M 90 7.20 — — 2 93 84% 0 — —
T. Cuello M 90 7.20 — — 7 38 30% 1 — —
Alan Minda F 58 6.48 — — 2 11 8% 1 — —
Dudu F 32 6.68 — — 1 27 24% 0 — —
Kevin Castaño M 9 6.93 — — 0 29 28% 0 — —
M. Cassierra F 32 8.20 1 — 2 9 6% 0 — —
Renan Lodi D 32 7.03 — — 1 22 21% 0 — —
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Anderson G 90 8.23 — — 0 42 27% 0 — —
Bruno Pacheco D 82 6.30 — — 0 24 17% 3 — —
Doma D 90 6.91 — — 0 39 32% 4 — —
Kauan Faria Gomes D 90 6.82 — — 0 32 30% 2 — —
Dudu D 71 7.50 — 1 1 24 21% 3 — —
Yago Felipe M 88 6.54 — — 0 37 32% 5 — —
Camilo M 90 6.42 — — 0 44 39% 1 — —
Garcez M 90 6.07 — — 3 21 12% 1 — —
Giovanni Augusto M 82 6.61 — — 1 31 28% 2 — —
Marcinho M 90 7.04 — — 0 33 28% 2 — —
F 0 0.00 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Bruno Matias M 19 6.25 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
David Antunes M 2 6.25 — — 0 0 0% 0 — —
Fernando D 8 5.87 — — 0 0 0% 0 1 —
Miguel Carvalho M 8 6.40 — — 0 5 3% 0 — —
Y. Bolasie F 19 6.56 — — 0 3 3% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Atletico-MG 1–1 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 21% to a draw, and 16% to an Chapecoense-sc win.