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← Brasileirão Série A
Brasileirão Série A · Regular Season - 25 August 29, 2026 23:30
Atletico-MG
#7 · 40 pts
2 – 1
Final score
Vitoria
#13 · 33 pts
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico-MG
T. Borbas (ast. Reinier) 25'
Reinier 63'
87' Erick
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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico-MG a 66% win probability (draw 21%, Vitoria 11%). The final result was Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico-MG have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Vitoria.

Match statistics
14
Total shots
6
8
Shots on target
2
1.46
Actual xG
0.64
1
Saves
6
61%
Possession
39%
4
Corners
4
15
Tackles
22
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
⚽T. Borbas · ast. Reinier
25'
35'
D. Tarzia
A. Preciado
44'
46'
Matheusinho / E. Britez ↕
M. Cisse
59'
↕ T. Borbas / Gustavo Scarpa
60'
⚽Reinier
63'
69'
Erick / Emmanuel Martinez ↕
69'
Matheuzinho / D. Tarzia ↕
69'
Rene / Alex Bruno ↕
↕ A. Minda / Dudu
75'
81'
Walace / Caique Goncalves ↕
87'
Erick⚽
↕ Reinier / Caua
90'
↕ Alexsander / Vitor Hugo
90'
Pre-match prediction
66.14%
Atletico-MG ←
21.97%
X
11.88%
Vitoria
✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico-MG) 66.14% (high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
Atletico-MG
1.71
1.46
-0.25
Vitoria
0.48
0.64
+0.16
Atletico-MG dominated by xG (1.46 vs 0.64). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates were accurate.
League Table
#Team GPts
1 Flamengo Flamengo 28 60
2 Palmeiras Palmeiras 28 57
3 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 28 49
4 Fluminense Fluminense 28 48
5 Bahia Bahia 28 46
6 Cruzeiro Cruzeiro 28 45
7 Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 27 40
8 Santos Santos 27 38
9 Coritiba Coritiba 28 38
10 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino 27 36
11 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo 27 36
12 Botafogo Botafogo 28 35
13 Vitoria Vitoria 28 33
14 Corinthians Corinthians 28 32
15 Mirassol Mirassol 28 32
16 Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama 27 31
17 Gremio Gremio 28 29
18 Internacional Internacional 28 28
19 Remo Remo 28 23
20 Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc 27 18
Lineups
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
1 Gabriel Delfim Gabriel Delfim G 6.30
36 K. Pascini K. Pascini D 6.50
40 Vitão Vitão D 7.20
2 Natanael Natanael D 6.60
23 Ángelo Preciado Ángelo Preciado D 7.20
5 Alexsander Alexsander M 7.20
25 T. Pérez T. Pérez M 7.30
27 Alan Minda Alan Minda 75' M 6.70
19 Reinier Reinier 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 8.60
39 Mamady Cisse Mamady Cisse M 7.00
18 T. Borbas T. Borbas 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.00
Bench
21 Alan Franco Alan Franco M
29 Cauã Campos Soares Cauã Campos Soares 3' F
92 Dudu Dudu 18' F 6.70
