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Atletico-MG - RB Bragantino

Brasileirão Série A July 29, 2026 22:00
Atletico-MG
#8 · 28 pts
vs
RB Bragantino
#5 · 31 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
40.9%
Win
Atletico-MG
26.75%
Draw
32.35%
Win
RB Bragantino
1.21
Expected xG
1.14

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (12.49%)
1X2 Result
1 41%
X 27%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 59%
12 73%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 72%
✓ 81.9% hit rate (72 picks)
Over 2.5 44%
✓ 55.6% hit rate (45 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico-MG a 40% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 32% for RB Bragantino. Expected goals are 1.2 for Atletico-MG and 1.1 for RB Bragantino (total 2.4), with a 72% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 12.49% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Bragantino.

Season Stats

Atletico-MG
7W 2D 6L
RB Bragantino
7W 2D 6L
Averages per game
1.2
Goals
1.5
1.1
Conceded
1.1
4.8
Shots OT
4.5
4.4
Corners
5.7
47%
Poss.
49%
Percentages
67%
O 1.5
80%
40%
O 2.5
53%
40%
BTTS
47%
20%
Clean Sht
33%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Brasileirão Série A. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
22%
O 3.5
54%
BTTS
Atletico-MG
4W 4D 1L · at home
RB Bragantino
4W 2D 4L · away
1.6
gls/g
1.0
1.4
Conceded
1.1
44%
Win %
40%
89%
Win or Draw
60%
78%
O 1.5
80%
56%
O 2.5
30%
44%
O 3.5
0%
67%
BTTS
40%
22%
Clean Sht
30%
11%
Failed to Score
30%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico-MG RB Bragantino →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 9.5% 10.8% 6.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
1 11.5% 13.1% 7.5% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.0% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% —
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% —
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W Palmeiras 1–2
D Bahia 1–1
W Vasco DA Gama 0–1
L Corinthians 1–0
W Mirassol 3–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 24%
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
D Coritiba 0–0
D Fluminense 1–1
W Internacional 3–1
W Vasco DA Gama 0–3
W Vitoria 2–0
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
35
Defence
60
Form
53
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Attack
36
Defence
75
Form
57
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Atletico-MG
0
Draw
1
RB Bragantino
4 Feb 2026 Brasileirão Série A 0–1

League Table

# Team G Pts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 20 44
2 Flamengo Flamengo 19 38
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 20 36
4 Fluminense Fluminense 20 33
5 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 20 31
6 Bahia Bahia 20 31
7 Botafogo Botafogo 20 29
8 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 20 28
9 Corinthians Corinthians 20 28
10 Coritiba Coritiba 20 27
11 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 20 27
12 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 20 26
13 Vitoria Vitoria 20 26
14 Santos Santos 20 22
15 Gremio Gremio 20 22
16 Internacional Internacional 20 21
17 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 20 21
18 Remo Remo 20 21
19 Mirassol Mirassol 19 20
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 20 10
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
The model gives Atletico-MG a 40% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 32% for an RB Bragantino win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
Expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.2, RB Bragantino 1.1 (total 2.4). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 72%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 12.49%.