Atletico Nacional 2–1 Deportivo Cali — pre-match prediction — Liga BetPlay — August 27, 2026

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Liga BetPlay · Clausura - 7 August 27, 2026 03:30 Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellin

Atletico Nacional

#1 · 40 pts

2 – 1

Final score

Deportivo Cali

#6 · 18 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Nacional

A. Sarmiento (ast. M. Moreno) 18'

M. Moreno (ast. F. Marin) 64'

74' (ast. F. Viafara) N. Benedetti

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The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 62% win probability (draw 21%, Deportivo Cali 15%). The final result was Atletico Nacional 2–1 Deportivo Cali. In 1 previous meetings, Atletico Nacional have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 1 wins for Deportivo Cali.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

0.90

Actual xG

0.30

Saves

52%

Possession

48%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

🟥 Red cards

Match Events

⚽A. Sarmiento · ast. M. Moreno

18'

38'

A. Manyoma / M. Correa ↕

M. Uribe

45'

46'

N. Benedetti / F. Alvarez ↕

M. Uribe

52'

M. Uribe

52'

E. Cardona

53'

↕ S. Velasquez / M. Casco

56'

↕ E. Cardona / F. Marin

56'

60'

A. Manyoma

⚽M. Moreno · ast. F. Marin

64'

65'

C. Bacca / E. Bello ↕

65'

L. Chaverra / A. Hurtado ↕

↕ A. Roman / C. Haydar

73'

↕ A. Morelos / C. Arango

73'

74'

ast. F. Viafara · N. Benedetti⚽

↕ A. Sarmiento / I. Poveda

80'

85'

J. Martinez / F. Viafara ↕

87'

K. Sandoval

J. Campuzano

87'

F. Marin

88'

90'+1

J. C. Caldera Alvis

Pre-match prediction

62.23%

Atletico ←

21.83%

15.94%

Deportivo

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional) 62.23% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Atletico

1.80

0.90

-0.9

Deportivo

0.72

0.30

-0.42

Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (0.90 vs 0.30). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	40
2	Junior	19	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	34
4	America de Cali	19	33
5	Once Caldas	19	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	31
7	Santa Fe	19	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	27
10	Millonarios	19	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	23
14	Llaneros	19	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	22
16	Jaguares	19	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	17
18	Chico	19	17
19	Cucuta	19	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	10

Lineups

Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1

F. Armani G 6.30

S. Velásquez 56' D 6.70

W. Tesillo D 7.00

N. Parra D 6.30

A. Román 73' D 6.60

J. Campuzano M 7.00

Matheus Uribe 52' M 5.60

M. Moreno 1 ⚽ 1 👟 M 9.20

E. Cardona 56' M 6.60

A. Sarmiento 1 ⚽ 80' M 7.50

A. Morelos 73' F 6.50

Bench

Andres Marin 34' D 6.70

C. Arango 17' F 6.60

C. Haydar 17' D 6.60

I. Poveda 10' F 6.60

J. Rengifo F

J. Zapata M

L. Marquinez G

M. Casco 34' D 6.20

X. Rios M

Deportivo Cali 3-4-3

P. Gallese G 6.60

Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador 45' D 6.50

J. Caldera D 5.90

K. Sandoval D 6.60

E. Velasco M 6.90

D. Giraldo M 6.90

38' M 6.20

F. Viáfara 1 👟 85' M 6.50

E. Bello 65' F 6.60

S. Rodríguez F 6.30

A. Hurtado 65' F 6.70

Bench

A. Castillo Manyoma 52' M 6.50

A. Rodríguez G

C. Bacca 25' F 6.30

J. Martínez 11' F 6.30

J. Tello D

Juan Jose Gomez D

L. Chaverra 25' D 6.90

Mateo Benitez D

N. Benedetti 1 ⚽ 45' M 7.20

Best on the pitch

M. Moreno

M · Atletico

9.20

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 19 pass

A. Sarmiento

M · Atletico

7.50

1 ⚽

4 shots · 19 pass

N. Benedetti

M · Deportivo

7.20

1 ⚽

1 shots · 24 pass

W. Tesillo

D · Atletico

7.00

1 shots · 58 pass

J. Campuzano

M · Atletico

7.00

· 56 pass

L. Chaverra

D · Deportivo

6.90

2 shots · 31 pass

Atletico Nacional — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
F. Armani	G	90	6.30	—	—	—	40	25%	—	—	—
S. Velásquez	D	56	6.70	—	—	1	34	26%	1	—	—
W. Tesillo	D	90	7.00	—	—	1	58	48%	1	—	—
N. Parra	D	90	6.30	—	—	—	43	39%	1	—	—
A. Román	D	73	6.60	—	—	1	19	16%	—	—	—
J. Campuzano	M	90	7.00	—	—	—	56	48%	1	1	—
Matheus Uribe	M	52	5.60	—	—	—	17	17%	—	2	1
M. Moreno	M	90	9.20	1	1	1	19	14%	2	—	—
E. Cardona	M	56	6.60	—	—	2	24	15%	—	1	—
A. Sarmiento	M	80	7.50	1	—	4	19	14%	2	—	—
A. Morelos	F	73	6.50	—	—	—	27	21%	—	—	—
Andres Marin	D	34	6.70	—	—	—	8	7%	2	1	—
C. Arango	F	17	6.60	—	—	2	7	4%	1	—	—
C. Haydar	D	17	6.60	—	—	—	8	5%	1	—	—
I. Poveda	F	10	6.60	—	—	—	—	—	1	—	—
M. Casco	D	34	6.20	—	—	—	5	4%	—	—	—

Deportivo Cali — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
P. Gallese	G	90	6.60	—	—	—	20	14%	—	—	—
Fernando Antonio Álvarez Amador	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	10	5%	—	—	—
J. Caldera	D	90	5.90	—	—	2	33	26%	1	1	—
K. Sandoval	D	90	6.60	—	—	—	38	34%	3	1	—
E. Velasco	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	39	34%	1	—	—
D. Giraldo	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	43	37%	1	—	—
	M	38	6.20	—	—	—	8	4%	—	—	—
F. Viáfara	M	85	6.50	—	1	—	36	27%	1	—	—
E. Bello	F	65	6.60	—	—	1	12	10%	1	—	—
S. Rodríguez	F	90	6.30	—	—	1	24	20%	—	—	—
A. Hurtado	F	65	6.70	—	—	—	11	9%	—	—	—
A. Castillo Manyoma	M	52	6.50	—	—	1	23	16%	—	1	—
C. Bacca	F	25	6.30	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—
J. Martínez	F	11	6.30	—	—	—	7	6%	—	—	—
L. Chaverra	D	25	6.90	—	—	2	31	25%	—	—	—
N. Benedetti	M	45	7.20	1	—	1	24	19%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?

The final score was Atletico Nacional 2–1 Deportivo Cali.

What did the model predict before Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?

The model assigned 62% probability to a Atletico Nacional win, 21% to a draw, and 15% to an Deportivo Cali win.