Skip to main content
← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 23 August 16, 2026 21:00
Atletico-MG
#7 · 39 pts
3 – 0
Final score
Gremio
#16 · 28 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico-MG
Vitor Hugo (ast. Igor Gomes) 19'
Cuello (ast. R. Lodi) 62'
Cuello 66'
Share Telegram

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 52% win probability (draw 27%, Gremio 19%). The final result was Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Gremio.

Match statistics
10
Total shots
5
5
Shots on target
1
2.47
Actual xG
0.41
1
Saves
2
49%
Possession
51%
8
Corners
6
14
Tackles
11
3
🟨 Yellow cards
3
Match Events
⚽Vitor Hugo · ast. Igor Gomes
19'
↕ Igor Gomes / Bernard
31'
39'
C. Pavon
A. Preciado
42'
M. Cisse
45'+2
46'
Walter Kannemann / Gustavo Martins ↕
46'
Tete / C. Pavon ↕
46'
F. Krovinovic / J. Nardoni ↕
R. Lodi
57'
61'
Walter Kannemann
↕ A. Franco / Maycon
61'
↕ M. Cisse / K. Castano
61'
⚽Cuello · ast. R. Lodi
62'
63'
Gabriel Mec / Dodi ↕
⚽Cuello
66'
69'
Pedro Gabriel
76'
Caio Paulista / Pedro Gabriel ↕
↕ Cuello / Dudu
81'
↕ Victor Hugo / A. Minda
81'
Pre-match prediction
52.17%
Atletico-MG ←
27.86%
X
19.97%
Gremio
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 52.17% (medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
1.30
2.47
+1.17
Gremio
0.68
0.41
-0.27
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (2.47 vs 0.41). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 27 56
2 Flamengo Flamengo 26 54
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 27 46
4 Fluminense Fluminense 27 45
5 Bahia Bahia 26 43
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 27 42
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 26 39
8 Coritiba Coritiba 27 38
9 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 26 36
10 Santos Santos 26 35
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 26 33
12 Vitoria Vitoria 27 33
13 Corinthians Corinthians 26 32
14 Botafogo Botafogo 26 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 27 29
16 Gremio Gremio 26 28
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 26 28
18 Internacional Internacional 27 28
19 Remo Remo 26 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 26 17
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
22 Everson Everson G 7.20
6 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi 1 👟 D 7.20
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo 1 ⚽ D 7.70
4 Ruan Tressoldi Ruan Tressoldi D 6.60
23 A. Preciado A. Preciado D 6.90
21 A. Franco A. Franco 61' M 6.60
39 Mamady Cisse Mamady Cisse 61' M 6.90
17 Igor Gomes Igor Gomes 1 👟 31' M 7.20
30 Victor Hugo Victor Hugo 81' M 6.00
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello 2 ⚽ 81' M 10.00
9 M. Cassierra M. Cassierra F 6.90
Bench
27 A. Minda A. Minda 9' F 6.30
11 Bernard Bernard 59' M 7.00
92 Dudu Dudu 9' F 6.30
1 Gabriel Delfim Gabriel Delfim G
15 K. Castaño K. Castaño 29' M 6.70
36 K. Pascini K. Pascini D
8 Maycon Maycon 29' M 7.00
