G. Antinoro
90'+7
(pen.)
33'
Anthony Aromatario
54'
(ast. Lucas Cavallini)
Levonte Johnson
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Forge a 51% win probability (draw 22%, Atlético Ottawa 26%). The final result was Atlético Ottawa 1–2 Forge. In 4 previous meetings, Atlético Ottawa have won 1 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Forge.
Match statistics
7
Total shots
19
1
Shots on target
7
1.22
Actual xG
3.11
5
Saves
0
52%
Possession
48%
3
Corners
3
13
Tackles
15
1
🟨 Yellow cards
2
1
🟥 Red cards
0
Match Events
15'
Levonte Johnson
Diego Gutiérrez
19'
33'
Anthony Aromatario⚽
Emiliano·García
40'
54'
ast. Lucas Cavallini ·
Levonte Johnson⚽
55'
Antoine Batisse
59'
Diego Gutiérrez
61'
Kamron Habibullah
/ G. Antinoro
64'
Tim Arnaud
/ Jean-Aniel Assi
65'
73'
Ismael Oketokoun Hassane
/
Lucas Cavallini
74'
Hoce Massunda
/
M. Bourgeois
74'
Ben Paton
/
Levonte Johnson
Nicolas Fleuriau Chateau
/ Reinaldo Abraham
74'
Emiliano·García
/ Ralph Khoury
74'
77'
Tristan Borges
/
Noah Jensen
77'
aghilas sadek
/
Anthony Aromatario
Ballou Tabla
/ Juan Castro
87'
90'+4
⚽G. Antinoro
(pen.)
90'+7
Pre-match prediction
26.44%
Atlético
22.32%
X
51.25%
Forge ←
we assigned to the actual result (Forge)
51.25%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
1.22
1.22
+0.0
1.85
3.11
+1.26
Forge dominated by xG (3.11 vs 1.22).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
1
T. Crampton
G
T. Crampton
G
20
Joaquim Coulanges
D
Joaquim Coulanges
D
84
Sergei Kozlovskiy
D
Sergei Kozlovskiy
D
3
J. Dunn-Johnson
D
J. Dunn-Johnson
D
37
T. Arnaud
65'
D
T. Arnaud
65'
D
30
K. Habibullah
64'
M
K. Habibullah
64'
M
10
M. Aparicio
M
M. Aparicio
M
6
D. Gutiérrez
61'
M
D. Gutiérrez
61'
M
7
E. García
74'
M
E. García
74'
M
21
N. Fleuriau Chateau
74'
F
N. Fleuriau Chateau
74'
F
13
B. Tabla
87'
F
B. Tabla
87'
F
Bench
31
C. Kalongo
G
C. Kalongo
G
11
G. Antinoro
1 ⚽
26'
M
G. Antinoro
1 ⚽
26'
M
14
J. Assi
25'
F
J. Assi
25'
F
2
J. Castro
3'
M
J. Castro
3'
M
77
R. Abraham
16'
F
R. Abraham
16'
F
19
R. Khoury
16'
F
R. Khoury
16'
F
4
T. Walker
D
T. Walker
D
36
Dino Bontis
G
Dino Bontis
G
4
D. Krutzen
D
D. Krutzen
D
55
D
5
D. Nimick
D
D. Nimick
D
24
R. Rama
D
R. Rama
D
23
A. Aromatario
1 ⚽
77'
M
A. Aromatario
1 ⚽
77'
M
8
A. Batisse
M
A. Batisse
M
14
L. Johnson
1 ⚽
74'
M
L. Johnson
1 ⚽
74'
M
22
N. Jensen
77'
M
N. Jensen
77'
M
87
M. Bourgeois
74'
M
M. Bourgeois
74'
M
90
L. Cavallini
1 👟
74'
F
L. Cavallini
1 👟
74'
F
Bench
26
A. Sadek
13'
M
A. Sadek
13'
M
6
B. Paton
16'
M
B. Paton
16'
M
17
H. Massunda
16'
F
H. Massunda
16'
F
7
I. Oketokoun
16'
F
I. Oketokoun
16'
F
3
M. Jevremović
D
M. Jevremović
D
19
T. Borges
13'
F
T. Borges
13'
F
Best on the pitch
A. Aromatario
M · Forge
7.88
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 31 pass
R. Rama
D · Forge
7.25
1 shots
· 66 pass
T. Crampton
G · Atlético
7.21
· 18 pass
L. Johnson
M · Forge
7.15
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 13 pass
D. Nimick
D · Forge
7.09
· 55 pass
G. Antinoro
M · Atlético
7.00
