✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Nacional
S. Garcia
(ast. W. Tesillo)
40'
M. Uribe
(ast. J. Rengifo)
45'+3
A. Morelos
(ast. N. Rodriguez)
51'
S. Garcia
65'
C. Arango
(ast. N. Rodriguez)
72'
E. Cardona
(ast. A. Sarmiento)
78'
A. Sarmiento
(ast. E. Cardona)
82'
5'
J. Valencia
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Internacional de Bogota 12%). The final result was Atletico Nacional 7–1 Internacional de Bogota. In 3 previous meetings, Atletico Nacional have won 3 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Internacional de Bogota.
Match statistics
19
Total shots
9
15
Shots on target
5
4.01
Actual xG
1.10
5
Saves
8
59%
Possession
41%
9
Corners
3
12
Tackles
9
0
🟨 Yellow cards
1
Match Events
5'
J. Valencia⚽
⚽S. Garcia
· ast. W. Tesillo
40'
⚽M. Uribe
· ast. J. Rengifo
45'+3
45'+4
D. Quinones
M. Casco
/ C. Haydar
46'
⚽A. Morelos
· ast. N. Rodriguez
51'
52'
R. Manjarres
/
D. Quinones
53'
J. Caballero
/
F. Bone
60'
S. Mayo
/
J. Valencia
E. Bello
/ A. Sarmiento
61'
A. Morelos
/ C. Arango
61'
⚽S. Garcia
65'
68'
S. Palacio
/
W. Farinez
M. Uribe
/ J. Zapata
71'
J. Rengifo
/ E. Cardona
71'
⚽C. Arango
· ast. N. Rodriguez
72'
⚽E. Cardona
· ast. A. Sarmiento
78'
⚽A. Sarmiento
· ast. E. Cardona
82'
Pre-match prediction
74.69%
Atletico ←
13.25%
X
12.06%
Internacional
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional)
74.69%
(high confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.93
4.01
+1.08
0.90
1.10
+0.2
Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (4.01 vs 1.10).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
David Ospina
G
David Ospina
G
20
Milton Casco
45'
D
Milton Casco
45'
D
16
William Tesillo
1 👟
D
William Tesillo
1 👟
D
28
S. Garcia
2 ⚽
D
S. Garcia
2 ⚽
D
6
Andrés Román
D
Andrés Román
D
8
Matheus Uribe
1 ⚽
71'
M
Matheus Uribe
1 ⚽
71'
M
21
Jorman Campuzano
M
Jorman Campuzano
M
13
Nicolás Rodríguez
2 👟
M
Nicolás Rodríguez
2 👟
M
19
Juan Manuel Rengifo
1 👟
71'
M
Juan Manuel Rengifo
1 👟
71'
M
18
E. Bello
61'
M
E. Bello
61'
M
9
Alfredo Morelos
1 ⚽
61'
F
Alfredo Morelos
1 ⚽
61'
F
Bench
14
Andres Marin
D
Andres Marin
D
29
Andrés Sarmiento
1 ⚽
1 👟
29'
F
Andrés Sarmiento
1 ⚽
1 👟
29'
F
17
C. Arango
1 ⚽
29'
F
C. Arango
1 ⚽
29'
F
4
César Haydar
45'
D
César Haydar
45'
D
5
Cristian Uribe
D
Cristian Uribe
D
10
Edwin Cardona
1 ⚽
1 👟
19'
M
Edwin Cardona
1 ⚽
1 👟
19'
M
15
H. Castillo
G
H. Castillo
G
24
Juan Rosa
F
Juan Rosa
F
80
Juan Zapata
19'
M
Juan Zapata
19'
M
1
Wuilker Faríñez
68'
G
Wuilker Faríñez
68'
G
22
Kalazan Suárez
D
Kalazan Suárez
D
26
Agustín Irazoque
D
Agustín Irazoque
D
2
Carlos Vivas
D
Carlos Vivas
D
20
Joan Castro
D
Joan Castro
D
7
Fabricio Sanguinetti
M
Fabricio Sanguinetti
M
5
Larry Vásquez
M
Larry Vásquez
M
15
D. Quiñonez
52'
M
D. Quiñonez
52'
M
10
Kevin Parra
M
Kevin Parra
M
9
Juan Valencia
1 ⚽
60'
F
Juan Valencia
1 ⚽
60'
F
11
Facundo Boné
53'
F
Facundo Boné
53'
F
Bench
21
Bayron Caicedo
F
Bayron Caicedo
F
4
D. Rodas
D
D. Rodas
D
23
Johan Caballero
37'
F
Johan Caballero
37'
F
6
Miguel Amaya
D
Miguel Amaya
D
25
Ronaldo Julio
F
Ronaldo Julio
F
24
Ruben Manjarres
38'
M
Ruben Manjarres
38'
M
8
Samir Mayo
30'
D
Samir Mayo
30'
D
30
Simon Zapata
22'
G
Simon Zapata
22'
G
19
Yeider Garcia
F
Yeider Garcia
F
Best on the pitch
Edwin Cardona
M · Atletico
8.90
1 ⚽ 1 👟
1 shots
· 10 pass
S. Garcia
D · Atletico
8.60
2 ⚽
3 shots
· 53 pass
Matheus Uribe
M · Atletico
8.50
1 ⚽
4 shots
· 41 pass
Andrés Sarmiento
F · Atletico
8.30
1 ⚽ 1 👟
