Brasileirão Série A
· Regular Season - 11
April 12, 2026 16:00
✓Model correct — prediction Atletico Paranaense
S. Mendoza
57'
K. Viveros
(ast. Joao Cruz)
81'
The ForzaPitch pre-match prediction gave Atletico Paranaense a 56% win probability (draw 23%, Chapecoense-sc 20%). The final result was Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense-sc.
Match statistics
10
Total shots
4
6
Shots on target
1
1.23
Actual xG
0.18
1
Saves
4
58%
Possession
42%
5
Corners
0
15
Tackles
14
2
🟨 Yellow cards
4
Match Events
19'
Yannick Bolasie
Julimar
45'+2
J. Portilla
/ B. Zapelli
46'
Julimar
/ Bruninho
46'
56'
Neto Pessoa
/
Y. Bolasie
⚽S. Mendoza
57'
61'
Neto Pessoa
61'
Eduardo Doma
Dudu Kogitzki
/ Joao Cruz
62'
68'
Bruno Leonardo
69'
Marcinho
/
Enio
69'
Mauricio Garcez
/
Italo
Bruno Zapelli
71'
78'
Jean Carlos
/
Higor Meritao
78'
Rafael Carvalheira
/
Joao Vitor
⚽K. Viveros
· ast. Joao Cruz
81'
S. Mendoza
/ Felipinho
86'
K. Viveros
/ Renan Peixoto
86'
Pre-match prediction
56.59%
Atletico ←
23.4%
X
20.01%
Chapecoense-sc
✓ Correct prediction —
we assigned to the actual result (Atletico Paranaense)
56.59%
(medium confidence)
Expected vs actual xG
Exp.
Actual
Δ
2.29
1.23
-1.06
0.67
0.18
-0.49
Atletico Paranaense dominated by xG (1.23 vs 0.18).
The final result reflects the playing dominance.
The model's xG estimates diverged from reality.
Lineups
23
Santos
G
Santos
G
37
L. Esquivel
D
L. Esquivel
D
33
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
Juan Felipe Aguirre
D
4
Arthur Dias
D
Arthur Dias
D
7
S. Mendoza
1 ⚽
86'
M
S. Mendoza
1 ⚽
86'
M
14
Luiz Gustavo
M
Luiz Gustavo
M
27
Juan Portilla
45'
M
Juan Portilla
45'
M
2
53
Dudu
62'
F
Dudu
62'
F
20
Julimar
45'
F
Julimar
45'
F
9
K. Viveros
1 ⚽
86'
F
K. Viveros
1 ⚽
86'
F
Bench
48
Bruno Braga Ramos
45'
M
Bruno Braga Ramos
45'
M
10
B. Zapelli
45'
M
B. Zapelli
45'
M
16
Jádson
M
Jádson
M
8
Joao Cruz
1 👟
6
Leo Derik
1
G
91
Bruno Pacheco
D
Bruno Pacheco
D
3
Doma
D
Doma
D
33
Bruno Leonardo
D
Bruno Leonardo
D
2
Marcos Vinícius
D
Marcos Vinícius
D
22
Higor Meritão
78'
M
Higor Meritão
78'
M
27
M
77
Italo
69'
M
Italo
69'
M
5
João Vitor
78'
M
João Vitor
78'
M
97
Ênio
69'
M
Ênio
69'
M
11
Yannick Bolasie
56'
F
Yannick Bolasie
56'
F
Bench
19
David Antunes
M
David Antunes
M
20
Jean Carlos
12'
M
Jean Carlos
12'
M
7
Marcinho
21'
F
Marcinho
21'
F
18
Neto Pessoa
34'
F
Neto Pessoa
34'
F
99
Rafael Carvalheira
12'
F
Rafael Carvalheira
12'
F
25
Victor Caetano
D
Victor Caetano
D
Best on the pitch
Arthur Dias
D · Atletico
8.00
· 57 pass
S. Mendoza
M · Atletico
7.70
1 ⚽
3 shots
· 28 pass
K. Viveros
F · Atletico
7.70
1 ⚽
2 shots
· 8 pass
L. Esquivel
D · Atletico
7.50
1 shots
· 61 pass
B. Zapelli
M · Atletico
7.20
· 18 pass
Doma
D · Chapecoense-sc
7.20
· 56 pass
Atletico Paranaense — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos | G | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 29 | 20% | — | — | — |
| L. Esquivel | D | 90 | 7.50 | — | — | 1 | 61 | 52% | 3 | — | — |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | D | 90 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 46 | 43% | — | — | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 90 | 8.00 | — | — | — | 57 | 48% | 4 | — | — |
| S. Mendoza | M | 86 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 3 | 28 | 25% | 2 | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 90 | 7.00 | — | — | — | 44 | 41% | 1 | — | — |
| Juan Portilla | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | — | 27 | 25% | — | — | — |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | ||
| Dudu | F | 62 | 6.50 | — | — | 2 | 17 | 13% | 1 | — | — |
| Julimar | F | 45 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 10 | 8% | 1 | 1 | — |
| K. Viveros | F | 86 | 7.70 | 1 | — | 2 | 8 | 8% | — | — | — |
| Bruno Braga Ramos | M | 45 | 6.90 | — | — | 2 | 13 | 12% | 1 | — | — |
| B. Zapelli | M | 45 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 18 | 15% | 2 | 1 | — |
Chapecoense-sc — Player statistics
| Team | Pos | Min | Rating | ⚽ | 👟 | Shots | Pass | Acc% | Tck | YC | RC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 23 | 16% | — | — | — | |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 90 | 6.50 | — | — | — | 23 | 21% | 1 | — | — |
| Doma | D | 90 | 7.20 | — | — | — | 56 | 48% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Leonardo | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 38 | 35% | 1 | 1 | — |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | 90 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 35 | 29% | 1 | — | — |
| Higor Meritão | M | 78 | 6.60 | — | — | — | 14 | 14% | 2 | — | — |
| M | 90 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 44 | 36% | 2 | — | — | |
| Italo | M | 69 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 9 | 9% | 1 | — | — |
| João Vitor | M | 78 | 6.30 | — | — | 2 | 21 | 15% | 1 | — | — |
| Ênio | M | 69 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 17 | 15% | — | — | — |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 56 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 11 | 9% | — | 1 | — |
| Jean Carlos | M | 12 | 6.30 | — | — | — | 2 | 2% | — | — | — |
| Marcinho | F | 21 | 6.20 | — | — | — | 5 | 4% | — | — | — |
| Neto Pessoa | F | 34 | 6.30 | — | — | 1 | 5 | 4% | 2 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Carvalheira | F | 12 | 6.70 | — | — | — | 7 | 5% | 2 | — | — |
Frequently Asked Questions
What was the final score of Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense-sc?
The final score was Atletico Paranaense 2–0 Chapecoense-sc.
What did the model predict before Atletico Paranaense vs Chapecoense-sc?
The model assigned 56% probability to a Atletico Paranaense win, 23% to a draw, and 20% to an Chapecoense-sc win.