Canadian Premier League · Group Stage August 20, 2026 01:00

Atlético Ottawa

#3 · 43 pts

4 – 0

Final score

Vancouver FC

#5 · 37 pts

J. Assi (ast. N. Fleuriau Chateau) 13'

J. Assi (ast. K. Habibullah) 59'

N. Fleuriau Chateau 63'

E. Garcia (ast. K. Habibullah) 73'

The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atlético Ottawa a 43% win probability (draw 23%, Vancouver FC 33%). The final result was Atlético Ottawa 4–0 Vancouver FC. In 3 previous meetings, Atlético Ottawa have won 0 times, with 1 draws and 2 wins for Vancouver FC.

Match statistics

5

Shots on target

1

1.00

Actual xG

1.67

59%

Possession

41%

1

Corners

6

Match Events

⚽J. Assi · ast. N. Fleuriau Chateau

13'

29'

A. Ouattara / M. Polisi ↕

39'

N. Mezquida

46'

L. Toomey / N. Mezquida ↕

E. Garcia

51'

⚽J. Assi · ast. K. Habibullah

59'

⚽N. Fleuriau Chateau

63'

68'

B. Lee / D. Pecile ↕

68'

A. Traore / M. Amissi ↕

↕ D. Aguilar / J. Coulanges

71'

↕ N. Fleuriau Chateau / R. Abraham

71'

⚽E. Garcia · ast. K. Habibullah

73'

78'

K. Proctor / T. Field ↕

↕ K. Habibullah / B. Tabla

83'

↕ E. Garcia / J. Castro

84'

↕ T. Arnaud / R. Khoury

84'

90'+3

A. Ouattara

Pre-match prediction

43.44%

Atlético ←

23.09%

X

33.47%

Vancouver

we assigned to the actual result (Atlético Ottawa) 43.44% (low confidence)

Expected vs actual xG

Exp.

Actual

Δ

Atlético

1.64

1.00

-0.64

Vancouver

1.43

1.67

+0.24

Vancouver FC dominated by xG (1.67 vs 1.00). The final result does not reflect the playing dominance. The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.

League Table

#	Team	G	Pts
1	Cavalry FC	28	60
2	Forge	28	58
3	Atlético Ottawa	28	43
4	Supra du Quebec	28	38
5	Vancouver FC	28	37
6	York United	28	30
7	HFX Wanderers FC	28	28
8	Pacific FC	28	15