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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 27 September 12, 2026 21:00
Atletico-MG
#7 · 40 pts
3 – 1
Final score
Fluminense
#4 · 48 pts
Reinier Jesus Carvalho (ast. Tomás Cuello) 61'
Tomás Cuello 63'
Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira (ast. Mateo Cassierra) 81'
90' (ast. Kevin Serna) Rodrigo Castillo
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 40% win probability (draw 28%, Fluminense 31%). The final result was Atletico-MG 3–1 Fluminense. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Fluminense.

Match statistics
15
Total shots
10
7
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
5
48%
Possession
52%
5
Corners
2
15
Tackles
18
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
Alan Franco
19'
52'
Otávio Henrique Passos Santos
61'
Hércules Pereira do Nascimento / Luciano Acosta ↕
61'
Kevin Serna / Agustín Canobbio ↕
⚽Reinier Jesus Carvalho · ast. Tomás Cuello
61'
⚽Tomás Cuello
63'
↕ Alan Franco / Maycon de Andrade Barberan
65'
↕ Kevin Castaño / Mamady Cisse
65'
69'
Rodrigo Castillo
↕ Tomás Cuello / Igor Gomes
70'
↕ Bernard Anício Caldeira Duarte / Gustavo Scarpa
70'
72'
Paulo Henrique Chagas de Lima / Otávio Henrique Passos Santos ↕
72'
Riquelme Felipe·Silva de Almeida / Jefferson David Savarino Quintero ↕
↕ Reinier Jesus Carvalho / Mateo Cassierra
78'
⚽Vitor Fernandes Chaves Teixeira · ast. Mateo Cassierra
81'
90'+1
Jemmes Bruno Ribeiro Da Silva / Julio César Lima Fidelis ↕
90'
ast. Kevin Serna · Rodrigo Castillo⚽
Pre-match prediction
40.74%
Atletico-MG ←
28.01%
X
31.25%
Fluminense
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 40.74% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
1.16
—
—
Fluminense
1.01
—
—
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
1 Gabriel Delfim Gabriel Delfim G 6.78
36 K. Pascini K. Pascini D 6.25
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo D 6.62
40 Vitão Vitão 1 ⚽ D 7.18
2 Natanael Natanael D 6.86
15 K. Castaño K. Castaño 65' M 6.69
21 Alan Franco Alan Franco 65' M 6.32
11 Bernard Bernard 70' M 6.14
7 Fred Fred M 6.79
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 1 ⚽ 1 👟 70' M 8.83
19 Reinier Reinier 1 ⚽ 78' F 8.16
Bench
27 Alan Minda Alan Minda F 0.00
5 Alexsander Alexsander M 0.00
23 Ángelo Preciado Ángelo Preciado D 0.00
92 Dudu Dudu F 0.00
10 Gustavo Scarpa Gustavo Scarpa 20' M 6.70
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes 20' M 6.41
13 Lyanco Lyanco D 0.00
39 Mamady Cisse Mamady Cisse 25' M 6.35
8 Maycon Maycon 25' M 6.23
9 M. Cassierra M. Cassierra 1 👟 12' F 6.95
6 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi D 0.00
31 Robert Robert G 0.00
Fluminense Fluminense 4-4-2
1 Fábio Fábio G 6.90
13 Guilherme Arana Guilherme Arana D 6.49
22 J. Freytes J. Freytes D 6.78
21 Igor Rabello Igor Rabello D 6.48
46 Julio Fidelis Julio Fidelis 89' D 6.18
11 J. Savarino J. Savarino 72' M 6.32
16 Nonato Nonato M 6.38
94 Otávio Otávio 72' M 6.26
17 A. Canobbio A. Canobbio 61' M 5.84
32 L. Acosta L. Acosta 61' F 6.41
19 R. Castillo R. Castillo 1 ⚽ F 7.82
Bench
35 Hércules Hércules 29' M 6.19
44 Jemmes Jemmes 1' D 0.00
29 J. Millán J. Millán D 0.00
90 K. Serna K. Serna 1 👟 29' F 6.61
8 Martinelli Martinelli M 0.00
10 PH Ganso PH Ganso 18' M 5.96
6 Renê Renê D 0.00
28 Riquelme Riquelme 18' F 6.06
98 Vitor Eudes Vitor Eudes G 0.00
34 Wesley Nata Wesley Nata F 0.00
Best on the pitch
T. Cuello
T. Cuello
M · Atletico-MG
8.83
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 22 pass
Reinier
Reinier
F · Atletico-MG
8.16
1 ⚽
2 shots · 35 pass
R. Castillo
R. Castillo
F · Fluminense
7.82
1 ⚽
1 shots · 34 pass
Vitão
Vitão
D · Atletico-MG
7.18
1 ⚽
2 shots · 48 pass
M. Cassierra
M. Cassierra
F · Atletico-MG
6.95
1 👟
· 5 pass
Fábio
Fábio
G · Fluminense
6.90
· 25 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Delfim G 90 6.78 — — 0 30 23% 0 — —
K. Pascini D 90 6.25 — — 0 46 38% 1 — —
Vitor Hugo D 90 6.62 — — 0 62 55% 0 — —
Vitão D 90 7.18 1 — 2 48 39% 1 — —
Natanael D 90 6.86 — — 0 29 27% 4 — —
K. Castaño M 65 6.69 — — 1 58 55% 2 — —
Alan Franco M 65 6.32 — — 1 30 28% 0 1 —
Bernard M 70 6.14 — — 2 32 26% 1 — —
Fred M 90 6.79 — — 2 61 54% 1 — —
T. Cuello M 70 8.83 1 1 3 22 19% 2 — —
Reinier F 78 8.16 1 — 2 35 31% 3 — —
Gustavo Scarpa M 20 6.70 — — 1 9 7% 0 — —
Igor Gomes M 20 6.41 — — 1 1 1% 0 — —
Mamady Cisse M 25 6.35 — — 0 12 12% 0 — —
Maycon M 25 6.23 — — 0 15 14% 0 — —
M. Cassierra F 12 6.95 — 1 0 5 4% 0 — —
Fluminense Fluminense — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Fábio G 90 6.90 — — 0 25 20% 0 — —
Guilherme Arana D 90 6.49 — — 2 47 43% 3 — —
J. Freytes D 90 6.78 — — 1 75 65% 0 — —
Igor Rabello D 90 6.48 — — 0 56 49% 1 — —
Julio Fidelis D 89 6.18 — — 0 42 39% 5 — —
J. Savarino M 72 6.32 — — 3 28 26% 0 — —
Nonato M 90 6.38 — — 0 58 53% 1 — —
Otávio M 72 6.26 — — 0 49 44% 0 1 —
A. Canobbio M 61 5.84 — — 0 23 19% 3 — —
L. Acosta F 61 6.41 — — 1 23 16% 1 — —
R. Castillo F 90 7.82 1 — 1 34 27% 1 1 —
Hércules M 29 6.19 — — 0 25 22% 2 — —
Jemmes D 1 0.00 — — 0 2 2% 1 — —
K. Serna F 29 6.61 — 1 0 16 14% 0 — —
PH Ganso M 18 5.96 — — 1 12 11% 0 — —
Riquelme F 18 6.06 — — 1 20 20% 0 — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?
The final score was Atletico-MG 3–1 Fluminense.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?
The model assigned 40% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 28% to a draw, and 31% to an Fluminense win.