Copa do Brasil
· Quarter-finals
September 02, 2026 02:00
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico-MG
Victor Hugo
(ast. Fred)
77'
Fred
(ast. Victor Hugo)
88'
(pen.)
30'
Kaio Jorge
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 55% win probability (draw 24%, Cruzeiro 20%). The final result was Atletico-MG 2–1 Cruzeiro. In 5 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 3 wins for Cruzeiro.
Match statistics
4
Shots on target
4
58%
Possession
42%
6
Corners
2
Match Events
Ruan Tressoldi
/ Vitao
17'
25'
Otavio Costa
30'
(pen.)
Kaio Jorge⚽
35'
Kaio Jorge
36'
Joao Marcelo
/
Jonathan Jesus
42'
L. Villalba
M. Cassierra
/ Reinier
46'
58'
Kenji
/
Wesley
Natanael
58'
61'
L. Villalba
61'
L. Villalba
65'
N. Villarreal
/
Kaio Jorge
65'
Matheus Henrique
/
Matheus Pereira
65'
G. Rojas
/
Gerson
Bernard
/ Victor Hugo
65'
A. Franco
/ A. Minda
65'
71'
L. Romero
Natanael
/ Gustavo Scarpa
72'
⚽Victor Hugo
· ast. Fred
77'
⚽Fred
· ast. Victor Hugo
88'
90'+4
K. Arroyo
90'+7
Fabricio Bruno
Pre-match prediction
55.14%
Atletico-MG ←
24.12%
X
20.74%
Cruzeiro
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG)
55.14%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.36
—
—
0.84
—
—
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Atletico-MG 2–1 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 55% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 24% to a draw, and 20% to an Cruzeiro win.