2 shots
· 5 pass
William Tesillo
D · Atletico
8.30
1 👟
1 shots
· 86 pass
Wuilker Faríñez
G · Internacional
7.90
· 4 pass
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Ospina | G | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 30 | 28% | — | — | — |
| Milton Casco | D | 45 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 17% | — | — | — |
| William Tesillo | D | 90 | 8.30 | — | 1 | 1 | 86 | 78% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Garcia | D | 90 | 8.60 | 2 | — | 3 | 53 | 49% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Román | D | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 37 | 33% | — | — | — |
| Matheus Uribe | M | 71 | 8.50 | 1 | — | 4 | 41 | 37% | 3 | — | — |
| Jorman Campuzano | M | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 74 | 70% | 2 | — | — |
| Nicolás Rodríguez | M | 90 | 7.30 | — | 2 | 1 | 20 | 17% | 2 | — | — |
| Juan Manuel Rengifo | M | 71 | 7.20 | — | 1 | — | 37 | 31% | 3 | — | — |
| E. Bello | M | 61 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 19 | 14% | — | — | — |
| Alfredo Morelos | F | 61 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 23% | — | — | — |
| Andrés Sarmiento | F | 29 | 8.30 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Arango | F | 29 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
| César Haydar | D | 45 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 21 | 17% | — | — | — |
| Edwin Cardona | M | 19 | 8.90 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Juan Zapata | M | 19 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 13 | 12% | — | — | — |
Internacional de Bogota — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wuilker Faríñez | G | 68 | 7.90 | — | — | — | 4 | 3% | — | — | — |
| Kalazan Suárez | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 27 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| Agustín Irazoque | D | 90 | 5.70 | — | — | — | 37 | 35% | 1 | — | — |
| Carlos Vivas | D | 90 | 5.00 | — | — | — | 46 | 37% | 1 | — | — |
| Joan Castro | D | 90 | 5.30 | — | — | — | 29 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| Fabricio Sanguinetti | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 1 | 20 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| Larry Vásquez | M | 90 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 46 | 45% | 2 | — | — |
| D. Quiñonez | M | 52 | 5.90 | — | — | — | 13 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Parra | M | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | 2 | 41 | 35% | — | — | — |
| Juan Valencia | F | 60 | 7.60 | 1 | — | 3 | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Facundo Boné | F | 53 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 8 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Johan Caballero | F | 37 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 20 | 19% | — | — | — |
| Ruben Manjarres | M | 38 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| Samir Mayo | D | 30 | 5.50 | — | — | — | 8 | 7% | — | — | — |
| Simon Zapata | G | 22 | 6.00 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | — | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?
The final score was Atletico Nacional 7–1 Internacional de Bogota.
What did the model predict before Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?
The model assigned 74% probability to a Atletico Nacional win, 13% to a draw, and 12% to an Internacional de Bogota win.