✗Model wrong — prediction Atletico Nacional, result Draw
Andrés Reyes
(ast. Elías Lautaro Cabrera)
45'+3
39'
Julian Angulo
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Nacional a 57% win probability (draw 18%, Millonarios 23%). The final result was Atletico Nacional 1–1 Millonarios. In 2 previous meetings, Atletico Nacional have won 0 times, with 0 draws and 2 wins for Millonarios.
Match statistics
13
Total shots
4
3
Shots on target
3
2
Saves
2
59%
Possession
41%
3
Corners
2
7
Tackles
12
3
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
Chicho Arango
/ Andrés Sarmiento
15'
Andrés Felipe Marín Bernal
26'
39'
Julian Angulo⚽
⚽Andrés Reyes
· ast. Elías Lautaro Cabrera
45'+3
45'
Leonardo Castro
/
Julian Angulo
Juan Zapata
55'
59'
Stiven Vega
Juan Zapata
/ James Rodríguez
60'
67'
David Silva
/
Daniel Felipe Ruiz Rivera
Marlos Moreno
/ Kevin Parra
67'
70'
Leonardo Castro
Elías Lautaro Cabrera
82'
85'
Andrés Sarmiento
85'
88'
Sebastián Viveros del Castillo
/
Rodrigo Ureña
Pre-match prediction
57.92%
Atletico
18.82%
X ←
23.26%
Millonarios
✗ Wrong prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Draw)
18.82%
(low confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.70
—
—
1.68
—
—
Lineups
34
F. Armani
G
F. Armani
G
16
W. Tesillo
D
W. Tesillo
D
15
A. Reyes
1 ⚽
D
A. Reyes
1 ⚽
D
3
N. Parra
D
N. Parra
D
6
A. Román
D
A. Román
D
26
F. Marin
M
F. Marin
M
22
E. Cabrera
1 👟
M
E. Cabrera
1 👟
M
7
M. Moreno
67'
M
M. Moreno
67'
M
80
J. Zapata
60'
M
J. Zapata
60'
M
99
I. Poveda
M
I. Poveda
M
17
C. Arango
15'
F
C. Arango
15'
F
Bench
29
A. Sarmiento
70'
F
A. Sarmiento
70'
F
4
C. Haydar
D
C. Haydar
D
23
J. Rodríguez
30'
M
J. Rodríguez
30'
M
24
J. Rosa
F
J. Rosa
F
30
K. Parra
23'
M
K. Parra
23'
M
25
L. Marquinez
G
L. Marquinez
G
20
M. Casco
D
M. Casco
D
31
X. Rios
M
X. Rios
M
27
Y. Perlaza
D
Y. Perlaza
D
1
J. Burrai
G
J. Burrai
G
13
F. Chaverra
D
F. Chaverra
D
20
D. Banguero
D
D. Banguero
D
6
S. Mosquera
D
S. Mosquera
D
4
S. Barreiro
D
S. Barreiro
D
2
C. Sarabia
D
C. Sarabia
D
18
R. Ureña
88'
M
R. Ureña
88'
M
28
S. Vega
M
S. Vega
M
24
J. Angulo
1 ⚽
45'
M
J. Angulo
1 ⚽
45'
M
11
A. Estupiñán
F
A. Estupiñán
F
10
D. Ruiz
67'
F
D. Ruiz
67'
F
Bench
26
A. Llinás
D
A. Llinás
D
14
D. Silva
23'
M
D. Silva
23'
M
12
J. Aguirre
G
J. Aguirre
G
17
J. Arias
D
J. Arias
D
23
L. Castro
45'
F
L. Castro
45'
F
3
M. Diaz Samuel
D
M. Diaz Samuel
D
19
M. García
M
M. García
M
30
S. del Castillo
2'
M
S. del Castillo
2'
M
35
Sebastián Mosquera
F
Sebastián Mosquera
F
22
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
Sebastián Valencia Isaza
D
Best on the pitch
E. Cabrera
M · Atletico
7.61
1 👟
1 shots
· 57 pass
J. Angulo
M · Millonarios
7.50
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 3 pass
A. Reyes
D · Atletico
7.40
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 48 pass
F. Armani
G · Atletico
6.92
· 24 pass
S. Barreiro
D · Millonarios
6.89
· 35 pass
N. Parra
D · Atletico
6.80
· 59 pass
Atletico Nacional — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Armani | G | 90 | 6.92 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 0 | — | — |
| W. Tesillo | D | 90 | 6.08 | — | — | 0 | 46 | 34% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Reyes | D | 90 | 7.40 | 1 | — | 1 | 48 | 40% | 0 | — | — |
| N. Parra | D | 90 | 6.80 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Román | D | 90 | 6.39 | — | — | 2 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Marin | M | 90 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 43 | 36% | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Cabrera | M | 90 | 7.61 | — | 1 | 1 | 57 | 49% | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Moreno | M | 67 | 6.60 | — | — | 1 | 17 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Zapata | M | 60 | 6.14 | — | — | 0 | 15 | 13% | 0 | 1 | — |
| I. Poveda | M | 90 | 6.20 | — | — | 2 | 26 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Arango | F | 15 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Sarmiento | F | 70 | 6.32 | — | — | 3 | 17 | 14% | 1 | — | 1 |
| J. Rodríguez | M | 30 | 6.47 | — | — | 2 | 5 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| K. Parra | M | 23 | 6.33 | — | — | 1 | 7 | 7% | 0 | — | — |
Millonarios — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Burrai | G | 90 | 6.04 | — | — | 0 | 26 | 12% | 0 | — | — |
| F. Chaverra | D | 90 | 6.09 | — | — | 1 | 26 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Banguero | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 32 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Mosquera | D | 90 | 6.69 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Barreiro | D | 90 | 6.89 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 30% | 1 | — | — |
| C. Sarabia | D | 90 | 6.17 | — | — | 0 | 23 | 15% | 2 | — | — |
| R. Ureña | M | 88 | 6.47 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 18% | 1 | — | — |
| S. Vega | M | 90 | 5.92 | — | — | 0 | 20 | 18% | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Angulo | M | 45 | 7.50 | 1 | — | 1 | 3 | 1% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Estupiñán | F | 90 | 6.42 | — | — | 2 | 15 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Ruiz | F | 67 | 6.39 | — | — | 0 | 19 | 11% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Silva | M | 23 | 6.21 | — | — | 0 | 7 | 3% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Castro | F | 45 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 3% | 0 | 1 | — |
| S. del Castillo | M | 2 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 6 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?
The final score was Atletico Nacional 1–1 Millonarios.
What did the model predict before Atletico Nacional vs Millonarios?
The model assigned 57% probability to a Atletico Nacional win, 18% to a draw, and 23% to an Millonarios win.