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Copa Sudamericana · Group Stage - 5 May 22, 2026 00:00
Atletico-MG
#1 · 10 pts
2 – 0
Final score
Cienciano
#2 · 8 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico-MG
R. Lodi (ast. Cuello) 27'
Bernard (ast. Cuello) 39'
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 69% win probability (draw 16%, Cienciano 13%). The final result was Atletico-MG 2–0 Cienciano. In 3 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 2 draws and 1 wins for Cienciano.

Match statistics
11
Total shots
7
6
Shots on target
4
1.83
Actual xG
0.86
4
Saves
3
62%
Possession
38%
8
Corners
1
9
Tackles
13
4
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
5'
C. Nunez
Maycon
21'
Bernard
22'
⚽R. Lodi · ast. Cuello
27'
⚽Bernard · ast. Cuello
39'
45'+1
R. Aguilar / M. Amondarain ↕
↕ Maycon / A. Franco
46'
46'
M. Martinich / C. Nunez ↕
46'
A. Yovera / H. Caparo ↕
59'
R. Aguilar
Cuello
60'
↕ Cuello / M. Cisse
61'
↕ Bernard / Victor Hugo
61'
70'
J. Romagnoli / A. Hohberg ↕
70'
S. Cavero / N. Bandiera ↕
↕ Alexsander / Dudu
79'
↕ Ruan Tressoldi / Lyanco
83'
Lyanco
88'
Pre-match prediction
69.47%
Atletico-MG ←
16.88%
X
13.65%
Cienciano
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 69.47% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
2.30
1.83
-0.47
Cienciano
0.95
0.86
-0.09
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.83 vs 0.86). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 6 10
2 Cienciano Cienciano 6 8
3 Juventud Juventud 6 7
4 Puerto Cabello Puerto Cabello 6 7
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
22 Everson Everson G 8.20
16 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi 1 ⚽ D 7.90
6 J. Alonso J. Alonso D 7.20
4 Ruan Tressoldi Ruan Tressoldi 83' D 7.70
2 Natanael Natanael D 6.90
8 Maycon Maycon 45' M 6.90
5 Alexsander Alexsander 79' M 7.70
11 Bernard Bernard 1 ⚽ 61' M 7.30
27 Alan Minda Alan Minda M 7.30
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 2 👟 61' M 8.00
9 M. Cassierra M. Cassierra F 6.70
Bench
21 A. Franco A. Franco 51' M 6.90
23 Ángelo Preciado Ángelo Preciado D
29 Cauã Campos Soares Cauã Campos Soares F
92 Dudu Dudu 17' F 6.50
1 Gabriel Delfim Gabriel Delfim G
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes M
36 K. Pascini K. Pascini D
13 Lyanco Lyanco 13' D 6.30
39 Mamady Cisse Mamady Cisse 35' M 6.60
19 Reinier Reinier M
30 Victor Hugo Victor Hugo 35' M 7.30
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo D
Cienciano Cienciano 3-4-2-1
31 Í. Espinoza Í. Espinoza G 7.50
3 K. Becerra K. Becerra D 6.20
4 M. Amondarain M. Amondarain 46' D 6.30
13 C. Núñez C. Núñez 45' D 6.00
29 A. Robles A. Robles M 6.70
88 G. Barreto G. Barreto M 7.00
39 H. Caparó H. Caparó 45' M 6.30
7 C. Souza C. Souza M 7.30
11 N. Bandiera N. Bandiera 70' F 6.20
10 A. Hohberg A. Hohberg 70' F 6.60
21 C. Garcés C. Garcés F 6.30
Bench
37 Á. Rojas Á. Rojas M
27 A. Yovera A. Yovera 51' D 7.20
8 G. Aguirre G. Aguirre M
1 G. Falcón G. Falcón G
30 Jean Franco Roncal Jean Franco Roncal G
9 J. Romagnoli J. Romagnoli 26' F 6.70
16 M. Martinich M. Martinich 51' D 6.90
19 M. Succar M. Succar F
99 Nadhir Colunga Nadhir Colunga F
26 R. Aguilar R. Aguilar 50' D 6.70
17 R. Sandoval R. Sandoval F
14 S. Cavero S. Cavero 26' D 6.30
Best on the pitch
Everson
Everson
G · Atletico-MG
8.20
· 40 pass
T. Cuello
T. Cuello
M · Atletico-MG
8.00
2 👟
· 22 pass
Renan Lodi
Renan Lodi
D · Atletico-MG
7.90
1 ⚽
5 shots · 52 pass
Ruan Tressoldi
Ruan Tressoldi
D · Atletico-MG
7.70
· 38 pass
Alexsander
Alexsander
M · Atletico-MG
7.70
· 35 pass
Í. Espinoza
Í. Espinoza
G · Cienciano
7.50
· 32 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Everson G 96 8.20 — — — 40 27% — — —
Renan Lodi D 96 7.90 1 — 5 52 42% 1 — —
J. Alonso D 96 7.20 — — — 69 59% — — —
Ruan Tressoldi D 83 7.70 — — — 38 35% — — —
Natanael D 96 6.90 — — — 63 56% — — —
Maycon M 45 6.90 — — — 45 42% — 1 —
Alexsander M 79 7.70 — — — 35 33% 2 — —
Bernard M 61 7.30 1 — 1 28 21% 3 1 —
Alan Minda M 96 7.30 — — 4 31 25% — — —
T. Cuello M 61 8.00 — 2 — 22 15% 1 1 —
M. Cassierra F 96 6.70 — — — 23 21% — — —
A. Franco M 51 6.90 — — — 28 24% 1 — —
Dudu F 17 6.50 — — — 6 4% — — —
Lyanco D 13 6.30 — — — 3 3% — 1 —
Mamady Cisse M 35 6.60 — — — 22 18% — — —
Victor Hugo M 35 7.30 — — 1 11 9% 1 — —
Cienciano Cienciano — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Í. Espinoza G 96 7.50 — — — 32 19% — — —
K. Becerra D 96 6.20 — — 1 31 22% 1 — —
M. Amondarain D 46 6.30 — — — 9 7% — — —
C. Núñez D 45 6.00 — — — 8 4% — 1 —
A. Robles M 96 6.70 — — — 43 36% 2 — —
G. Barreto M 96 7.00 — — 1 39 29% 4 — —
H. Caparó M 45 6.30 — — — 14 8% 1 — —
C. Souza M 96 7.30 — — — 24 22% 1 — —
N. Bandiera F 70 6.20 — — 1 14 7% 1 — —
A. Hohberg F 70 6.60 — — — 26 20% 2 — —
C. Garcés F 96 6.30 — — 4 13 7% — — —
A. Yovera D 51 7.20 — — — 25 16% — — —
J. Romagnoli F 26 6.70 — — — 3 3% — — —
M. Martinich D 51 6.90 — — — 18 12% 1 — —
R. Aguilar D 50 6.70 — — — 9 6% — 1 —
S. Cavero D 26 6.30 — — — 5 2% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Cienciano?
The final score was Atletico-MG 2–0 Cienciano.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Cienciano?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 16% to a draw, and 13% to an Cienciano win.