✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico Nacional, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Cucuta 15%). The final result was Atletico Nacional 0–0 Cucuta. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Nacional have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Cucuta.
Match statistics
17
Total shots
3
5
Shots on target
0
1.79
Actual xG
0.16
0
Saves
4
66%
Possession
34%
6
Corners
2
5
Tackles
10
1
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
22'
O. Albornoz
/
A. Ballesteros
M. Moreno
/ A. Sarmiento
57'
M. Lozano
/ J. Rengifo
57'
M. Uribe
/ J. Campuzano
71'
79'
A. Cano
/
F. Castaneda
79'
J. Agudelo
/
L. Hernandez
E. Bello
/ J. Bauza
80'
88'
S. Tamara
/
L. Berdugo
88'
J. Ceballos
/
K. Londono
90'+5
Omar Albornoz
César Haydar
90'+6
Pre-match prediction
62.68%
Atletico
21.66%
X ←
15.66%
Cucuta
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
21.66%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.47
1.79
-0.68
0.98
0.16
-0.83
Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (1.79 vs 0.16).
The final result does not reflect the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
G
33
Samuel Velásquez
D
Samuel Velásquez
D
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
3
D
5
D
8
Matheus Uribe
71'
M
Matheus Uribe
71'
M
35
Matias Lozano
57'
M
Matias Lozano
57'
M
7
M. Moreno
57'
M
M. Moreno
57'
M
17
C. Arango
M
C. Arango
M
18
E. Bello
80'
M
E. Bello
80'
M
27
D. Asprilla
F
D. Asprilla
F
Bench
29
Andrés Sarmiento
33'
F
Andrés Sarmiento
33'
F
21
Jorman Campuzano
19'
M
Jorman Campuzano
19'
M
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
33'
F
Juan Manuel Rengifo
33'
F
28
S. Garcia
M
S. Garcia
M
24
Federico Abadía
G
Federico Abadía
G
30
Brayan Montaño
D
Brayan Montaño
D
44
D
3
Diego Calcaterra
D
Diego Calcaterra
D
4
D
2
A. Ballesteros
22'
D
23
Frank Castañeda
79'
M
Frank Castañeda
79'
M
5
Victor Mejia
M
Victor Mejia
M
16
Kevin Londoño
88'
M
Kevin Londoño
88'
M
7
Leider Berdugo
88'
M
Leider Berdugo
88'
M
90
L. Hernández
79'
F
L. Hernández
79'
F
Bench
27
Mauricio Duarte
D
Mauricio Duarte
D
80
Omar Albornoz
68'
D
Omar Albornoz
68'
D
Best on the pitch
César Haydar
D · Atletico
8.50
1 shots
· 112 pass
Matheus Uribe
M · Atletico
8.20
1 shots
· 66 pass
D · Atletico
7.70
· 92 pass
Federico Abadía
G · Cucuta
7.70
· 37 pass
Frank Castañeda
M · Cucuta
7.30
2 shots
· 26 pass
Brayan Montaño
D · Cucuta
7.30
· 33 pass
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 16 | 15% | — | — | — | |
| Samuel Velásquez | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 69 | 63% | 1 | — | — |
| César Haydar | D | 90 | 8.50 | — | — | 1 | 112 | 103% | — | 1 | — |
| D | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 92 | 85% | 1 | — | — | |
| D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 54 | 42% | — | — | — | |
| Matheus Uribe | M | 71 | 8.20 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 63% | 2 | — | — |
| Matias Lozano | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | 1 | 47 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Moreno | M | 57 | 7.00 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 32% | — | — | — |
| C. Arango | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 4 | 31 | 23% | — | — | — |
| E. Bello | M | 80 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 29 | 26% | — | — | — |
| D. Asprilla | F | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 5 | 13 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Sarmiento | F | 33 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 11 | 11% | — | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | F | 33 | 6.90 | — | — | 1 | 35 | 30% | — | — | — |
Cucuta — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Abadía | G | 90 | 7.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 20% | — | — | — |
| Brayan Montaño | D | 90 | 7.30 | — | — | — | 33 | 23% | — | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 16 | 14% | — | — | — | |
| Diego Calcaterra | D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 24 | 16% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 30 | 23% | 2 | — | — | |
| A. Ballesteros | D | 22 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | — | — |
| Frank Castañeda | M | 79 | 7.30 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 22% | 2 | — | — |
| Victor Mejia | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 34 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| Kevin Londoño | M | 88 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 39 | 33% | 1 | — | — |
| Leider Berdugo | M | 88 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 40 | 35% | 2 | — | — |
| L. Hernández | F | 79 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 22 | 16% | — | — | — |
| Omar Albornoz | D | 68 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 14 | 12% | — | 1 | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
The final score was Atletico Nacional 0–0 Cucuta.
What did the model predict before Atletico Nacional vs Cucuta?
The model assigned 62% probability to a Atletico Nacional win, 21% to a draw, and 15% to an Cucuta win.