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Atletico-MG - Juventude

Copa do Brasil August 02, 2026 00:30
Atletico-MG
vs
Juventude
⚡ Pre-match analysis
38.25%
Win
Atletico-MG
30.83%
Draw
30.92%
Win
Juventude
1.22
Expected xG
1.11

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (13.97%)
1X2 Result
1 38%
X 31%
2 31%
Double Chance
1X 69%
X2 62%
12 69%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 70%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico-MG a 38% win probability, against 30% for a draw and 30% for Juventude. Expected goals are 1.2 for Atletico-MG and 1.1 for Juventude (total 2.3), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 13.97% probability.

Season Stats

Atletico-MG
5W 1D 4L
Juventude
3W 1D 2L
Averages per game
1.6
Goals
2.0
1.1
Conceded
0.7
6.8
Shots OT
7.0
7.1
Corners
9.0
61%
Poss.
55%
Percentages
80%
O 1.5
67%
50%
O 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
33%
30%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 10 matches in Copa do Brasil. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
20%
O 3.5
37%
BTTS
Atletico-MG
3W 0D 2L · at home
Juventude
0W 1D 2L · away
2.0
gls/g
0.3
1.0
Conceded
1.0
60%
Win %
0%
60%
Win or Draw
33%
80%
O 1.5
33%
60%
O 2.5
0%
40%
O 3.5
0%
40%
BTTS
33%
20%
Clean Sht
0%
40%
Failed to Score
67%
last 5
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico-MG Juventude →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.7% 10.8% 6.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.3% 8.1% 4.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
L Ceara 2–1
W Ceara 2–1
L Cruzeiro 2–0
L Cruzeiro 0–2
L Flamengo 0–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
Juventude Juventude
W Sao Paulo 3–1
L Sao Paulo 1–0
W Águia de Marabá 3–0
D Tuna Luso 1–1
W Guaporé 5–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 37%

Playing profile

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
37
Defence
68
Form
64
Juventude Juventude
Attack
39
Defence
80
Form
72
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
The model gives Atletico-MG a 38% win probability, 30% for a draw, and 30% for an Juventude win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
Expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.2, Juventude 1.1 (total 2.3). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico-MG vs Juventude?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 13.97%.