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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 33 October 29, 2026 23:30 MRV Arena, Belo Horizonte
Atletico-MG
#7 · 50 pts
0 – 1
Final score
Cruzeiro
#3 · 60 pts
4' (ast. Keny Arroyo) Kaio Jorge
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 48% win probability (draw 19%, Cruzeiro 31%). The final result was Atletico-MG 0–1 Cruzeiro. In 5 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 2 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Cruzeiro.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
14
2
Shots on target
6
1.65
Actual xG
2.60
5
Saves
2
56%
Possession
44%
7
Corners
2
12
Tackles
17
2
🟨 Yellow cards
5
Match Events
4'
ast. Keny Arroyo · Kaio Jorge⚽
Natanael
24'
25'
Zé Lucas
42'
Matheus Pereira
↕ Natanael / Maycon
46'
↕ Gustavo Scarpa / Alan Minda
46'
46'
Matheus Henrique / Zé Lucas ↕
↕ Vitão / Léo Duarte
57'
65'
Fabrício Bruno / João Marcelo ↕
65'
Matías Viña / Lucas Villalba ↕
↕ Reinier / Cauã Campos Soares
67'
↕ Igor Gomes / Bernard
68'
69'
Matheus Henrique
82'
Bruno Rodrigues / Gerson ↕
82'
Néiser Villarreal / Kaio Jorge ↕
83'
Jonathan Jesus
85'
William Furtado
Alan Minda
90'+9
Pre-match prediction
48.74%
Atletico-MG
19.59%
X
31.67%
Cruzeiro ←
we assigned to the actual result (Cruzeiro) 31.67% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
2.53
1.65
-0.88
Cruzeiro
1.97
2.60
+0.63
Cruzeiro dominated by xG (2.60 vs 1.65). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 34 76
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 34 60
4 Fluminense Fluminense 34 57
5 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 34 54
6 Bahia Bahia 34 53
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 34 50
8 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos Santos 34 47
10 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 34 44
11 Botafogo Botafogo 34 42
12 Coritiba Coritiba 34 42
13 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol Mirassol 34 40
15 Vitoria Vitoria 34 38
16 Internacional Internacional 34 38
17 Corinthians Corinthians 34 37
18 Gremio Gremio 34 37
19 Remo Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 33 21
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
1 Gabriel Delfim Gabriel Delfim G 7.90
6 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi D 6.50
13 Lyanco Lyanco D 6.90
40 Vitão Vitão 57' D 6.50
2 Natanael Natanael 45' D 6.30
15 K. Castaño K. Castaño M 7.20
21 A. Franco A. Franco M 7.50
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes 68' M 6.20
30 Victor Hugo Victor Hugo M 7.20
10 Gustavo Scarpa Gustavo Scarpa 45' M 6.70
19 Reinier Reinier 67' F 6.00
Bench
5 Alexsander Alexsander M
27 A. Minda A. Minda 45' F 7.30
23 A. Preciado A. Preciado D
11 Bernard Bernard 22' M 7.20
29 Cauã Campos Soares Cauã Campos Soares 23' F 6.70
92 Dudu Dudu F
36 K. Pascini K. Pascini D
3 Léo Duarte Léo Duarte 33' D 7.00
39 Mamady Cisse Mamady Cisse M
8 Maycon Maycon 45' M 6.30