2 Natanael Natanael D
19 Reinier Reinier M
18 Thiago Borbas Thiago Borbas F
25 Tomás Pérez Tomás Pérez M
40 Vitão Vitão D
Gremio Gremio 4-1-4-1
1 Weverton Weverton G 6.30
54 Pedro Gabriel Pedro Gabriel 76' D 6.30
82 Wallace Wallace D 6.30
6 Gustavo Martins Gustavo Martins 45' D 6.30
27 Diego Caito Diego Caito D 6.30
8 E. Noriega E. Noriega M 7.00
9 F. Amuzu F. Amuzu M 6.30
17 Dodi Dodi 63' M 6.20
5 J. Nardoni J. Nardoni 45' M 6.30
7 C. Pavón C. Pavón 45' M 6.60
95 Carlos Vinícius Carlos Vinícius F 6.30
Bench
50 Bernardo Zortea Bernardo Zortea M
38 Caio Paulista Caio Paulista 14' D 6.70
10 F. Krovinović F. Krovinović 45' M 6.30
12 Gabriel Grando Gabriel Grando G
37 Gabriel Mec Gabriel Mec 27' F 6.30
99 J. Enamorado J. Enamorado F
77 Jovane Cabral Jovane Cabral F
14 Marcos Rocha Marcos Rocha D
22 M. Braithwaite M. Braithwaite F
21 Tetê Tetê 45' F 6.90
3 Wagner Leonardo Wagner Leonardo D
4 W. Kannemann W. Kannemann 45' D 6.70
Best on the pitch
T. Cuello
T. Cuello
M · Atletico-MG
10.00
2 ⚽
3 shots · 31 pass
Vitor Hugo
Vitor Hugo
D · Atletico-MG
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots · 43 pass
Everson
Everson
G · Atletico-MG
7.20
· 34 pass
Renan Lodi
Renan Lodi
D · Atletico-MG
7.20
1 👟
3 shots · 37 pass
Igor Gomes
Igor Gomes
M · Atletico-MG
7.20
1 👟
· 11 pass
Maycon
Maycon
M · Atletico-MG
7.00
· 28 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Everson G 90 7.20 — — — 34 30% — — —
Renan Lodi D 90 7.20 — 1 3 37 33% 1 1 —
Vitor Hugo D 90 7.70 1 — 2 43 39% — — —
Ruan Tressoldi D 90 6.60 — — 1 40 38% 1 — —
A. Preciado D 90 6.90 — — — 40 36% 3 1 —
A. Franco M 61 6.60 — — — 31 31% 1 — —
Mamady Cisse M 61 6.90 — — — 28 26% 2 1 —
Igor Gomes M 31 7.20 — 1 — 11 9% 1 — —
Victor Hugo M 81 6.00 — — — 30 26% — — —
T. Cuello M 81 10.00 2 — 3 31 23% 3 — —
M. Cassierra F 90 6.90 — — 1 11 10% — — —
A. Minda F 9 6.30 — — — 2 1% — — —
Bernard M 59 7.00 — — — 25 22% — — —
Dudu F 9 6.30 — — — 1 — — — —
K. Castaño M 29 6.70 — — — 25 24% 1 — —
Maycon M 29 7.00 — — — 28 25% 1 — —
Gremio Gremio — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Weverton G 90 6.30 — — — 23 19% — — —
Pedro Gabriel D 76 6.30 — — 1 29 25% 3 1 —
Wallace D 90 6.30 — — 1 61 56% 1 — —
Gustavo Martins D 45 6.30 — — 1 39 39% — — —
Diego Caito D 90 6.30 — — — 51 48% — — —
E. Noriega M 90 7.00 — — — 72 64% 1 — —
F. Amuzu M 90 6.30 — — 2 25 20% — — —
Dodi M 63 6.20 — — — 21 18% — — —
J. Nardoni M 45 6.30 — — — 6 6% 1 — —
C. Pavón M 45 6.60 — — — 12 10% — 1 —
Carlos Vinícius F 90 6.30 — — — 7 6% — — —
Caio Paulista D 14 6.70 — — — 11 11% — — —
F. Krovinović M 45 6.30 — — — 33 33% — — —
Gabriel Mec F 27 6.30 — — — 6 5% 1 — —
Tetê F 45 6.90 — — — 25 22% 2 — —
W. Kannemann D 45 6.70 — — — 22 20% 2 1 —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
The final score was Atletico-MG 3–0 Gremio.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Gremio?
The model assigned 52% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 27% to a draw, and 19% to an Gremio win.