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Atletico-MG - Cruzeiro

Copa do Brasil September 02, 2026 22:00
Atletico-MG
vs
Cruzeiro
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.54%
Win
Atletico-MG
30.7%
Draw
30.76%
Win
Cruzeiro
1.28
Expected xG
1.1

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.9%)
1X2 Result
1 39%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 62%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico-MG a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Cruzeiro. Expected goals are 1.3 for Atletico-MG and 1.1 for Cruzeiro (total 2.4), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.9% probability. In 3 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Cruzeiro.

Season Stats

Atletico-MG
6W 2D 4L
Cruzeiro
8W 3D 1L
Averages per game
1.4
Goals
1.5
0.9
Conceded
0.3
6.3
Shots OT
6.0
6.8
Corners
8.0
61%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
67%
42%
O 2.5
25%
33%
BTTS
17%
42%
Clean Sht
75%
ℹ Based on the last 12 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
25%
O 3.5
33%
BTTS
Atletico-MG
3W 1D 2L · at home
Cruzeiro
4W 2D 0L · away
1.7
gls/g
1.8
0.8
Conceded
0.5
50%
Win %
67%
67%
Win or Draw
100%
67%
O 1.5
83%
50%
O 2.5
50%
33%
O 3.5
17%
33%
BTTS
33%
33%
Clean Sht
67%
50%
Failed to Score
17%
last 6
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico-MG Cruzeiro →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.3% 10.2% 5.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.0% 7.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.6% 8.4% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 1.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W Juventude 0–1
D Juventude 0–0
L Ceara 2–1
W Ceara 2–1
L Cruzeiro 2–0
Home clean sheet (120 days) 39%
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
W Chapecoense-sc 2–0
D Chapecoense-sc 0–0
W Goias 1–0
D Goias 2–2
W Corinthians 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
31
Defence
71
Form
63
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Attack
38
Defence
71
Form
59
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

1
Atletico-MG
0
Draw
2
Cruzeiro
3 May 2026 Brasileirão Série A 3–1
12 Sep 2025 Copa do Brasil 0–2
28 Aug 2025 Copa do Brasil 0–2
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
The model gives Atletico-MG a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Cruzeiro win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
Expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.3, Cruzeiro 1.1 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.9%.