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Atletico-MG - RB Bragantino

Copa Sudamericana August 19, 2026 22:00
Atletico-MG
#1 · 10 pts
vs
RB Bragantino
#2 · 10 pts
⚡ Pre-match analysis
41.37%
Win
Atletico-MG
26.44%
Draw
32.19%
Win
RB Bragantino
1.5
Expected xG
1.3

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (11.4%)
1X2 Result ✓ 81.8% hit rate (22 picks)
1 41%
X 26%
2 32%
Double Chance
1X 68%
X2 59%
12 74%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 81%
✓ 80.9% hit rate (68 picks)
Over 2.5 53%
✓ 63.2% hit rate (19 picks)
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Atletico-MG a 41% win probability, against 26% for a draw and 32% for RB Bragantino. Expected goals are 1.5 for Atletico-MG and 1.3 for RB Bragantino (total 2.8), with a 81% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 11.4% probability. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for RB Bragantino.

Season Stats

Atletico-MG
8W 4D 3L
RB Bragantino
4W 2D 2L
Averages per game
1.3
Goals
1.6
0.8
Conceded
0.6
4.0
Shots OT
6.4
3.5
Corners
5.6
52%
Poss.
53%
Percentages
53%
O 1.5
50%
40%
O 2.5
25%
47%
BTTS
25%
40%
Clean Sht
50%
ℹ Based on the last 15 matches in Copa Sudamericana. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
28%
O 3.5
38%
BTTS
Atletico-MG
8W 1D 1L · at home
RB Bragantino
1W 2D 1L · away
1.9
gls/g
1.8
0.6
Conceded
0.5
80%
Win %
25%
90%
Win or Draw
75%
70%
O 1.5
50%
50%
O 2.5
25%
30%
O 3.5
25%
50%
BTTS
25%
40%
Clean Sht
50%
10%
Failed to Score
50%
last 10
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico-MG RB Bragantino →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 6.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.1% 11.8% 7.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.9% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.5% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% —
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% — —

Recent form

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
W Puerto Cabello 1–0
W Cienciano 2–0
D Juventud 2–2
L Cienciano 1–0
W Juventud 2–1
Home clean sheet (120 days) 28%
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
W Sporting Cristal 1–0
D Sporting Cristal 0–0
W Carabobo FC 2–0
D River Plate 1–1
W Blooming 0–6
Away clean sheet (120 days) 33%

Playing profile

Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
Attack
37
Defence
68
Form
65
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Attack
39
Defence
77
Form
63
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model

Head-to-Head

0
Atletico-MG
0
Draw
1
RB Bragantino
4 Feb 2026 Brasileirão Série A 0–1
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
The model gives Atletico-MG a 41% win probability, 26% for a draw, and 32% for an RB Bragantino win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
Expected goals: Atletico-MG 1.5, RB Bragantino 1.3 (total 2.8). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 81%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico-MG vs RB Bragantino?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 11.4%.