Atletico Nacional 7–1 Internacional de Bogota — pre-match prediction — Liga BetPlay — May 13, 2026

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Liga BetPlay · Apertura - Quarter-finals May 13, 2026 01:20

Atletico Nacional

#1 · 40 pts

7 – 1

Final score

Internacional de Bogota

#8 · 28 pts

✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Nacional

S. Garcia (ast. W. Tesillo) 40'

M. Uribe (ast. J. Rengifo) 45'+3

A. Morelos (ast. N. Rodriguez) 51'

S. Garcia 65'

C. Arango (ast. N. Rodriguez) 72'

E. Cardona (ast. A. Sarmiento) 78'

A. Sarmiento (ast. E. Cardona) 82'

5' J. Valencia

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 74% win probability (draw 13%, Internacional de Bogota 12%). The final result was Atletico Nacional 7–1 Internacional de Bogota. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico Nacional have won 2 times, with 0 draws and 0 wins for Internacional de Bogota.

Match statistics

Total shots

Shots on target

4.01

Actual xG

1.10

Saves

59%

Possession

41%

Corners

Tackles

🟨 Yellow cards

Match Events

J. Valencia⚽

⚽S. Garcia · ast. W. Tesillo

40'

⚽M. Uribe · ast. J. Rengifo

45'+3

45'+4

D. Quinones

↕ M. Casco / C. Haydar

46'

⚽A. Morelos · ast. N. Rodriguez

51'

52'

R. Manjarres / D. Quinones ↕

53'

J. Caballero / F. Bone ↕

60'

S. Mayo / J. Valencia ↕

↕ E. Bello / A. Sarmiento

61'

↕ A. Morelos / C. Arango

61'

⚽S. Garcia

65'

68'

S. Palacio / W. Farinez ↕

↕ M. Uribe / J. Zapata

71'

↕ J. Rengifo / E. Cardona

71'

⚽C. Arango · ast. N. Rodriguez

72'

⚽E. Cardona · ast. A. Sarmiento

78'

⚽A. Sarmiento · ast. E. Cardona

82'

Pre-match prediction

74.69%

Atletico ←

13.25%

12.06%

Internacional

✓ Correct prediction — we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Nacional) 74.69% (high confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Atletico

2.93

4.01

+1.08

Internacional

0.90

1.10

+0.2

Atletico Nacional dominated by xG (4.01 vs 1.10). The final result reflects the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	40
2	Junior	19	35
3	Deportivo Pasto	19	34
4	America de Cali	19	33
5	Once Caldas	19	33
6	Deportes Tolima	19	31
7	Santa Fe	19	29
8	Internacional de Bogota	19	28
9	Deportivo Cali	19	27
10	Millonarios	19	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	26
13	Bucaramanga	19	23
14	Llaneros	19	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	22
16	Jaguares	19	18
17	Alianza Valledupar	19	17
18	Chico	19	17
19	Cucuta	19	16
20	Deportivo Pereira	19	10