31 Robert Alves Robert Alves G
25 T. Pérez T. Pérez M
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
81 Otávio Costa Otávio Costa G 6.90
25 Lucas Villalba Lucas Villalba 65' D 7.20
43 João Marcelo João Marcelo 65' D 7.20
34 Jonathan Jesus Jonathan Jesus D 7.90
12 William Furtado William Furtado D 7.70
5 Zé Lucas Zé Lucas 45' M 6.90
29 Lucas Romero Lucas Romero M 7.50
8 Gerson Gerson 82' M 7.20
10 Matheus Pereira Matheus Pereira M 7.20
99 K. Arroyo K. Arroyo 1 👟 M 7.30
19 Kaio Jorge Kaio Jorge 1 ⚽ 82' F 7.30
Bench
9 Bruno Rodrigues Bruno Rodrigues 8' F 6.30
1 Cássio Cássio G
15 Fabrício Bruno Fabrício Bruno 25' D 7.30
23 Fagner Fagner D
27 Gabriel Rojas Gabriel Rojas D
16 Lucas Silva Lucas Silva M
97 Luciano Rodríguez Luciano Rodríguez F
11 Marquinhos Marquinhos F
7 Matheus Henrique Matheus Henrique 45' M 6.60
6 M. Viña M. Viña 25' D 7.00
22 Néiser Villarreal Néiser Villarreal 8' M 6.60
20 Wesley Wesley F
Best on the pitch
Gabriel Delfim
Gabriel Delfim
G · Atletico-MG
7.90
· 32 pass
Jonathan Jesus
Jonathan Jesus
D · Cruzeiro
7.90
1 shots · 32 pass
William Furtado
William Furtado
D · Cruzeiro
7.70
1 shots · 36 pass
Lucas Romero
Lucas Romero
M · Cruzeiro
7.50
1 shots · 46 pass
A. Franco
A. Franco
M · Atletico-MG
7.50
1 shots · 52 pass
A. Minda
A. Minda
F · Atletico-MG
7.30
1 shots · 18 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Delfim G 90 7.90 — — — 32 24% 0 — —
Renan Lodi D 90 6.50 — — 2 40 32% 1 — —
Lyanco D 90 6.90 — — — 66 59% 0 — —
Vitão D 57 6.50 — — — 43 33% 1 — —
Natanael D 45 6.30 — — 2 19 17% 2 1 —
K. Castaño M 90 7.20 — — — 68 59% 3 — —
A. Franco M 90 7.50 — — 1 52 46% 1 — —
Igor Gomes M 68 6.20 — — 1 22 18% 0 — —
Victor Hugo M 90 7.20 — — 1 39 30% 0 — —
Gustavo Scarpa M 45 6.70 — — — 23 17% 1 — —
Reinier F 67 6.00 — — 1 20 13% 0 — —
A. Minda F 45 7.30 — — 1 18 17% 2 1 —
Bernard M 22 7.20 — — 1 14 13% 0 — —
Cauã Campos Soares F 23 6.70 — — — 7 4% 1 — —
Léo Duarte D 33 7.00 — — — 22 19% 0 — —
Maycon M 45 6.30 — — — 30 27% 0 — —
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Otávio Costa G 90 6.90 — — — 32 20% 0 — —
Lucas Villalba D 65 7.20 — — — 36 25% 3 — —
João Marcelo D 65 7.20 — — — 37 30% 2 — —
Jonathan Jesus D 90 7.90 — — 1 32 27% 2 1 —
William Furtado D 90 7.70 — — 1 36 30% 2 1 —
Zé Lucas M 45 6.90 — — — 33 32% 0 1 —
Lucas Romero M 90 7.50 — — 1 46 41% 4 — —
Gerson M 82 7.20 — — 1 31 25% 0 — —
Matheus Pereira M 90 7.20 — — 3 46 38% 0 1 —
K. Arroyo M 90 7.30 — 1 4 32 26% 1 — —
Kaio Jorge F 82 7.30 1 — 2 26 22% 0 — —
Bruno Rodrigues F 8 6.30 — — — 2 2% 0 — —
Fabrício Bruno D 25 7.30 — — — 13 13% 0 — —
Matheus Henrique M 45 6.60 — — — 12 11% 2 1 —
M. Viña D 25 7.00 — — 1 8 6% 1 — —
Néiser Villarreal M 8 6.60 — — — 1 1% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
The final score was Atletico-MG 0–1 Cruzeiro.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Cruzeiro?
The model assigned 48% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 19% to a draw, and 31% to an Cruzeiro win.