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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 7 March 19, 2026 00:00
Atletico-MG
#10 · 28 pts
1 – 0
Final score
Sao Paulo
#12 · 26 pts
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Sao Paulo a 37% win probability (draw 31%, Atletico-MG 31%). The final result was Atletico-MG 1–0 Sao Paulo.

Match statistics
4
Shots on target
3
1.07
Actual xG
0.58
30%
Possession
70%
4
Corners
1
Pre-match prediction
31.48%
Atletico-MG ←
31.48%
X
37.04%
Sao
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 31.48% (low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
0.69
1.07
+0.38
Sao
1.32
0.58
-0.74
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.07 vs 0.58). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Palmeiras Palmeiras 21 47
2 Flamengo Flamengo 20 39
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 21 37
4 Fluminense Fluminense 21 34
5 Bahia Bahia 21 32
6 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 20 31
7 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 21 30
8 Botafogo Botafogo 20 29
9 Corinthians Corinthians 21 29
10 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 20 28
11 Coritiba Coritiba 21 27
12 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 20 26
13 Vitoria Vitoria 21 26
14 Mirassol Mirassol 20 23
15 Santos Santos 20 22
16 Internacional Internacional 21 22
17 Gremio Gremio 20 22
18 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 20 21
19 Remo Remo 21 21
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 20 10
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?
The final score was Atletico-MG 1–0 Sao Paulo.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Sao Paulo?
The model assigned 31% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 31% to a draw, and 37% to an Sao Paulo win.