Lineups

Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1

David Ospina G 6.50

Milton Casco 45' D 6.50

William Tesillo 1 👟 D 8.30

Simon Garcia 2 ⚽ D 8.60

Andrés Román D 6.30

Matheus Uribe 1 ⚽ 71' M 8.50

Jorman Campuzano M 7.20

Nicolás Rodríguez 2 👟 M 7.30

Juan Manuel Rengifo 1 👟 71' M 7.20

Eduard Bello 61' M 6.30

Alfredo Morelos 1 ⚽ 61' F 7.70

Bench

Andrés Marín D

Andrés Sarmiento 1 ⚽ 1 👟 29' F 8.30

César Haydar 45' D 6.60

Cristian Arango 1 ⚽ 29' F 7.70

Cristian Uribe D

Edwin Cardona 1 ⚽ 1 👟 19' M 8.90

Harlen Castillo G

Juan Rosa F

Juan Zapata 19' M 6.60

Internacional de Bogota 4-4-2

Wuilker Faríñez 68' G 7.90

Kalazan Suárez D 5.30

Agustín Irazoque D 5.70

Carlos Vivas D 5.00

Joan Castro D 5.30

Fabricio Sanguinetti M 6.00

Larry Vásquez M 6.90

Dannovi Quiñonez 52' M 5.90

Kevin Parra M 6.70

Juan Valencia 1 ⚽ 60' F 7.60

Facundo Boné 53' F 6.30

Bench

Bayron Caicedo F

Johan Caballero 37' F 6.30

Mateo Rodas D

Miguel Amaya D

Ronaldo Julio F

Ruben Manjarres 38' M 6.50

Samir Mayo 30' D 5.50

Simon Zapata 22' G 6.00

Yeider Garcia F

Best on the pitch

Edwin Cardona

M · Atletico

8.90

1 ⚽ 1 👟

1 shots · 10 pass

Simon Garcia

D · Atletico

8.60

2 ⚽

3 shots · 53 pass

Matheus Uribe

M · Atletico

8.50

1 ⚽

4 shots · 41 pass

Andrés Sarmiento

F · Atletico

8.30

1 ⚽ 1 👟

2 shots · 5 pass

William Tesillo

D · Atletico

8.30

1 👟

1 shots · 86 pass

Wuilker Faríñez

G · Internacional

7.90

· 4 pass

Atletico Nacional — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
David Ospina	G	90	6.50	—	—	—	30	28%	—	—	—
Milton Casco	D	45	6.50	—	—	—	23	17%	—	—	—
William Tesillo	D	90	8.30	—	1	1	86	78%	1	—	—
Simon Garcia	D	90	8.60	2	—	3	53	49%	—	—	—
Andrés Román	D	90	6.30	—	—	2	37	33%	—	—	—
Matheus Uribe	M	71	8.50	1	—	4	41	37%	3	—	—
Jorman Campuzano	M	90	7.20	—	—	—	74	70%	2	—	—
Nicolás Rodríguez	M	90	7.30	—	2	1	20	17%	2	—	—
Juan Manuel Rengifo	M	71	7.20	—	1	—	37	31%	3	—	—
Eduard Bello	M	61	6.30	—	—	—	19	14%	—	—	—
Alfredo Morelos	F	61	7.70	1	—	3	28	23%	—	—	—
Andrés Sarmiento	F	29	8.30	1	1	2	5	5%	1	—	—
César Haydar	D	45	6.60	—	—	—	21	17%	—	—	—
Cristian Arango	F	29	7.70	1	—	2	1	—	—	—	—
Edwin Cardona	M	19	8.90	1	1	1	10	7%	—	—	—
Juan Zapata	M	19	6.60	—	—	—	13	12%	—	—	—

Internacional de Bogota — Player statistics

Team	Pos	Min	Rating	⚽	👟	Shots	Pass	Acc%	Tck	YC	RC
Wuilker Faríñez	G	68	7.90	—	—	—	4	3%	—	—	—
Kalazan Suárez	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	27	22%	1	—	—
Agustín Irazoque	D	90	5.70	—	—	—	37	35%	1	—	—
Carlos Vivas	D	90	5.00	—	—	—	46	37%	1	—	—
Joan Castro	D	90	5.30	—	—	—	29	25%	1	—	—
Fabricio Sanguinetti	M	90	6.00	—	—	1	20	15%	2	—	—
Larry Vásquez	M	90	6.90	—	—	—	46	45%	2	—	—
Dannovi Quiñonez	M	52	5.90	—	—	—	13	9%	—	1	—
Kevin Parra	M	90	6.70	—	—	2	41	35%	—	—	—
Juan Valencia	F	60	7.60	1	—	3	5	4%	—	—	—
Facundo Boné	F	53	6.30	—	—	1	8	4%	—	—	—
Johan Caballero	F	37	6.30	—	—	—	20	19%	—	—	—
Ruben Manjarres	M	38	6.50	—	—	2	24	20%	1	—	—
Samir Mayo	D	30	5.50	—	—	—	8	7%	—	—	—
Simon Zapata	G	22	6.00	—	—	—	10	8%	—	—	—

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?

The final score was Atletico Nacional 7–1 Internacional de Bogota.

What did the model predict before Atletico Nacional vs Internacional de Bogota?

The model assigned 74% probability to a Atletico Nacional win, 13% to a draw, and 12% to an Internacional de Bogota win.