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Atletico Nacional - Chapecoense-sc

Friendlies Clubs September 26, 2026 23:00
Atletico Nacional
vs
Chapecoense-sc
⚡ Pre-match analysis
31.96%
Win
Atletico Nacional
31.99%
Draw
36.05%
Win
Chapecoense-sc
0.55
Expected xG
2.51

Market probabilities

Most likely result 1–1 (9.11%)
1X2 Result
1 32%
X 32%
2 36%
Double Chance
1X 64%
X2 68%
12 68%
Over / Under
Over 1.5 75%
Over 2.5 53%
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The ForzaPitch prediction gives Chapecoense-sc a 36% win probability, against 31% for a draw and 31% for Atletico Nacional. Expected goals are 0.6 for Atletico Nacional and 2.5 for Chapecoense-sc (total 3.1), with a 75% probability of Over 1.5 goals. The most likely scoreline is 1–1 at 9.11% probability.

Season Stats

Atletico Nacional
0W 0D 3L
Chapecoense-sc
1W 0D 0L
Averages per game
0.7
Goals
2.0
2.3
Conceded
1.0
Percentages
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
67%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
ℹ Based on the last 3 matches in Friendlies Clubs. Bars use fixed scales (goals max 3.5, percentages 0–100%).

Venue Form

Goals signal (venue avg)
0%
O 3.5
100%
BTTS
Atletico Nacional
0W 0D 2L · at home
Chapecoense-sc
1W 0D 0L · away
1.0
gls/g
2.0
2.0
Conceded
1.0
0%
Win %
100%
0%
Win or Draw
100%
100%
O 1.5
100%
100%
O 2.5
100%
0%
O 3.5
0%
100%
BTTS
100%
0%
Clean Sht
0%
0%
Failed to Score
0%
last 2
ℹ Home team's record in home matches only · Away team's record in away matches only.

Score Matrix

↕ Atletico Nacional Chapecoense-sc →
0 1 2 3 4 5
0 4.7% 11.8% 14.8% 12.3% 7.7% 3.9%
1 2.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.8% 4.3% 2.1%
2 0.7% 1.8% 2.2% 1.9% 1.2% 0.6%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
4 — — 0.1% — — —
5 — — — — — —

Recent form

Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
L Deportivo Tachira FC 1–2
L Cruz Azul 3–0
L Inter Miami 1–2
Home clean sheet (120 days) 36%
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
W Gremio 1–2
Away clean sheet (120 days) 11%

Playing profile

Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
Attack
18
Defence
43
Form
31
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
Attack
50
Defence
75
Form
75
Indices on a 0–100 scale calculated by the model
Frequently Asked Questions
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model gives Atletico Nacional a 31% win probability, 31% for a draw, and 36% for an Chapecoense-sc win.
How many goals are expected in Atletico Nacional vs Chapecoense-sc?
Expected goals: Atletico Nacional 0.6, Chapecoense-sc 2.5 (total 3.1). Probability of over 1.5 goals: 75%.
What is the most likely score in Atletico Nacional vs Chapecoense-sc?
1–1 is the most probable final score, with an estimated probability of 9.11%.