✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico Nacional, result Draw
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 66% win probability (draw 17%, Deportes Tolima 15%). The final result was Atletico Nacional 0–0 Deportes Tolima. In 3 previous meetings, Atletico Nacional have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportes Tolima.
Match statistics
14
Total shots
14
6
Shots on target
8
8
Saves
6
60%
Possession
40%
4
Corners
6
4
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
2
Match Events
45'
Adrián Parra
/
Luis Sanchez
Yeicar Perlaza
/ Mateus Uribe
45'
54'
Brayan Rovira
Milton Casco
/ Samuel Velasquez Uribe
59'
Edwin Cardona
/ Juan Rengifo
59'
66'
Edwar López
/
Shean Barbosa
Jorman Campuzano
/ Felipe Marín
70'
74'
Luis Sandoval
/
Sergio Aguayo
87'
Juan Jose Mera Gonzalez
/
Sebastian Guzman
87'
Jader Valencia
/
Ever Valencia
Ian Carlo Poveda
/ Emmanuel Benítez
87'
90'+1
Homer Martinez
Pre-match prediction
66.93%
Atletico
17.25%
X ←
15.83%
Deportes
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
17.25%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.75
—
—
1.19
—
—
Lineups
34
Franco Armani
G
Franco Armani
G
20
Milton Casco
59'
D
Milton Casco
59'
D
4
César Haydar
D
César Haydar
D
3
Neider Parra
D
Neider Parra
D
6
Andrés Román
D
Andrés Román
D
22
Elías Cabrera
M
Elías Cabrera
M
21
Jorman Campuzano
70'
M
Jorman Campuzano
70'
M
10
Edwin Cardona
59'
M
Edwin Cardona
59'
M
23
James Rodríguez
M
James Rodríguez
M
27
Yeicar Perlaza
45'
M
Yeicar Perlaza
45'
M
99
I. Poveda
87'
F
I. Poveda
87'
F
Bench
26
Felipe Marin
20'
D
Felipe Marin
20'
D
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
31'
F
Juan Manuel Rengifo
31'
F
80
Juan Zapata
M
Juan Zapata
M
30
Kevin Parra
M
Kevin Parra
M
25
Luis Marquinez
G
Luis Marquinez
G
8
Matheus Uribe
45'
M
Matheus Uribe
45'
M
33
Samuel Velásquez
31'
M
Samuel Velásquez
31'
M
31
Xavi Rios
M
Xavi Rios
M
1
Neto Volpi
G
Neto Volpi
G
30
Shean Barbosa
66'
D
Shean Barbosa
66'
D
2
A. Angulo
D
A. Angulo
D
80
Brayan Rovira
D
Brayan Rovira
D
33
Jherson Mosquera
D
Jherson Mosquera
D
14
Homer Martinez
M
Homer Martinez
M
32
S. Guzmán
87'
M
S. Guzmán
87'
M
20
Junior Hernández
M
Junior Hernández
M
10
Luis Sánchez
45'
M
Luis Sánchez
45'
M
8
Ever Valencia
87'
M
Ever Valencia
87'
M
15
F
Bench
24
Adrián Parra
45'
F
Adrián Parra
45'
F
28
Edwar López
24'
F
Edwar López
24'
F
11
Jader Valencia
3'
F
Jader Valencia
3'
F
5
Juan Mera
3'
D
Juan Mera
3'
D
9
Luis Sandoval
16'
F
Luis Sandoval
16'
F
13
Miguel Ortega
G
Miguel Ortega
G
16
V. Reyes
M
V. Reyes
M
Best on the pitch
Franco Armani
G · Atletico
8.80
· 24 pass
Neto Volpi
G · Deportes
7.80
· 34 pass
James Rodríguez
M · Atletico
7.19
4 shots
· 53 pass
Milton Casco
D · Atletico
7.12
· 43 pass
Luis Sánchez
M · Deportes
7.09
1 shots
· 14 pass
Edwin Cardona
M · Atletico
7.04
· 21 pass
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franco Armani | G | 90 | 8.80 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Milton Casco | D | 59 | 7.12 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 40% | 1 | — | — |
| César Haydar | D | 90 | 6.98 | — | — | 0 | 79 | 71% | 1 | — | — |
| Neider Parra | D | 90 | 6.62 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 53% | 0 | — | — |
| Andrés Román | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 22 | 17% | 0 | — | — |
| Elías Cabrera | M | 90 | 6.76 | — | — | 2 | 48 | 44% | 1 | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 70 | 6.42 | — | — | 0 | 31 | 25% | 0 | — | — |
| Edwin Cardona | M | 59 | 7.04 | — | — | 0 | 21 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| James Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.19 | — | — | 4 | 53 | 50% | 0 | — | — |
| Yeicar Perlaza | M | 45 | 6.75 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 14% | 0 | — | — |
| I. Poveda | F | 87 | 6.44 | — | — | 3 | 26 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| Felipe Marin | D | 20 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 4 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | F | 31 | 6.86 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Matheus Uribe | M | 45 | 6.67 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| Samuel Velásquez | M | 31 | 6.25 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
Deportes Tolima — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neto Volpi | G | 90 | 7.80 | — | — | 0 | 34 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Shean Barbosa | D | 66 | 6.15 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 19% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Angulo | D | 90 | 6.96 | — | — | 0 | 25 | 24% | 2 | — | — |
| Brayan Rovira | D | 90 | 6.35 | — | — | 4 | 33 | 27% | 0 | 1 | — |
| Jherson Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| Homer Martinez | M | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 1 | 32 | 25% | 2 | 1 | — |
| S. Guzmán | M | 87 | 6.84 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | 0 | — | — |
| Junior Hernández | M | 90 | 6.65 | — | — | 2 | 28 | 21% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Sánchez | M | 45 | 7.09 | — | — | 1 | 14 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
| Ever Valencia | M | 87 | 6.78 | — | — | 3 | 27 | 19% | 3 | — | — |
| F | 0 | 0.00 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — | |
| Adrián Parra | F | 45 | 6.86 | — | — | 1 | 16 | 13% | 2 | — | — |
| Edwar López | F | 24 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| Jader Valencia | F | 3 | 6.77 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Juan Mera | D | 3 | 6.49 | — | — | 0 | 1 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| Luis Sandoval | F | 16 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
The final score was Atletico Nacional 0–0 Deportes Tolima.
What did the model predict before Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima?
The model assigned 66% probability to a Atletico Nacional win, 17% to a draw, and 15% to an Deportes Tolima win.