Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 23
August 16, 2026 21:00
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico-MG
Vitor Hugo
(ast. Igor Gomes)
19'
Cuello
(ast. R. Lodi)
62'
Cuello
66'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 52% win probability (draw 27%, Gremio 19%). The final result was Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
2.47
Actual xG
0.41
1
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
8
Corners
6
14
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Vitor Hugo
· ast. Igor Gomes
19'
Igor Gomes
/ Bernard
31'
39'
C. Pavon
A. Preciado
42'
M. Cisse
45'+2
46'
Walter Kannemann
/
Gustavo Martins
46'
Tete
/
C. Pavon
46'
F. Krovinovic
/
J. Nardoni
R. Lodi
57'
61'
Walter Kannemann
A. Franco
/ Maycon
61'
M. Cisse
/ K. Castano
61'
⚽Cuello
· ast. R. Lodi
62'
63'
Gabriel Mec
/
Dodi
⚽Cuello
66'
69'
Pedro Gabriel
76'
Caio Paulista
/
Pedro Gabriel
Cuello
/ Dudu
81'
Victor Hugo
/ A. Minda
81'
Pre-match prediction
52.17%
Atletico-MG ←
27.86%
X
19.97%
Gremio
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG)
52.17%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.30
2.47
+1.17
0.68
0.41
-0.27
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.41).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
Everson
G
Everson
G
6
Renan Lodi
1 👟
D
Renan Lodi
1 👟
D
14
Vitor Hugo
1 ⚽
D
Vitor Hugo
1 ⚽
D
4
Ruan Tressoldi
D
Ruan Tressoldi
D
23
Ángelo Preciado
D
Ángelo Preciado
D
21
Alan Franco
61'
M
Alan Franco
61'
M
39
Mamady Cissé
61'
M
Mamady Cissé
61'
M
17
Igor Gomes
1 👟
31'
M
Igor Gomes
1 👟
31'
M
30
Victor Hugo
81'
M
Victor Hugo
81'
M
28
T. Cuello
2 ⚽
81'
M
T. Cuello
2 ⚽
81'
M
9
M. Cassierra
F
M. Cassierra
F
Bench
27
Alan Minda
9'
F
Alan Minda
9'
F
11
Bernard
59'
M
Bernard
59'
M
92
Dudu
9'
F
Dudu
9'
F
1
Gabriel Delfim
G
Gabriel Delfim
G
36
Kauã Pascini
D
Kauã Pascini
D
15
Kevin Castaño
29'
M
Kevin Castaño
29'
M
8
Maycon
29'
M
Maycon
29'
M
2
Natanael
D
Natanael
D
19
Reinier
M
Reinier
M
18
T. Borbas
F
T. Borbas
F
25
Tomás Pérez
M
Tomás Pérez
M
40
Vitão
D
Vitão
D
1
Weverton
G
Weverton
G
54
Pedro Gabriel
76'
D
Pedro Gabriel
76'
D
82
Wallace
D
Wallace
D
6
Gustavo Martins
45'
D
Gustavo Martins
45'
D
27
Diego Caito
D
Diego Caito
D
8
Erick Noriega
M
Erick Noriega
M
9
Francis Amuzu
M
Francis Amuzu
M
17
Dodi
63'
M
Dodi
63'
M
5
J. Nardoni
45'
M
J. Nardoni
45'
M
7
C. Pavón
45'
M
C. Pavón
45'
M
95
Carlos Vinícius
F
Carlos Vinícius
F
Bench
38
Caio Paulista
14'
D
Caio Paulista
14'
D
10
Filip Krovinović
45'
M
Filip Krovinović
45'
M
12
Gabriel Grando
G
Gabriel Grando
G
37
Gabriel Mec
27'
F
Gabriel Mec
27'
F
99
José Enamorado
F
José Enamorado
F
77
Jovane Cabral
F
Jovane Cabral
F
14
Marcos Rocha
D
Marcos Rocha
D
22
Martin Braithwaite
F
Martin Braithwaite
F
21
Tetê
45'
F
Tetê
45'
F
3
Wagner Leonardo
D
Wagner Leonardo
D
4
W. Kannemann
45'
D
W. Kannemann
45'
D
50
Zortéa
M
Zortéa
M
Best on the pitch
T. Cuello
M · Atletico-MG
10.00
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 31 pass
Vitor Hugo
D · Atletico-MG
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 43 pass
Everson
G · Atletico-MG
7.20
· 34 pass
Renan Lodi
D · Atletico-MG
7.20
1 👟
3 shots
· 37 pass
Igor Gomes
M · Atletico-MG
7.20
1 👟
· 11 pass
Maycon
M · Atletico-MG
7.00
· 28 pass
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everson | G | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 34 | 30% | — | — | — |
| Renan Lodi | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | 1 | 3 | 37 | 33% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | 90 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 43 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Ruan Tressoldi | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 38% | 1 | — | — |
| Ángelo Preciado | D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 40 | 36% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Alan Franco | M | 61 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 31 | 31% | 1 | — | — |
| Mamady Cissé | M | 61 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 28 | 26% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Igor Gomes | M | 31 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 11 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| Victor Hugo | M | 81 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| T. Cuello | M | 81 | 10.00 | 2 | — | 3 | 31 | 23% | 3 | — | — |
| M. Cassierra | F | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | — | — | — |
| Alan Minda | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 1% | — | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 59 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | F | 9 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Castaño | M | 29 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 24% | 1 | — | — |
| Maycon | M | 29 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
Gremio — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weverton | G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Pedro Gabriel | D | 76 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 25% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Wallace | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 56% | 1 | — | — |
| Gustavo Martins | D | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 39 | 39% | — | — | — |
| Diego Caito | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 51 | 48% | — | — | — |
| Erick Noriega | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 72 | 64% | 1 | — | — |
| Francis Amuzu | M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 25 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Dodi | M | 63 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 21 | 18% | — | — | — |
| J. Nardoni | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Pavón | M | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 12 | 10% | — | 1 | — |
| Carlos Vinícius | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 7 | 6% | — | — | — |
| Caio Paulista | D | 14 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Filip Krovinović | M | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Mec | F | 27 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 6 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| Tetê | F | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 25 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| W. Kannemann | D | 45 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 22 | 20% | 2 | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
The final score was Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 27% to a draw, and 19% to an Gremio win.