10 Gustavo Scarpa Gustavo Scarpa 33' M 6.70
48 Gutte Gutte M
15 K. Castaño K. Castaño M
9 M. Cassierra M. Cassierra F
53 Pedro Lemos Pedro Lemos D
6 Renan Lodi Renan Lodi D
31 Robert Robert G
28 T. Cuello T. Cuello F
14 Vitor Hugo Vitor Hugo 3' D
Vitoria Vitoria 4-1-4-1
1 Lucas Arcanjo Lucas Arcanjo G 7.20
83 Jamerson Jamerson D 6.20
36 Luan Cândido Luan Cândido D 6.30
25 Cacá Cacá D 7.30
2 E. Brítez E. Brítez 45' D 6.30
6 E. Martínez E. Martínez 69' M 6.30
12 D. Tarzia D. Tarzia 69' M 6.00
95 Caíque Caíque 81' M 6.20
8 T. Pochettino T. Pochettino M 6.70
7 Marinho Marinho M 6.90
9 Alex Bruno Alex Bruno 69' F 6.30
Bench
26 Edenilson Edenilson M
33 Erick Erick 1 ⚽ 24' F 7.90
23 Fabrício Fabrício F
98 Mateusinho Mateusinho 48' D 6.90
10 Matheuzinho Matheuzinho 24' M 6.90
11 Osvaldo Osvaldo F
13 Ramon Ramon D
79 Renato Kayzer Renato Kayzer F
91 Rene Rene 24' F 6.30
15 Walace Walace 12' D 6.50
71 Yuri Sena Yuri Sena G
88 Zé Vitor Zé Vitor M
Best on the pitch
Reinier
Reinier
M · Atletico-MG
8.60
1 ⚽ 1 👟
3 shots · 70 pass
Erick
Erick
F · Vitoria
7.90
1 ⚽
1 shots · 9 pass
T. Pérez
T. Pérez
M · Atletico-MG
7.30
· 87 pass
Cacá
Cacá
D · Vitoria
7.30
1 shots · 31 pass
Vitão
Vitão
D · Atletico-MG
7.20
1 shots · 59 pass
Ángelo Preciado
Ángelo Preciado
D · Atletico-MG
7.20
3 shots · 53 pass
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Gabriel Delfim G 93 6.30 — — — 23 16% — — —
K. Pascini D 93 6.50 — — — 31 28% 1 — —
Vitão D 93 7.20 — — 1 59 58% — — —
Natanael D 93 6.60 — — — 70 66% — — —
Ángelo Preciado D 93 7.20 — — 3 53 46% 2 1 —
Alexsander M 90 7.20 — — 3 99 89% 2 — —
T. Pérez M 93 7.30 — — — 87 81% 5 — —
Alan Minda M 75 6.70 — — — 36 32% 1 — —
Reinier M 90 8.60 1 1 3 70 66% 1 — —
Mamady Cisse M 93 7.00 — — — 52 51% 3 1 —
T. Borbas F 60 7.00 1 — 2 12 7% — — —
Cauã Campos Soares F 3 — — — 1 1 1% — — —
Dudu F 18 6.70 — — — 14 12% — — —
Gustavo Scarpa M 33 6.70 — — 1 17 15% — — —
Vitor Hugo D 3 — — — — — — — — —
Vitoria Vitoria — Player statistics
Team PosMinRating ⚽👟 ShotsPassAcc% TckYCRC
Lucas Arcanjo G 93 7.20 — — — 26 19% — — —
Jamerson D 93 6.20 — — — 42 37% — — —
Luan Cândido D 93 6.30 — — — 43 38% 2 — —
Cacá D 93 7.30 — — 1 31 28% 5 — —
E. Brítez D 45 6.30 — — 1 23 19% 1 — —
E. Martínez M 69 6.30 — — — 33 26% 1 — —
D. Tarzia M 69 6.00 — — — 7 4% — 1 —
Caíque M 81 6.20 — — — 41 37% 2 — —
T. Pochettino M 93 6.70 — — — 17 14% 3 — —
Marinho M 93 6.90 — — 2 26 21% 5 — —
Alex Bruno F 69 6.30 — — — 13 8% — — —
Erick F 24 7.90 1 — 1 9 6% 1 — —
Mateusinho D 48 6.90 — — 1 23 16% 1 — —
Matheuzinho M 24 6.90 — — — 25 25% 1 — —
Rene F 24 6.30 — — — 7 5% — — —
Walace D 12 6.50 — — — 13 10% — — —
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?
The final score was Atletico-MG 2–1 Vitoria.
What did the model predict before Atletico-MG vs Vitoria?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Atletico-MG win, 21% to a draw, and 11% to an Vitoria win.