Copa Sudamericana
· Group Stage - 2
April 17, 2026 00:00
Bernard
(ast. Tomás Cuello)
43'
Mateo Cassierra
(ast. Tomás Cuello)
90'
55'
Facundo Perez
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 54% win probability (draw 29%, Juventud 16%). The final result was Atletico-MG 2–1 Juventud. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 0 wins for Juventud.
Match statistics
5
Total shots
6
4
Shots on target
3
0.60
Actual xG
0.35
2
Saves
2
62%
Possession
38%
1
Corners
1
17
Tackles
20
3
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
7'
Alan Franco
14'
33'
Alejo Cruz
Bernard
40'
⚽Bernard
· ast. Tomás Cuello
43'
55'
Facundo Perez⚽
Bernard
/ Gustavo Scarpa
60'
Cauã Soares
/ Hulk
60'
60'
Sebastian Guerrero
/
Fernando Mimbacas
61'
Gonzalo Gomez
/
Juan Boselli
68'
Leonel Roldán
/
Mateo Izaguirre
Victor Hugo
/ Dudu
70'
Reinier
/ Mateo Cassierra
70'
79'
Gonzalo Gomez
84'
Gastón Pereiro
/
Facundo Perez
Tomás Pérez
/ Alexsander
84'
84'
Pablo Lago
/
Alejo Cruz
86'
Renzo Rabino
89'
Emmanuel Mas
Tomás Cuello
90'+1
⚽Mateo Cassierra
· ast. Tomás Cuello
90'
Pre-match prediction
54.07%
Atletico-MG ←
29.64%
X
16.29%
Juventud
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG)
54.07%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.37
0.60
-0.77
0.43
0.35
-0.08
xG dominance was balanced (0.60 – 0.35).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
22
G
16
Renan Lodi
D
Renan Lodi
D
14
Vitor Hugo
D
Vitor Hugo
D
4
Ruan Tressoldi
D
Ruan Tressoldi
D
21
A. Franco
D
A. Franco
D
19
Reinier
70'
M
Reinier
70'
M
25
Tomás Pérez
84'
M
Tomás Pérez
84'
M
11
Bernard
1 ⚽
60'
M
Bernard
1 ⚽
60'
M
30
Victor Hugo
70'
F
Victor Hugo
70'
F
29
Cauã Campos Soares
60'
F
Cauã Campos Soares
60'
F
28
T. Cuello
2 👟
F
T. Cuello
2 👟
F
Bench
5
Alexsander
13'
M
Alexsander
13'
M
92
Dudu
27'
F
Dudu
27'
F
10
Gustavo Scarpa
37'
M
7
Hulk
37'
F
Hulk
37'
F
17
Igor Gomes
M
Igor Gomes
M
6
J. Alonso
D
J. Alonso
D
13
Lyanco
D
Lyanco
D
39
Mamady Cissé
M
Mamady Cissé
M
9
Mateo Cassierra
1 ⚽
27'
F
Mateo Cassierra
1 ⚽
27'
F
8
Maycon
M
Maycon
M
2
Natanael
D
Natanael
D
1
G
16
Renzo Rabino
D
23
Emmanuel Más
D
2
Patricio Pernicone
D
5
David Morosini
D
21
Facundo Perez
1 ⚽
84'
M
19
Emanuel Cecchini
M
8
Mateo Izaguirre
68'
M
15
A. Cruz
84'
F
A. Cruz
84'
F
80
Fernando Mimbacas
60'
F
27
Juan Boselli
61'
F
Bench
28
Franco Risso
D
Franco Risso
D
26
Gastón Pereiro
13'
M
30
Gonzalo Gomez
36'
M
14
Leonel Roldán
29'
M
9
Marcelo Perez
F
11
P. Lago
13'
F
P. Lago
13'
F
Best on the pitch
T. Cuello
F · Atletico-MG
8.30
2 👟
1 shots
· 37 pass
Mateo Cassierra
F · Atletico-MG
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 8 pass
Vitor Hugo
D · Atletico-MG
7.30
· 82 pass
Bernard
M · Atletico-MG
7.30
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Tomás Pérez
M · Atletico-MG
7.20
· 57 pass
Facundo Perez
M · Juventud
7.20
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 20 pass
Atletico-MG — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 45 | 30% | — | — | — | |
| Renan Lodi | D | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 54 | 47% | 4 | — | — |
| Vitor Hugo | D | 97 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 82 | 74% | 3 | — | — |
| Ruan Tressoldi | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 60 | 52% | — | — | — |
| A. Franco | D | 97 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 45 | 39% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Reinier | M | 70 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 26 | 22% | — | — | — |
| Tomás Pérez | M | 84 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 57 | 54% | 2 | — | — |
| Bernard | M | 60 | 7.30 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 15% | 3 | 1 | — |
| Victor Hugo | F | 70 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 30 | 26% | — | — | — |
| Cauã Campos Soares | F | 60 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cuello | F | 97 | 8.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 37 | 30% | — | 1 | — |
| Alexsander | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 5 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Dudu | F | 27 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 9 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Scarpa | M | 37 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 22 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Hulk | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 9 | 6% | 1 | — | — |
| Mateo Cassierra | F | 27 | 7.90 | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
Juventud — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 97 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 25 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Renzo Rabino | D | 97 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 29 | 22% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Emmanuel Más | D | 97 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 41 | 32% | — | 1 | — |
| Patricio Pernicone | D | 97 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| David Morosini | D | 97 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 20 | 11% | 3 | — | — |
| Facundo Perez | M | 84 | 7.20 | 1 | — | 2 | 20 | 16% | 4 | — | — |
| Emanuel Cecchini | M | 97 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 39% | 6 | — | — |
| Mateo Izaguirre | M | 68 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 19 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Cruz | F | 84 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 24 | 18% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Fernando Mimbacas | F | 60 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 5% | — | — | — |
| Juan Boselli | F | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Gastón Pereiro | M | 13 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 3 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Gonzalo Gomez | M | 36 | 6.20 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 6% | — | 1 | — |
| Leonel Roldán | M | 29 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
| P. Lago | F | 13 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 4 | 2% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Juventud?
The final score was Atletico-MG 2–1 Juventud.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Juventud?
The model assigned 54% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 29% to a draw, and 16% to an Juventud win.