✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Nacional
Edwin Cardona
68'
(pen.)
Ian Carlo Poveda
83'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 69% win probability (draw 15%, Águilas Doradas 15%). The final result was Atletico Nacional 2–0 Águilas Doradas. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Nacional have won 1 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Águilas Doradas.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
9
5
Shots on target
2
2
Saves
4
61%
Possession
39%
8
Corners
3
13
Tackles
8
2
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
45'
Anthony Vásquez
/
Ricardo Marquez
45'
Matías Ramírez
/
Juan Esteban·Avalo Trejos
Juan Rengifo
/ Edwin Cardona
57'
Simón Alejandro Rojas Merchan
/ Elías Lautaro Cabrera
58'
Marlos Moreno
/ Ian Carlo Poveda
58'
65'
66'
Nicolás Lara Vásquez
⚽Edwin Cardona
(pen.)
68'
69'
Junior Noguera
/
Nicolás Lara Vásquez
William Tesillo
71'
Juan Zapata
/ Xavi Eshayth Rios Blanquicet
78'
79'
Fabián Suárez
/
Eduar Arley Arízalas Tenorio
Alfredo Morelos
/ Chicho Arango
80'
⚽Ian Carlo Poveda
83'
86'
Lucho Vásquez Diaz
/
Jhon Meléndez
Milton Casco
90'+3
Pre-match prediction
69.11%
Atletico ←
15.31%
X
15.58%
Águilas
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional)
69.11%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.93
—
—
1.31
—
—
Lineups
34
F. Armani
G
F. Armani
G
20
M. Casco
D
M. Casco
D
16
W. Tesillo
D
W. Tesillo
D
3
N. Parra
D
N. Parra
D
6
A. Román
D
A. Román
D
28
M
80
J. Zapata
78'
M
J. Zapata
78'
M
7
M. Moreno
58'
M
M. Moreno
58'
M
19
J. Rengifo
57'
M
J. Rengifo
57'
M
29
A. Sarmiento
M
A. Sarmiento
M
9
A. Morelos
80'
F
A. Morelos
80'
F
Bench
15
A. Reyes
D
A. Reyes
D
17
C. Arango
10'
F
C. Arango
10'
F
22
E. Cabrera
32'
M
E. Cabrera
32'
M
10
E. Cardona
1 ⚽
33'
M
E. Cardona
1 ⚽
33'
M
99
I. Poveda
1 ⚽
32'
F
I. Poveda
1 ⚽
32'
F
30
K. Parra
M
K. Parra
M
25
L. Marquinez
G
L. Marquinez
G
33
S. Velásquez
M
S. Velásquez
M
31
X. Rios
12'
M
X. Rios
12'
M
1
J. Soto
G
J. Soto
G
32
J. Mena
D
J. Mena
D
3
J. Ontaneda
D
J. Ontaneda
D
4
A. Mosquera
D
A. Mosquera
D
13
J. Melendez
86'
D
J. Melendez
86'
D
19
F. Lozano
M
F. Lozano
M
30
N. Lara
69'
M
N. Lara
69'
M
7
E. Arízalas
79'
M
E. Arízalas
79'
M
8
A. Ricaurte
M
A. Ricaurte
M
24
J. Ávalo
45'
M
J. Ávalo
45'
M
21
R. Márquez
45'
F
R. Márquez
45'
F
Bench
9
A. Vásquez
45'
F
A. Vásquez
45'
F
17
E. Betancur
E. Betancur
15
F. Suárez
11'
F
F. Suárez
11'
F
12
H. Arango
G
H. Arango
G
6
I. Rojas
M
I. Rojas
M
10
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
21'
M
Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca
21'
M
5
L. Vásquez
4'
D
L. Vásquez
4'
D
16
M. Ramírez
45'
F
M. Ramírez
45'
F
Best on the pitch
E. Cardona
M · Atletico
7.80
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 17 pass
I. Poveda
F · Atletico
7.45
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 2 pass
F. Armani
G · Atletico
7.14
· 24 pass
W. Tesillo
D · Atletico
7.14
· 68 pass
M. Moreno
M · Atletico
7.03
· 23 pass
J. Soto
G · Águilas
6.95
· 23 pass
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Armani | G | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Casco | D | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 1 | 1 | — |
| W. Tesillo | D | 90 | 7.14 | — | — | 0 | 68 | 62% | 2 | 1 | — |
| N. Parra | D | 90 | 6.59 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Román | D | 90 | 6.53 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 20% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| J. Zapata | M | 78 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 53 | 48% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Moreno | M | 58 | 7.03 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| J. Rengifo | M | 57 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 27 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Sarmiento | M | 90 | 6.21 | — | — | 3 | 20 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Morelos | F | 80 | 6.05 | — | — | 3 | 24 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| C. Arango | F | 10 | 6.58 | — | — | 1 | 3 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| E. Cabrera | M | 32 | 6.69 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| E. Cardona | M | 33 | 7.80 | 1 | — | 2 | 17 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Poveda | F | 32 | 7.45 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1% | 1 | — | — |
| X. Rios | M | 12 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 1 | — | — |
Águilas Doradas — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Soto | G | 90 | 6.95 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Mena | D | 90 | 6.22 | — | — | 0 | 14 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ontaneda | D | 90 | 6.41 | — | — | 0 | 42 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.71 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 2 | — | — |
| J. Melendez | D | 86 | 6.19 | — | — | 0 | 29 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| F. Lozano | M | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 1 | 24 | 19% | 2 | — | — |
| N. Lara | M | 69 | 5.80 | — | — | 0 | 16 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| E. Arízalas | M | 79 | 5.91 | — | — | 0 | 13 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Ricaurte | M | 90 | 6.01 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 28% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Ávalo | M | 45 | 5.99 | — | — | 1 | 11 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Márquez | F | 45 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Vásquez | F | 45 | 6.44 | — | — | 3 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Suárez | F | 11 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Junior Alexander Noguera Machuca | M | 21 | 6.06 | — | — | 3 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| L. Vásquez | D | 4 | 6.10 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| M. Ramírez | F | 45 | 6.76 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?
The final score was Atletico Nacional 2–0 Águilas Doradas.
What did the model predict before Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?
The model assigned 69% probability to a Atletico Nacional win, 15% to a draw, and 15% to an Águilas Doradas win.