Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 7 March 19, 2026 00:00

Atletico-MG

#7 · 43 pts

1 – 0

Final score

Sao Paulo

#10 · 36 pts

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Atletico-MG 31%). The final result was Atletico-MG 1–0 Sao Paulo. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Sao Paulo.

Match statistics

4

Shots on target

3

1.07

Actual xG

0.58

30%

Possession

70%

4

Corners

1

Pre-match prediction

31.48%

Atletico-MG ←

31.48%

X

37.04%

Sao

we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 31.48% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atletico-MG

0.69

1.07

+0.38

Sao

1.32

0.58

-0.74

Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Flamengo	28	60
2	Palmeiras	28	57
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	49
4	Fluminense	28	48
5	Bahia	28	46
6	Cruzeiro	28	45
7	Atletico-MG	28	43
8	Santos	28	41
9	Coritiba	28	38
10	Sao Paulo	28	36
11	RB Bragantino	28	36
12	Botafogo	28	35
13	Vitoria	28	33
14	Corinthians	28	32
15	Mirassol	28	32
16	Vasco DA Gama	27	31
17	Gremio	28	29
18	Internacional	28	28
19	Remo	28	23
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	18