1 ⚽
1 shots
· 19 pass
Atlético Ottawa — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Crampton | G | 90 | 7.21 | — | — | 0 | 18 | 16% | 0 | — | — |
| Joaquim Coulanges | D | 90 | 5.89 | — | — | 0 | 44 | 32% | 2 | — | — |
| Sergei Kozlovskiy | D | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 75 | 65% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Dunn-Johnson | D | 90 | 6.43 | — | — | 0 | 59 | 50% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Arnaud | D | 65 | 6.68 | — | — | 0 | 40 | 37% | 2 | — | — |
| K. Habibullah | M | 64 | 6.59 | — | — | 1 | 25 | 23% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Aparicio | M | 90 | 6.55 | — | — | 0 | 57 | 52% | 1 | — | — |
| D. Gutiérrez | M | 61 | 5.76 | — | — | 1 | 36 | 32% | 1 | — | 1 |
| E. García | M | 74 | 6.00 | — | — | 0 | 35 | 28% | 3 | 1 | — |
| N. Fleuriau Chateau | F | 74 | 6.39 | — | — | 3 | 10 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Tabla | F | 87 | 6.45 | — | — | 0 | 28 | 20% | 1 | — | — |
| G. Antinoro | M | 26 | 7.00 | 1 | — | 1 | 19 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Assi | F | 25 | 6.26 | — | — | 0 | 5 | 4% | 0 | — | — |
| J. Castro | M | 3 | 5.98 | — | — | 0 | 4 | 3% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Abraham | F | 16 | 6.30 | — | — | 0 | 2 | 2% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Khoury | F | 16 | 6.12 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 9% | 0 | — | — |
Forge — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dino Bontis | G | 90 | 6.46 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 20% | 0 | — | — |
| D. Krutzen | D | 90 | 6.66 | — | — | 2 | 36 | 26% | 1 | — | — |
| D | 90 | 6.61 | — | — | 0 | 45 | 35% | 2 | — | — | |
| D. Nimick | D | 90 | 7.09 | — | — | 0 | 55 | 49% | 0 | — | — |
| R. Rama | D | 90 | 7.25 | — | — | 1 | 66 | 56% | 3 | — | — |
| A. Aromatario | M | 77 | 7.88 | 1 | — | 2 | 31 | 25% | 1 | — | — |
| A. Batisse | M | 90 | 6.56 | — | — | 0 | 56 | 50% | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Johnson | M | 74 | 7.15 | 1 | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | 1 | — |
| N. Jensen | M | 77 | 6.50 | — | — | 3 | 28 | 22% | 1 | — | — |
| M. Bourgeois | M | 74 | 6.24 | — | — | 0 | 24 | 19% | 1 | — | — |
| L. Cavallini | F | 74 | 6.86 | — | 1 | 3 | 14 | 13% | 0 | — | — |
| A. Sadek | M | 13 | 6.74 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 5% | 0 | — | — |
| B. Paton | M | 16 | 6.26 | — | — | 1 | 10 | 10% | 0 | — | — |
| H. Massunda | F | 16 | 6.97 | — | — | 0 | 9 | 7% | 1 | — | — |
| I. Oketokoun | F | 16 | 6.37 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 2 | — | — |
| T. Borges | F | 13 | 6.85 | — | — | 2 | 10 | 10% | 1 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
The final score was Atlético Ottawa 1–2 Forge.
What did the model predict before Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
The model assigned 26% probability to a Atlético Ottawa win, 22% to a draw, and 51% to an Forge win.